Division Profesional - Clausura · Clausura - 19
Sportivo Luqueno vs 2 de Mayo
Sun 15 Nov 2026 · 21:00 UTC
Sportivo Luqueno host 2 de Mayo on Sun 15 Nov 2026 (Division Profesional - Clausura); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Sportivo Luqueno 37%, draw 29%, 2 de Mayo 34%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Sportivo Luqueno €311K, 2 de Mayo €273K.
- Home advantage makes Sportivo Luqueno the favourite here: it adds 8 points to their win chance.
- Style contrast in discipline (Division Profesional - Clausura): Sportivo Luqueno rank #9 of 12, 2 de Mayo #1.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Sportivo Luqueno goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–09%
- 1–09%
- 2–18%
- 0–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Sportivo Luqueno 1446 · 2 de Mayo 1526
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Sportivo Luqueno · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Elite) · Elo 1503
2 de Mayo · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.4 (Elite) · Elo 1603
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Sportivo Luqueno
9th in Division Profesional - Clausura · 16 pts from 16
- 23 OctLLibertad Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional1467
- 18 OctWClub Sp. San Lorenzo Paraguay Division Profesional1412
- 10 OctLCerro Porteno Paraguay Division Profesional1451
- 5 OctLSportivo Trinidense Paraguay Division Profesional1412
- 25 SepLClub Guarani Paraguay Division Profesional1480
2 de Mayo
5th in Division Profesional - Clausura · 29 pts from 17
- 30 OctLClub Guarani Paraguay Division Profesional1513
- 24 OctDDeportivo Recoleta Paraguay Division Profesional1528
- 17 OctLOlimpia Paraguay Division Profesional1542
- 12 OctWSportivo Ameliano Paraguay Division Profesional1541
- 5 OctWCerro Porteno Paraguay Division Profesional1482
Season outlook
From the Division Profesional - Clausura simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportivo Luqueno | 16 /16 | 23.2 | 0% | 0% | 40% | 9th |
| 2 de Mayo | 29 /17 | 36.1 | 1% | 38% | 0% | 6th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Full table and finishing odds: Division Profesional - Clausura
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Sportivo Luqueno: balanced profile (how Lucas Barrios plays) · 2 de Mayo: balanced profile (how F. Giménez plays)