Division Profesional - Clausura · Clausura - 16
Sportivo Ameliano vs Olimpia
Thu 29 Oct 2026 · 21:00 UTC
Sportivo Ameliano host Olimpia on Thu 29 Oct 2026 (Division Profesional - Clausura); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Sportivo Ameliano 24%, draw 27%, Olimpia 50%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Sportivo Ameliano €260K, Olimpia €534K.
- Style contrast in chance creation (Division Profesional - Clausura): Sportivo Ameliano rank #11 of 12, Olimpia #1.
- Olimpia are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Sportivo Ameliano goals first.
- 1–113%
- 0–110%
- 1–210%
- 0–29%
- 0–08%
- 2–16%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Sportivo Ameliano 1462 · Olimpia 1739
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Sportivo Ameliano · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Average) · Elo 1496

Olimpia · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1835
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Sportivo Ameliano
8th in Division Profesional - Clausura · 19 pts from 15
- 18 OctDCerro Porteno Paraguay Division Profesional1417
- 12 OctL2 de Mayo Paraguay Division Profesional1472
- 6 OctLRubio NU Paraguay Division Profesional1453
- 25 SepDNacional Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional1439
- 19 SepDLibertad Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional1452
Olimpia
1st in Division Profesional - Clausura · 30 pts from 15
- 17 OctW2 de Mayo Paraguay Division Profesional1737
- 11 OctDRubio NU Paraguay Division Profesional1744
- 6 OctDNacional Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional1724
- 28 SepWLibertad Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional1719
- 20 SepWClub Sp. San Lorenzo Paraguay Division Profesional1719
Season outlook
From the Division Profesional - Clausura simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportivo Ameliano | 19 /15 | 27.8 | 0% | 1% | 3% | 8th |
| Olimpia | 30 /15 | 43.1 | 58% | 98% | 0% | 1st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Full table and finishing odds: Division Profesional - Clausura
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Sportivo Ameliano: balanced profile (how Roberto Nanni plays) · Olimpia: creative · shot-heavy (how Pablo Andrés Sánchez plays)