Division Profesional - Clausura · Clausura - 18
Sportivo Ameliano vs Club Guarani
Sun 8 Nov 2026 · 21:00 UTC
Sportivo Ameliano host Club Guarani on Sun 8 Nov 2026 (Division Profesional - Clausura); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Sportivo Ameliano 36%, draw 29%, Club Guarani 35%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Sportivo Ameliano €260K, Club Guarani €386K.
- Home advantage makes Sportivo Ameliano the favourite here: it adds 8 points to their win chance.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Sportivo Ameliano goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–09%
- 1–09%
- 0–19%
- 2–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores43%
Team Elo: Sportivo Ameliano 1463 · Club Guarani 1563
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Sportivo Ameliano · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Average) · Elo 1496
Club Guarani · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Good) · Elo 1686
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Sportivo Ameliano
8th in Division Profesional - Clausura · 19 pts from 15
- 18 OctDCerro Porteno Paraguay Division Profesional1417
- 12 OctL2 de Mayo Paraguay Division Profesional1472
- 6 OctLRubio NU Paraguay Division Profesional1453
- 25 SepDNacional Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional1439
- 19 SepDLibertad Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional1452
Club Guarani
6th in Division Profesional - Clausura · 25 pts from 16
- 23 OctWRubio NU Paraguay Division Profesional1547
- 17 OctLNacional Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional1525
- 11 OctDLibertad Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional1516
- 3 OctDClub Sp. San Lorenzo Paraguay Division Profesional1564
- 25 SepWSportivo Luqueno Paraguay Division Profesional1545
Season outlook
From the Division Profesional - Clausura simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportivo Ameliano | 19 /15 | 27.6 | 0% | <1% | 2% | 8th |
| Club Guarani | 25 /16 | 33.1 | 0% | 11% | 0% | 7th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Full table and finishing odds: Division Profesional - Clausura
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Sportivo Ameliano: balanced profile (how Roberto Nanni plays) · Club Guarani: balanced profile (how F. Arce plays)