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Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 30

Sporting Kansas City 1–3 Real Salt Lake

Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 00:30 UTC · Children's Mercy Park, Kansas City

Sporting Kansas City crestSporting Kansas CityTeam 1703
1–3
Full time
HT 1–2
Real Salt Lake crestReal Salt LakeTeam 1797

Match story

Sporting Kansas City · draw · Real Salt Lake

Before kick-off: 38% · 27% · 35%

Live chances: Sporting Kansas City 0%, draw 0%, Real Salt Lake 100% at 90+6'1' · 0–0 · Sporting Kansas City 38%, draw 27%, Real Salt Lake 35%2' · 0–0 · Sporting Kansas City 38%, draw 27%, Real Salt Lake 35%3' · 0–0 · Sporting Kansas City 38%, draw 27%, Real Salt Lake 35%4' · 0–0 · Sporting Kansas City 38%, draw 28%, Real Salt Lake 35%5' · 0–0 · Sporting Kansas City 38%, draw 28%, Real Salt Lake 34%6' · 0–0 · Sporting Kansas City 38%, draw 28%, Real Salt Lake 34%7' · 0–0 · Sporting Kansas City 38%, draw 28%, Real Salt Lake 34%8' · 0–0 · Sporting Kansas City 38%, draw 28%, Real Salt Lake 34%9' · 0–0 · Sporting Kansas City 38%, draw 28%, Real Salt Lake 34%10' · 0–0 · Sporting Kansas City 38%, draw 28%, Real Salt Lake 34%12' · 0–1 · Sporting Kansas City 22%, draw 24%, Real Salt Lake 54%13' · 0–1 · Sporting Kansas City 22%, draw 24%, Real Salt Lake 54%14' · 0–1 · Sporting Kansas City 22%, draw 24%, Real Salt Lake 54%15' · 0–2 · Sporting Kansas City 6%, draw 13%, Real Salt Lake 81%16' · 0–2 · Sporting Kansas City 6%, draw 13%, Real Salt Lake 81%17' · 0–2 · Sporting Kansas City 6%, draw 13%, Real Salt Lake 81%18' · 0–2 · Sporting Kansas City 6%, draw 13%, Real Salt Lake 82%19' · 0–2 · Sporting Kansas City 6%, draw 12%, Real Salt Lake 82%21' · 0–2 · Sporting Kansas City 6%, draw 12%, Real Salt Lake 82%22' · 0–2 · Sporting Kansas City 5%, draw 12%, Real Salt Lake 82%23' · 0–2 · Sporting Kansas City 5%, draw 12%, Real Salt Lake 82%24' · 0–2 · Sporting Kansas City 5%, draw 12%, Real Salt Lake 83%25' · 0–2 · Sporting Kansas City 5%, draw 12%, Real Salt Lake 83%26' · 0–2 · Sporting Kansas City 5%, draw 12%, Real Salt Lake 83%27' · 1–2 · Sporting Kansas City 19%, draw 25%, Real Salt Lake 56%28' · 1–2 · Sporting Kansas City 19%, draw 25%, Real Salt Lake 56%29' · 1–2 · Sporting Kansas City 19%, draw 25%, Real Salt Lake 56%30' · 1–2 · Sporting Kansas City 19%, draw 25%, Real Salt Lake 56%31' · 1–2 · Sporting Kansas City 18%, draw 25%, Real Salt Lake 56%32' · 1–2 · Sporting Kansas City 18%, draw 25%, Real Salt Lake 57%33' · 1–2 · Sporting Kansas City 18%, draw 25%, Real Salt Lake 57%34' · 1–2 · Sporting Kansas City 18%, draw 25%, Real Salt Lake 57%35' · 1–2 · Sporting Kansas City 18%, draw 25%, Real Salt Lake 57%36' · 1–2 · Sporting Kansas City 17%, draw 25%, Real Salt Lake 57%37' · 1–2 · Sporting Kansas City 17%, draw 25%, Real Salt Lake 58%38' · 1–2 · Sporting Kansas City 17%, draw 25%, Real Salt Lake 58%39' · 1–2 · Sporting Kansas City 17%, draw 25%, Real Salt Lake 58%40' · 1–2 · Sporting Kansas City 16%, draw 25%, Real Salt Lake 58%41' · 1–2 · Sporting Kansas City 16%, draw 25%, Real Salt Lake 58%42' · 1–2 · Sporting Kansas City 16%, draw 25%, Real Salt Lake 59%43' · 1–2 · Sporting Kansas City 16%, draw 25%, Real Salt Lake 59%44' · 1–2 · Sporting Kansas City 15%, draw 25%, Real Salt Lake 59%45' · 1–2 · Sporting Kansas City 15%, draw 25%, Real Salt Lake 59%45+1' · 1–2 · Sporting Kansas City 15%, draw 26%, Real Salt Lake 60%45+2' · 1–2 · Sporting Kansas City 15%, draw 26%, Real Salt Lake 60%45+3' · 1–2 · Sporting Kansas City 14%, draw 26%, Real Salt Lake 60%45+4' · 1–2 · Sporting Kansas City 14%, draw 26%, Real Salt Lake 60%HT · 1–2 · Sporting Kansas City 14%, draw 26%, Real Salt Lake 60%47' · 1–2 · Sporting Kansas City 14%, draw 26%, Real Salt Lake 60%48' · 1–2 · Sporting Kansas City 14%, draw 26%, Real Salt Lake 61%49' · 1–2 · Sporting Kansas City 13%, draw 26%, Real Salt Lake 61%50' · 1–2 · Sporting Kansas City 13%, draw 26%, Real Salt Lake 61%51' · 1–2 · Sporting Kansas City 13%, draw 26%, Real Salt Lake 62%52' · 1–2 · Sporting Kansas City 13%, draw 25%, Real Salt Lake 62%53' · 1–2 · Sporting Kansas City 12%, draw 25%, Real Salt Lake 62%54' · 1–2 · Sporting Kansas City 12%, draw 25%, Real Salt Lake 63%55' · 1–2 · Sporting Kansas City 12%, draw 25%, Real Salt Lake 63%56' · 1–2 · Sporting Kansas City 11%, draw 25%, Real Salt Lake 64%57' · 1–2 · Sporting Kansas City 11%, draw 25%, Real Salt Lake 64%58' · 1–2 · Sporting Kansas City 10%, draw 25%, Real Salt Lake 64%59' · 1–2 · Sporting Kansas City 10%, draw 25%, Real Salt Lake 65%60' · 1–2 · Sporting Kansas City 10%, draw 25%, Real Salt Lake 65%61' · 1–2 · Sporting Kansas City 9%, draw 25%, Real Salt Lake 66%62' · 1–3 · Sporting Kansas City 1%, draw 6%, Real Salt Lake 92%63' · 1–3 · Sporting Kansas City 1%, draw 6%, Real Salt Lake 93%64' · 1–3 · Sporting Kansas City 1%, draw 6%, Real Salt Lake 93%65' · 1–3 · Sporting Kansas City 1%, draw 6%, Real Salt Lake 93%66' · 1–3 · Sporting Kansas City 1%, draw 5%, Real Salt Lake 94%67' · 1–3 · Sporting Kansas City 1%, draw 5%, Real Salt Lake 94%68' · 1–3 · Sporting Kansas City 1%, draw 5%, Real Salt Lake 94%69' · 1–3 · Sporting Kansas City 1%, draw 5%, Real Salt Lake 94%70' · 1–3 · Sporting Kansas City 1%, draw 5%, Real Salt Lake 95%71' · 1–3 · Sporting Kansas City 1%, draw 4%, Real Salt Lake 95%72' · 1–3 · Sporting Kansas City 1%, draw 4%, Real Salt Lake 95%73' · 1–3 · Sporting Kansas City 1%, draw 4%, Real Salt Lake 96%74' · 1–3 · Sporting Kansas City 0%, draw 4%, Real Salt Lake 96%75' · 1–3 · Sporting Kansas City 0%, draw 4%, Real Salt Lake 96%76' · 1–3 · Sporting Kansas City 0%, draw 3%, Real Salt Lake 96%77' · 1–3 · Sporting Kansas City 0%, draw 3%, Real Salt Lake 97%78' · 1–3 · Sporting Kansas City 0%, draw 3%, Real Salt Lake 97%79' · 1–3 · Sporting Kansas City 0%, draw 3%, Real Salt Lake 97%80' · 1–3 · Sporting Kansas City 0%, draw 2%, Real Salt Lake 97%81' · 1–3 · Sporting Kansas City 0%, draw 2%, Real Salt Lake 98%82' · 1–3 · Sporting Kansas City 0%, draw 2%, Real Salt Lake 98%83' · 1–3 · Sporting Kansas City 0%, draw 2%, Real Salt Lake 98%84' · 1–3 · Sporting Kansas City 0%, draw 2%, Real Salt Lake 98%85' · 1–3 · Sporting Kansas City 0%, draw 1%, Real Salt Lake 98%86' · 1–3 · Sporting Kansas City 0%, draw 1%, Real Salt Lake 99%87' · 1–3 · Sporting Kansas City 0%, draw 1%, Real Salt Lake 99%88' · 1–3 · Sporting Kansas City 0%, draw 1%, Real Salt Lake 99%89' · 1–3 · Sporting Kansas City 0%, draw 1%, Real Salt Lake 99%90' · 1–3 · Sporting Kansas City 0%, draw 1%, Real Salt Lake 99%90+1' · 1–3 · Sporting Kansas City 0%, draw 0%, Real Salt Lake 100%90+2' · 1–3 · Sporting Kansas City 0%, draw 0%, Real Salt Lake 100%90+3' · 1–3 · Sporting Kansas City 0%, draw 0%, Real Salt Lake 100%90+4' · 1–3 · Sporting Kansas City 0%, draw 0%, Real Salt Lake 100%90+5' · 1–3 · Sporting Kansas City 0%, draw 0%, Real Salt Lake 100%90+6' · 1–3 · Sporting Kansas City 0%, draw 0%, Real Salt Lake 100%

Last reading, 90+6': 0% · 0% · 100%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Sporting Kansas City 38% to win: Real Salt Lake won.

  1. 11'Real Salt Lake:Morgan Guilavogui 1947 +28 assist Noel Caliskan 1939 +32
  2. 14'Real Salt Lake:Sergi Solans 1895 +35
  3. 26'Sporting Kansas City:Taylor Calheira 1745 0 assist André Luiz 1831 −9
  4. 45+1'Real Salt Lake:Luc De Fougerolles 1735 +24
  5. 61'Real Salt Lake:Morgan Guilavogui 1947 +28 assist Noel Caliskan 1939 +32
  6. 61'Sporting Kansas City:Osvaldo Pedro Capemba 1744 −8* for Stephen Afrifa 1666 0
  7. 62'Sporting Kansas City:Jacob Davis 1778 −1 for Kwaku Agyabeng 1590 0
  8. 63'Real Salt Lake:Chadwick Zachary Booth 1329 +18 for Dominik Marczuk 1803 +19
  9. 72'Real Salt Lake:Juan Sanabria 1950 +30
  10. 73'Sporting Kansas City:Ian James 1630 0 for Zorhan Bassong 1708 −1
  11. 73'Sporting Kansas City:Seymour Garfield-Reid 1497 0 for Taylor Calheira 1745 0
  12. 74'Sporting Kansas City:Calvin Harris 1849 −11
  13. 76'Sporting Kansas City:Jacob Bartlett 1723 0
  14. 77'Real Salt Lake:Aiden Hezarkhani 1764 +3 for Saba Lobjanidze 1709 +20
  15. 77'Real Salt Lake:Ariath Piol 1531 +6 for Sergi Solans 1895 +35
  16. 85'Real Salt Lake:Sam Junqua 1871 −1 for Luc De Fougerolles 1735 +24
  17. 85'Real Salt Lake:Alexandros Katranis 1859 −8* for Morgan Guilavogui 1947 +28
  18. 87'Sporting Kansas City:Ruben Ramos Jr 1500 0 for Calvin Harris 1849 −11
  19. 90+1'Real Salt Lake:Chadwick Zachary Booth 1329 +18
  20. 90+1'Real Salt Lake:Stijn Spierings 1943 +29
  21. 90+2'Sporting Kansas City:Jansen Miller 1786 −4

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-4-2Formations5-4-1
GS. Cleveland1840−33
DJ. Bartlett17230
DJansen Miller1786−4
DWyatt Meyer1762−2
DE. Karić1900−18
MAndré Luiz1831−9
MK. Agyabeng15900
MZ. Bassong1708−1
MC. Harris1849−11
FT. Calheira17450
FS. Afrifa16660
CR. Wicky1826−17
GRafael Cabral1893+10
DD. Marczuk1803+19
DK. Henry1481+146
DL. De Fougerolles1735+24
DP. Quinton1930+11
DJ. Sanabria1950+30
MM. Guilavogui1947+28
MS. Spierings1943+29
MN. Caliskan1939+32
MS. Lobzhanidze1709+20
FS. Solans1895+35
CP. Mastroeni1919+24
Before kick-off: 38% · 27% · 35%(Sporting Kansas City · draw · Real Salt Lake)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 1–3 had 4%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Sporting Kansas City €830K, Real Salt Lake €1.3M.
  • Sporting Kansas City were without 2 expected starters: J. Reynolds (1688) and L. Johnsen (1857).
  • Home advantage made Sporting Kansas City the favourite: it added 9 points to their win chance.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Sporting Kansas City

15th in MLS · 22 pts from 29

  • 15 OctLNashville SC 1690
  • 11 OctDPortland Timbers 1768
  • 2 OctLSeattle Sounders 1792
  • 27 SepWHouston Dynamo 1737
  • 20 SepLPhiladelphia Union 1758

Real Salt Lake

11th in MLS · 33 pts from 29

  • 15 OctDSan Jose Earthquakes 1810
  • 10 OctLPhiladelphia Union 1838
  • 27 SepWNew England Revolution 1803
  • 24 SepLSeattle Sounders 1801
  • 20 SepLVancouver Whitecaps 1786

Season outlook

From the Major League Soccer simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Sporting Kansas City22 /2928.00%0%99%30th
Real Salt Lake33 /2938.20%0%9%27th
Sporting Kansas City
Real Salt Lake

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 30th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Major League Soccer

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

André Luiz
André Luiz

Sporting Kansas City · +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1840

N. Caliskan
N. Caliskan

Real Salt Lake · +6.3 (Good) · Elo 1907

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Raphael Wicky

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Pablo Andrés Mastroeni

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Sporting Kansas City: balanced profile (how Raphael Wicky plays) · Real Salt Lake: balanced profile (how Pablo Andrés Mastroeni plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.