Segunda División · Regular Season - 13
Sporting Gijon vs Valladolid
Sun 8 Nov 2026 · 17:30 UTC
Sporting Gijon host Valladolid on Sun 8 Nov 2026 (Segunda División); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Sporting Gijon 55%, draw 25%, Valladolid 20%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Sporting Gijon €1.0M, Valladolid €944K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Sporting Gijon goals first.
- 1–112%
- 2–110%
- 2–010%
- 1–010%
- 0–07%
- 3–16%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Sporting Gijon 1855 · Valladolid 1731
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Sporting Gijon · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1954
Valladolid · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Good) · Elo 1793
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Sporting Gijon
5th in Segunda División · 19 pts from 10
- 17 OctWAlbacete Spain Segunda Division1826
- 11 OctWCadiz Spain Segunda Division1798
- 4 OctWCelta de Vigo II Spain Segunda Division1809
- 27 SepLOviedo Spain Segunda Division1877
- 19 SepWFC Andorra Spain Segunda Division1849
Valladolid
13th in Segunda División · 12 pts from 11
- 23 OctLGranada CF Spain Segunda Division1727
- 18 OctLEldense Spain Segunda Division1719
- 12 OctWAlbacete Spain Segunda Division1706
- 4 OctDLas Palmas Spain Segunda Division1716
- 27 SepWCordoba Spain Segunda Division1646
Season outlook
From the Segunda División simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Gijon | 19 /10 | 68.9 | 5% | 33% | 0% | 6th |
| Valladolid | 12 /11 | 52.5 | 0% | 1% | 7% | 13th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 22nd on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Sporting Gijon: balanced profile (how N. Larcamón plays) · Valladolid: balanced profile (how Fran Escriba plays)