Segunda División · Regular Season - 15
Sporting Gijon vs Las Palmas
Sun 22 Nov 2026 · 15:15 UTC
Sporting Gijon host Las Palmas on Sun 22 Nov 2026 (Segunda División); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Sporting Gijon 51%, draw 26%, Las Palmas 22%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Sporting Gijon €1.0M, Las Palmas €969K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Sporting Gijon goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–011%
- 2–19%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 0–17%
- Other scores43%
Team Elo: Sporting Gijon 1845 · Las Palmas 1765
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Sporting Gijon · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Average) · Elo 1914
Las Palmas · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1843
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Sporting Gijon
7th in Segunda División · 22 pts from 13
- 8 NovLValladolid Spain Segunda Division1828
- 1 NovWAD Ceuta FC Spain Segunda Division1865
- 29 OctWGuijuelo Spain Copa del Rey1691
- 25 OctLCastellón Spain Segunda Division1872
- 17 OctWAlbacete Spain Segunda Division1823
Las Palmas
10th in Segunda División · 20 pts from 13
- 9 NovWEldense Spain Segunda Division1758
- 2 NovWOviedo Spain Segunda Division1733
- 24 OctWReal Sociedad II Spain Segunda Division1742
- 17 OctLCastellón Spain Segunda Division1684
- 11 OctLMallorca Spain Segunda Division1748
Season outlook
From the Segunda División simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Gijon | 22 /13 | 66.4 | 2% | 23% | 0% | 7th |
| Las Palmas | 20 /13 | 59.9 | <1% | 5% | 1% | 11th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 22nd on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Sporting Gijon: balanced profile (how N. Larcamón plays) · Las Palmas: balanced profile (how Albert Sánchez plays)