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Segunda División · Regular Season - 10

Sporting Gijon 2–1 Albacete

Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 16:30 UTC · El Molinón-Enrique Castro Quini, Gijon

Sporting Gijon crestSporting GijonTeam 1787
2–1
Full time
HT 1–0
Albacete crestAlbaceteTeam 1598

Match story

Sporting Gijon · draw · Albacete

Before kick-off: 60% · 24% · 16%

Live chances: Sporting Gijon 100%, draw 0%, Albacete 0% at 90+7'2' · 0–0 · Sporting Gijon 60%, draw 24%, Albacete 16%3' · 0–0 · Sporting Gijon 60%, draw 24%, Albacete 16%4' · 0–0 · Sporting Gijon 59%, draw 24%, Albacete 16%5' · 0–0 · Sporting Gijon 59%, draw 24%, Albacete 17%6' · 0–0 · Sporting Gijon 59%, draw 24%, Albacete 17%7' · 0–0 · Sporting Gijon 59%, draw 24%, Albacete 17%8' · 0–0 · Sporting Gijon 59%, draw 25%, Albacete 17%9' · 0–0 · Sporting Gijon 59%, draw 25%, Albacete 17%10' · 0–0 · Sporting Gijon 58%, draw 25%, Albacete 17%11' · 0–0 · Sporting Gijon 58%, draw 25%, Albacete 17%12' · 0–0 · Sporting Gijon 58%, draw 25%, Albacete 17%13' · 0–0 · Sporting Gijon 58%, draw 25%, Albacete 17%14' · 0–0 · Sporting Gijon 57%, draw 26%, Albacete 17%15' · 0–0 · Sporting Gijon 57%, draw 26%, Albacete 17%16' · 0–0 · Sporting Gijon 57%, draw 26%, Albacete 17%17' · 1–0 · Sporting Gijon 80%, draw 14%, Albacete 5%18' · 1–0 · Sporting Gijon 80%, draw 14%, Albacete 5%19' · 1–0 · Sporting Gijon 80%, draw 14%, Albacete 5%20' · 1–0 · Sporting Gijon 80%, draw 14%, Albacete 5%21' · 1–0 · Sporting Gijon 80%, draw 14%, Albacete 5%22' · 1–0 · Sporting Gijon 80%, draw 14%, Albacete 5%23' · 1–0 · Sporting Gijon 80%, draw 14%, Albacete 5%24' · 1–0 · Sporting Gijon 80%, draw 14%, Albacete 5%25' · 1–0 · Sporting Gijon 80%, draw 14%, Albacete 5%26' · 1–0 · Sporting Gijon 80%, draw 14%, Albacete 5%27' · 1–0 · Sporting Gijon 80%, draw 15%, Albacete 5%28' · 1–0 · Sporting Gijon 80%, draw 15%, Albacete 5%29' · 1–0 · Sporting Gijon 80%, draw 15%, Albacete 5%30' · 1–0 · Sporting Gijon 80%, draw 15%, Albacete 5%31' · 1–0 · Sporting Gijon 80%, draw 15%, Albacete 5%32' · 1–0 · Sporting Gijon 80%, draw 15%, Albacete 5%33' · 1–0 · Sporting Gijon 80%, draw 15%, Albacete 5%34' · 1–0 · Sporting Gijon 80%, draw 15%, Albacete 5%35' · 1–0 · Sporting Gijon 80%, draw 15%, Albacete 5%36' · 1–0 · Sporting Gijon 80%, draw 15%, Albacete 5%37' · 1–0 · Sporting Gijon 80%, draw 15%, Albacete 5%38' · 1–0 · Sporting Gijon 80%, draw 15%, Albacete 5%39' · 1–0 · Sporting Gijon 80%, draw 15%, Albacete 5%40' · 1–0 · Sporting Gijon 80%, draw 15%, Albacete 5%41' · 1–0 · Sporting Gijon 80%, draw 15%, Albacete 5%42' · 1–0 · Sporting Gijon 80%, draw 15%, Albacete 5%43' · 1–0 · Sporting Gijon 80%, draw 15%, Albacete 5%44' · 1–0 · Sporting Gijon 80%, draw 15%, Albacete 5%45' · 1–0 · Sporting Gijon 80%, draw 15%, Albacete 5%45+1' · 1–0 · Sporting Gijon 80%, draw 15%, Albacete 5%HT · 1–0 · Sporting Gijon 80%, draw 15%, Albacete 4%46' · 1–0 · Sporting Gijon 80%, draw 15%, Albacete 4%47' · 1–0 · Sporting Gijon 80%, draw 15%, Albacete 4%48' · 1–0 · Sporting Gijon 80%, draw 15%, Albacete 4%49' · 1–0 · Sporting Gijon 80%, draw 16%, Albacete 4%50' · 1–0 · Sporting Gijon 80%, draw 16%, Albacete 4%51' · 1–0 · Sporting Gijon 80%, draw 16%, Albacete 4%52' · 1–0 · Sporting Gijon 80%, draw 16%, Albacete 4%53' · 1–0 · Sporting Gijon 81%, draw 16%, Albacete 4%54' · 1–0 · Sporting Gijon 81%, draw 16%, Albacete 4%55' · 1–0 · Sporting Gijon 81%, draw 16%, Albacete 4%56' · 1–0 · Sporting Gijon 81%, draw 16%, Albacete 4%57' · 1–0 · Sporting Gijon 81%, draw 16%, Albacete 4%58' · 1–0 · Sporting Gijon 81%, draw 15%, Albacete 3%59' · 1–0 · Sporting Gijon 81%, draw 15%, Albacete 3%60' · 1–0 · Sporting Gijon 81%, draw 15%, Albacete 3%61' · 1–0 · Sporting Gijon 81%, draw 15%, Albacete 3%62' · 1–0 · Sporting Gijon 82%, draw 15%, Albacete 3%63' · 1–0 · Sporting Gijon 82%, draw 15%, Albacete 3%64' · 1–0 · Sporting Gijon 82%, draw 15%, Albacete 3%65' · 1–0 · Sporting Gijon 82%, draw 15%, Albacete 3%66' · 1–0 · Sporting Gijon 82%, draw 15%, Albacete 3%67' · 1–0 · Sporting Gijon 83%, draw 15%, Albacete 3%68' · 1–0 · Sporting Gijon 83%, draw 15%, Albacete 2%69' · 1–0 · Sporting Gijon 83%, draw 15%, Albacete 2%70' · 1–0 · Sporting Gijon 83%, draw 14%, Albacete 2%71' · 1–0 · Sporting Gijon 83%, draw 14%, Albacete 2%72' · 1–0 · Sporting Gijon 84%, draw 14%, Albacete 2%73' · 1–0 · Sporting Gijon 84%, draw 14%, Albacete 2%74' · 1–0 · Sporting Gijon 84%, draw 14%, Albacete 2%75' · 1–0 · Sporting Gijon 85%, draw 14%, Albacete 2%76' · 1–0 · Sporting Gijon 85%, draw 13%, Albacete 2%77' · 1–0 · Sporting Gijon 85%, draw 13%, Albacete 2%78' · 1–0 · Sporting Gijon 86%, draw 13%, Albacete 1%79' · 1–0 · Sporting Gijon 86%, draw 12%, Albacete 1%80' · 1–0 · Sporting Gijon 87%, draw 12%, Albacete 1%81' · 1–0 · Sporting Gijon 87%, draw 12%, Albacete 1%82' · 1–0 · Sporting Gijon 88%, draw 11%, Albacete 1%83' · 1–0 · Sporting Gijon 88%, draw 11%, Albacete 1%85' · 1–0 · Sporting Gijon 89%, draw 10%, Albacete 1%86' · 1–0 · Sporting Gijon 90%, draw 9%, Albacete 1%87' · 1–1 · Sporting Gijon 17%, draw 74%, Albacete 9%88' · 1–1 · Sporting Gijon 16%, draw 76%, Albacete 9%89' · 1–1 · Sporting Gijon 14%, draw 78%, Albacete 8%90' · 1–1 · Sporting Gijon 13%, draw 80%, Albacete 7%90+1' · 1–1 · Sporting Gijon 11%, draw 83%, Albacete 6%90+2' · 1–1 · Sporting Gijon 9%, draw 86%, Albacete 5%90+3' · 1–1 · Sporting Gijon 7%, draw 89%, Albacete 4%90+4' · 1–1 · Sporting Gijon 5%, draw 92%, Albacete 3%90+5' · 1–1 · Sporting Gijon 3%, draw 95%, Albacete 2%90+6' · 2–1 · Sporting Gijon 99%, draw 1%, Albacete 0%90+7' · 2–1 · Sporting Gijon 100%, draw 0%, Albacete 0%

Last reading, 90+7': 100% · 0% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Sporting Gijon 60% to win: they did.

  1. 17'Sporting Gijon:Alejo Sarco 1725 +34 assist Álex Corredera 1954 +18
  2. 45'Albacete:Higinio Marín 1527 −4 for Álex Rubio Roldán 1156 0
  3. 57'Albacete:Agustin Medina Delgado 1725 −5 for Víctor San Bartolomé 1483 −1
  4. 63'Sporting Gijon:Emanuel Gularte 1770 +12
  5. 70'Sporting Gijon:Hugo Guillamón 1846 −6* for Manuel Rodríguez Paz 1871 +8
  6. 70'Sporting Gijon:Pablo García 1746 +3 for Enol Prendes Ortiz 1518 +17
  7. 74'Albacete:Mario Soberon Gutierrez 1643 −1 for Dani Bernabéu 1609 0
  8. 78'Sporting Gijon:Juan Otero 1866 −9* for Alejo Sarco 1725 +34
  9. 78'Albacete:Javi Villar 1794 −1 for Antonio Pacheco Ruiz 1821 −6
  10. 78'Sporting Gijon:Bruno Rubio Argüelles 1415 −4* for Gaspar Campos 1816 +9
  11. 80'Sporting Gijon:Hugo Guillamón 1846 −6*
  12. 83'Sporting Gijon:Pablo García 1746 +3
  13. 86'Albacete:Jesús Vallejo 1747 −13 assist Victor Valverde da Silva 1364 0
  14. 88'Sporting Gijon:Nicolás Ricardo Larcamón
  15. 90+4'Albacete:Diego Mariño 1720 −7
  16. 90+5'Sporting Gijon:César Gelabert 1863 +27 assist Pablo García 1746 +3

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-4-2Formations3-5-2
Before kick-off: 60% · 24% · 16%(Sporting Gijon · draw · Albacete)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (11%); the result 2–1 had 10%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Sporting Gijon €985K, Albacete €611K.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Sporting Gijon

6th in Segunda División · 16 pts from 9

  • 11 OctWCadiz 1798
  • 4 OctWCelta de Vigo II 1809
  • 27 SepLOviedo 1877
  • 19 SepWFC Andorra 1849
  • 13 SepLEldense 1842

Albacete

22nd in Segunda División · 1 pts from 9

  • 12 OctLValladolid 1689
  • 3 OctLEibar 1703
  • 25 SepLGirona 1684
  • 18 SepLCordoba 1722
  • 12 SepDGranada CF 1726

Season outlook

From the Segunda División simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Sporting Gijon16 /967.04%31%0%6th
Albacete1 /944.20%0%46%21st
Sporting Gijon
Albacete

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 22nd on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Segunda División

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Álex Corredera
Álex Corredera

Sporting Gijon · +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1936

Antonio Pacheco
Antonio Pacheco

Albacete · +1.3 (Good) · Elo 1827

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Nicolás Ricardo Larcamón

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Joseba Andoni Etxeberria Lizardi

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Sporting Gijon: balanced profile (how Nicolás Ricardo Larcamón plays) · Albacete: direct (how Joseba Andoni Etxeberria Lizardi plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.