Segunda División · Regular Season - 10
Sporting Gijon 2–1 Albacete
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 16:30 UTC · El Molinón-Enrique Castro Quini, Gijon
Sporting GijonTeam 1787
AlbaceteTeam 1598Match story
Sporting Gijon · draw · AlbaceteBefore kick-off: 60% · 24% · 16%
Last reading, 90+7': 100% · 0% · 0%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Alejo Sarco 17'
- César Gelabert 90+5'
- Jesús Vallejo 86'
We gave Sporting Gijon 60% to win: they did.
- Alejo Sarco 1725 +34 assist Álex Corredera 1954 +1817'
Sporting Gijon:Alejo Sarco 1725 +34 assist Álex Corredera 1954 +18 - 45'Higinio Marín 1527 −4 for Álex Rubio Roldán 1156 0
Albacete:Higinio Marín 1527 −4 for Álex Rubio Roldán 1156 0 - 57'Agustin Medina Delgado 1725 −5 for Víctor San Bartolomé 1483 −1
Albacete:Agustin Medina Delgado 1725 −5 for Víctor San Bartolomé 1483 −1 - Emanuel Gularte 1770 +1263'
Sporting Gijon:Emanuel Gularte 1770 +12 - Hugo Guillamón 1846 −6* for Manuel Rodríguez Paz 1871 +870'
Sporting Gijon:Hugo Guillamón 1846 −6* for Manuel Rodríguez Paz 1871 +8 - Pablo García 1746 +3 for Enol Prendes Ortiz 1518 +1770'
Sporting Gijon:Pablo García 1746 +3 for Enol Prendes Ortiz 1518 +17 - 74'Mario Soberon Gutierrez 1643 −1 for Dani Bernabéu 1609 0
Albacete:Mario Soberon Gutierrez 1643 −1 for Dani Bernabéu 1609 0 - Juan Otero 1866 −9* for Alejo Sarco 1725 +3478'
Sporting Gijon:Juan Otero 1866 −9* for Alejo Sarco 1725 +34 - 78'Javi Villar 1794 −1 for Antonio Pacheco Ruiz 1821 −6
Albacete:Javi Villar 1794 −1 for Antonio Pacheco Ruiz 1821 −6 - Bruno Rubio Argüelles 1415 −4* for Gaspar Campos 1816 +978'
Sporting Gijon:Bruno Rubio Argüelles 1415 −4* for Gaspar Campos 1816 +9 - Hugo Guillamón 1846 −6*80'
Sporting Gijon:Hugo Guillamón 1846 −6* - Pablo García 1746 +383'
Sporting Gijon:Pablo García 1746 +3 - 86'Jesús Vallejo 1747 −13 assist Victor Valverde da Silva 1364 0
Albacete:Jesús Vallejo 1747 −13 assist Victor Valverde da Silva 1364 0 - Nicolás Ricardo Larcamón88'
Sporting Gijon:Nicolás Ricardo Larcamón - 90+4'Diego Mariño 1720 −7
Albacete:Diego Mariño 1720 −7 - César Gelabert 1863 +27 assist Pablo García 1746 +390+5'
Sporting Gijon:César Gelabert 1863 +27 assist Pablo García 1746 +3
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 60% · 24% · 16%(Sporting Gijon · draw · Albacete)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (11%); the result 2–1 had 10%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Sporting Gijon €985K, Albacete €611K.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Sporting Gijon
6th in Segunda División · 16 pts from 9
- 11 OctWCadiz Spain Segunda Division1798
- 4 OctWCelta de Vigo II Spain Segunda Division1809
- 27 SepLOviedo Spain Segunda Division1877
- 19 SepWFC Andorra Spain Segunda Division1849
- 13 SepLEldense Spain Segunda Division1842
Albacete
22nd in Segunda División · 1 pts from 9
- 12 OctLValladolid Spain Segunda Division1689
- 3 OctLEibar Spain Segunda Division1703
- 25 SepLGirona Spain Segunda Division1684
- 18 SepLCordoba Spain Segunda Division1722
- 12 SepDGranada CF Spain Segunda Division1726
Season outlook
From the Segunda División simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Gijon | 16 /9 | 67.0 | 4% | 31% | 0% | 6th |
| Albacete | 1 /9 | 44.2 | 0% | 0% | 46% | 21st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 22nd on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Sporting Gijon · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1936

Albacete · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Good) · Elo 1827
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Sporting Gijon: balanced profile (how Nicolás Ricardo Larcamón plays) · Albacete: direct (how Joseba Andoni Etxeberria Lizardi plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.