Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 9
Sporting CP vs Academico Viseu
Sun 25 Oct 2026 · 20:30 UTC
Sporting CP host Academico Viseu on Sun 25 Oct 2026 (Primeira Liga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Sporting CP 82%, draw 12%, Academico Viseu 6%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Sporting CP €14.8M, Academico Viseu €725K.
- Draw chance 12%, below the Primeira Liga average of 23% this round.
- Primeira Liga: L. Suárez is the highest-rated forward (2402).
- Sporting CP are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Sporting CP goals first.
- 3–010%
- 2–010%
- 3–18%
- 4–08%
- 2–18%
- 4–16%
- Other scores50%
Team Elo: Sporting CP 2223 · Academico Viseu 1710
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Sporting CP · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.5 (Elite) · Elo 2293
Academico Viseu · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.3 (Good) · Elo 1615
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Sporting CP
3rd in Primeira Liga · 18 pts from 8
- 13 OctWLens UEFA Champions League2247
- 9 OctWSC Braga Primeira Liga2196
- 19 SepDArouca Primeira Liga2274
- 13 SepDFamalicao Primeira Liga2229
- 9 SepWGalatasaray UEFA Champions League2219
Academico Viseu
6th in Primeira Liga · 14 pts from 8
- 10 OctWEstoril Primeira Liga1701
- 20 SepWEstrela Primeira Liga1665
- 12 SepWVitória SC Primeira Liga1623
- 6 SepWGIL Vicente Primeira Liga1653
- 29 AugLFC Porto Primeira Liga1616
Season outlook
From the Primeira Liga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting CP | 18 /8 | 75.5 | 7% | 100% | 0% | 3rd |
| Academico Viseu | 14 /8 | 43.7 | 0% | 2% | 3% | 7th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Sporting CP: possession-based · creative (how Rui Manuel Gomes Borges plays) · Academico Viseu: balanced profile (how Bruno Miguel Nogueira Pinheiro plays)