Segunda Liga · Regular Season - 10
Sporting CP B vs Tondela
Sun 8 Nov 2026 · 18:00 UTC · CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira, Alcochete
Sporting CP B host Tondela on Sun 8 Nov 2026 (Segunda Liga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Sporting CP B 45%, draw 28%, Tondela 27%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Sporting CP B €641K, Tondela €391K.
- Only 0 of Sporting CP B's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Sporting CP B goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 0–08%
- 2–08%
- 1–27%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Sporting CP B 1610 · Tondela 1564
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Tondela · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.4 (Good) · Elo 1705
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Sporting CP B
2nd in Segunda Liga · 15 pts from 7
- 10 OctWVizela Liga Portugal 21629
- 14 SepLLusitânia Lourosa Liga Portugal 21638
- 5 SepWFeirense Liga Portugal 21579
- 30 AugWFarense Liga Portugal 21601
- 9 AugWAVS Liga Portugal 21496
Tondela
7th in Segunda Liga · 12 pts from 7
- 10 OctWTorreense Liga Portugal 21567
- 12 SepWPortimonense Liga Portugal 21480
- 5 SepWFC Porto B Liga Portugal 21509
- 28 AugLUnião de Leiria Liga Portugal 21440
- 16 AugLLeixoes Liga Portugal 21537
Season outlook
From the Segunda Liga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting CP B | 15 /7 | 58.5 | 34% | 76% | <1% | 1st |
| Tondela | 12 /7 | 51.9 | 8% | 39% | 2% | 3rd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –