Serie B · Regular Season - 38
Sport Recife vs Goias
Sat 14 Nov 2026 · 19:30 UTC · Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho, Recife
Sport Recife host Goias on Sat 14 Nov 2026 (Serie B); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Sport Recife 50%, draw 27%, Goias 23%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Sport Recife €775K, Goias €463K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Sport Recife goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–110%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 1–26%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Sport Recife 1719 · Goias 1672
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Sport Recife · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.5 (Good) · Elo 1829
Goias · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.5 (Good) · Elo 1748
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Sport Recife
7th in Serie B · 54 pts from 35
- 24 OctWCriciuma Brazil Serie B1731
- 16 OctLFortaleza EC Brazil Serie B1732
- 11 OctDAtletico Goianiense Brazil Serie B1726
- 6 OctWSão Bernardo Brazil Serie B1710
- 1 OctWAthletic Club Brazil Serie B1680
Goias
9th in Serie B · 52 pts from 35
- 27 OctWCeara Brazil Serie B1630
- 19 OctDNautico Recife Brazil Serie B1658
- 11 OctWOperario-PR Brazil Serie B1634
- 6 OctWAthletic Club Brazil Serie B1633
- 2 OctLNovorizontino Brazil Serie B1605
Season outlook
From the Serie B simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sport Recife | 54 /35 | 58.4 | 0% | 1% | 0% | 7th |
| Goias | 52 /35 | 56.8 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 9th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Sport Recife: balanced profile (how M. Soso plays) · Goias: balanced profile (how Mozart plays)