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Serie B · Regular Season - 34

Sport Recife 0–2 Fortaleza EC

Fri 16 Oct 2026 · 23:30 UTC · Ilha do Retiro, Recife

Sport Recife crestSport RecifeTeam 1743
0–2
Full time
HT 0–1
Fortaleza EC crestFortaleza ECTeam 1731

Match story

Sport Recife · draw · Fortaleza EC

Before kick-off: 47% · 28% · 25%

Live chances: Sport Recife 0%, draw 0%, Fortaleza EC 100% at 90+6'1' · 0–0 · Sport Recife 47%, draw 28%, Fortaleza EC 25%2' · 0–0 · Sport Recife 47%, draw 28%, Fortaleza EC 25%3' · 0–0 · Sport Recife 47%, draw 28%, Fortaleza EC 25%4' · 0–0 · Sport Recife 46%, draw 29%, Fortaleza EC 25%5' · 0–0 · Sport Recife 46%, draw 29%, Fortaleza EC 25%6' · 0–0 · Sport Recife 46%, draw 29%, Fortaleza EC 25%7' · 0–0 · Sport Recife 46%, draw 29%, Fortaleza EC 25%8' · 0–0 · Sport Recife 46%, draw 29%, Fortaleza EC 25%9' · 0–0 · Sport Recife 46%, draw 29%, Fortaleza EC 25%10' · 0–0 · Sport Recife 46%, draw 29%, Fortaleza EC 25%11' · 0–0 · Sport Recife 45%, draw 30%, Fortaleza EC 25%12' · 0–0 · Sport Recife 45%, draw 30%, Fortaleza EC 25%13' · 0–0 · Sport Recife 45%, draw 30%, Fortaleza EC 25%14' · 0–0 · Sport Recife 45%, draw 30%, Fortaleza EC 25%15' · 0–0 · Sport Recife 45%, draw 30%, Fortaleza EC 25%16' · 0–0 · Sport Recife 45%, draw 31%, Fortaleza EC 25%17' · 0–0 · Sport Recife 44%, draw 31%, Fortaleza EC 25%18' · 0–0 · Sport Recife 44%, draw 31%, Fortaleza EC 25%19' · 0–0 · Sport Recife 44%, draw 31%, Fortaleza EC 25%20' · 0–0 · Sport Recife 44%, draw 31%, Fortaleza EC 25%21' · 0–0 · Sport Recife 44%, draw 32%, Fortaleza EC 25%22' · 0–0 · Sport Recife 43%, draw 32%, Fortaleza EC 25%23' · 0–0 · Sport Recife 43%, draw 32%, Fortaleza EC 25%24' · 0–0 · Sport Recife 43%, draw 32%, Fortaleza EC 25%25' · 0–0 · Sport Recife 43%, draw 32%, Fortaleza EC 25%26' · 0–0 · Sport Recife 43%, draw 33%, Fortaleza EC 25%27' · 0–0 · Sport Recife 43%, draw 33%, Fortaleza EC 25%28' · 0–0 · Sport Recife 42%, draw 33%, Fortaleza EC 25%29' · 0–0 · Sport Recife 42%, draw 33%, Fortaleza EC 25%30' · 0–0 · Sport Recife 42%, draw 34%, Fortaleza EC 25%31' · 0–0 · Sport Recife 42%, draw 34%, Fortaleza EC 24%32' · 0–0 · Sport Recife 41%, draw 34%, Fortaleza EC 24%33' · 0–0 · Sport Recife 41%, draw 34%, Fortaleza EC 24%34' · 0–0 · Sport Recife 41%, draw 35%, Fortaleza EC 24%35' · 0–0 · Sport Recife 41%, draw 35%, Fortaleza EC 24%36' · 0–0 · Sport Recife 41%, draw 35%, Fortaleza EC 24%37' · 0–0 · Sport Recife 40%, draw 36%, Fortaleza EC 24%38' · 0–0 · Sport Recife 40%, draw 36%, Fortaleza EC 24%39' · 0–0 · Sport Recife 40%, draw 36%, Fortaleza EC 24%40' · 0–0 · Sport Recife 39%, draw 37%, Fortaleza EC 24%41' · 0–0 · Sport Recife 39%, draw 37%, Fortaleza EC 24%42' · 0–0 · Sport Recife 39%, draw 37%, Fortaleza EC 24%43' · 0–0 · Sport Recife 39%, draw 38%, Fortaleza EC 24%44' · 0–0 · Sport Recife 38%, draw 38%, Fortaleza EC 24%45' · 0–0 · Sport Recife 38%, draw 38%, Fortaleza EC 24%45+1' · 0–0 · Sport Recife 38%, draw 39%, Fortaleza EC 23%45+2' · 0–0 · Sport Recife 23%, draw 40%, Fortaleza EC 37%45+3' · 0–1 · Sport Recife 7%, draw 20%, Fortaleza EC 73%45+4' · 0–1 · Sport Recife 7%, draw 20%, Fortaleza EC 73%45+5' · 0–1 · Sport Recife 7%, draw 20%, Fortaleza EC 73%45+6' · 0–1 · Sport Recife 7%, draw 20%, Fortaleza EC 73%45+7' · 0–1 · Sport Recife 7%, draw 20%, Fortaleza EC 73%45+8' · 0–1 · Sport Recife 7%, draw 20%, Fortaleza EC 73%HT · 0–1 · Sport Recife 7%, draw 20%, Fortaleza EC 73%47' · 0–1 · Sport Recife 7%, draw 20%, Fortaleza EC 73%48' · 0–1 · Sport Recife 7%, draw 20%, Fortaleza EC 73%49' · 0–1 · Sport Recife 6%, draw 20%, Fortaleza EC 74%50' · 0–1 · Sport Recife 6%, draw 20%, Fortaleza EC 74%51' · 0–1 · Sport Recife 6%, draw 20%, Fortaleza EC 74%52' · 0–1 · Sport Recife 6%, draw 20%, Fortaleza EC 74%53' · 0–1 · Sport Recife 6%, draw 20%, Fortaleza EC 75%54' · 0–1 · Sport Recife 6%, draw 20%, Fortaleza EC 75%55' · 0–1 · Sport Recife 5%, draw 19%, Fortaleza EC 75%56' · 0–1 · Sport Recife 5%, draw 19%, Fortaleza EC 75%57' · 0–1 · Sport Recife 5%, draw 19%, Fortaleza EC 76%58' · 0–1 · Sport Recife 5%, draw 19%, Fortaleza EC 76%59' · 0–1 · Sport Recife 5%, draw 19%, Fortaleza EC 76%60' · 0–1 · Sport Recife 4%, draw 19%, Fortaleza EC 77%61' · 0–1 · Sport Recife 4%, draw 19%, Fortaleza EC 77%62' · 0–1 · Sport Recife 4%, draw 18%, Fortaleza EC 77%63' · 0–1 · Sport Recife 4%, draw 18%, Fortaleza EC 78%64' · 0–1 · Sport Recife 4%, draw 18%, Fortaleza EC 78%65' · 0–1 · Sport Recife 4%, draw 18%, Fortaleza EC 78%66' · 0–1 · Sport Recife 3%, draw 18%, Fortaleza EC 79%67' · 0–1 · Sport Recife 3%, draw 18%, Fortaleza EC 79%68' · 0–1 · Sport Recife 3%, draw 17%, Fortaleza EC 80%69' · 0–1 · Sport Recife 3%, draw 17%, Fortaleza EC 80%70' · 0–2 · Sport Recife 0%, draw 2%, Fortaleza EC 98%71' · 0–2 · Sport Recife 0%, draw 2%, Fortaleza EC 98%72' · 0–2 · Sport Recife 0%, draw 2%, Fortaleza EC 98%73' · 0–2 · Sport Recife 0%, draw 2%, Fortaleza EC 98%74' · 0–2 · Sport Recife 0%, draw 2%, Fortaleza EC 98%75' · 0–2 · Sport Recife 0%, draw 1%, Fortaleza EC 98%76' · 0–2 · Sport Recife 0%, draw 1%, Fortaleza EC 99%77' · 0–2 · Sport Recife 0%, draw 1%, Fortaleza EC 99%78' · 0–2 · Sport Recife 0%, draw 1%, Fortaleza EC 99%79' · 0–2 · Sport Recife 0%, draw 1%, Fortaleza EC 99%80' · 0–2 · Sport Recife 0%, draw 1%, Fortaleza EC 99%81' · 0–2 · Sport Recife 0%, draw 2%, Fortaleza EC 98%82' · 0–2 · Sport Recife 0%, draw 2%, Fortaleza EC 98%83' · 0–2 · Sport Recife 0%, draw 1%, Fortaleza EC 99%84' · 0–2 · Sport Recife 0%, draw 1%, Fortaleza EC 99%85' · 0–2 · Sport Recife 0%, draw 1%, Fortaleza EC 99%86' · 0–2 · Sport Recife 0%, draw 1%, Fortaleza EC 99%87' · 0–2 · Sport Recife 0%, draw 1%, Fortaleza EC 99%88' · 0–2 · Sport Recife 0%, draw 1%, Fortaleza EC 99%89' · 0–2 · Sport Recife 0%, draw 1%, Fortaleza EC 99%90' · 0–2 · Sport Recife 0%, draw 0%, Fortaleza EC 100%90+1' · 0–2 · Sport Recife 0%, draw 0%, Fortaleza EC 100%90+2' · 0–2 · Sport Recife 0%, draw 0%, Fortaleza EC 100%90+3' · 0–2 · Sport Recife 0%, draw 0%, Fortaleza EC 100%90+4' · 0–2 · Sport Recife 0%, draw 0%, Fortaleza EC 100%90+5' · 0–2 · Sport Recife 0%, draw 0%, Fortaleza EC 100%90+6' · 0–2 · Sport Recife 0%, draw 0%, Fortaleza EC 100%

Last reading, 90+6': 0% · 0% · 100%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Sport Recife 47% to win: Fortaleza EC won.

  1. 13'Sport Recife:Marcelo Ajul 1783 −7
  2. 19'Fortaleza EC:Maurício Mucuri 1481 +25
  3. 27'Sport Recife:Mariano Andrés Soso
  4. 44'Fortaleza EC:Tomás Cardona 1895 +29
  5. 45'Sport Recife:Marcelo Ajul 1783 −7
  6. 45'Fortaleza EC:Kaio Henrique 1707 +15 for Maurício Mucuri 1481 +25
  7. 45'Sport Recife: José Gabriel dos Santos Silva 1675 −1 for Biel 1531 0
  8. 45+3'Fortaleza EC:Tomás Cardona 1895 +29 assist Maílton 1906 +42
  9. 45+6'Sport Recife:Biel 1531 0
  10. 54'Fortaleza EC:Pedro Henrique 1527 +12 for Juan Camilo Cantillo 1427 +34
  11. 58'Fortaleza EC:Jailson Siqueira 1884 +3*
  12. 59'Sport Recife:Edson Lucas Pereira 1661 0 for Raí Lopes de Oliveira 1644 0
  13. 59'Sport Recife:Marlon Douglas 1550 −1 for Diego·Hernandez 1715 −4
  14. 59'Sport Recife:Neto Pessoa 1676 −4 for Pedro Henrique Perotti 1736 −7
  15. 66'Fortaleza EC:Lucas Xavier Gazal 1917 +3 for Tomás Cardona 1895 +29
  16. 69'Fortaleza EC:Rodrigo Henrique Santos De Souza 1870 +56
  17. 79'Sport Recife:Carlos María de Pena Bonino 1537 −7 for Willian Oliveira 1722 −12
  18. 80'Fortaleza EC:Jailson Siqueira 1884 +3*
  19. 83'Fortaleza EC:ronald falkoski 1734 +2 for Neris 1701 +71*
  20. 83'Fortaleza EC:Welliton Silva de Azevedo Matheus 1731 +2 for Luiz Fernando 1819 +18
  21. 83'Sport Recife:Kervin Andrade 1543 0 for Habraão Lincon do Nascimento Saraiva 1716 −15*
  22. 90+5'Fortaleza EC:Rodrigo Oliveira dos Santos 1665 0 for Rodrigo Henrique Santos De Souza 1870 +56

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-2-3-1Formations4-3-3
GThiago Couto1813−20
DClaudinho1729−29
DHabraão1716−15*
DMarcelo Ajul1783−7
DRaí16440
MBiel15310
MWillian Oliveira1722−12
MChrystian Barletta1811−20
MD. Hernández1715−4
MPatrick de Paula1735−10
FPerotti1736−7
CM. Soso1780−32
GJoão Ricardo1831+14
DMaílton1906+42
DNeris1701+71*
DT. Cardona1895+29
DBartolomeu Jacinto Quissanga1908+24*
MJaílson1884+3*
MPierre1887+48
MMaurício Júnior Lima Rodrigues1481+25
FLucas Crispim1560
FJ. Cantillo1427+34
FLuiz Fernando1819+18
CPaulo Autuori1871+33
Before kick-off: 47% · 28% · 25%(Sport Recife · draw · Fortaleza EC)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 0–2 had 4%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Sport Recife €802K, Fortaleza EC €694K.
  • Home advantage made Sport Recife the favourite: it added 11 points to their win chance.
  • Serie B: Lucas Gazal was the highest-rated defender (1914).
  • Fortaleza EC were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Sport Recife

8th in Serie B · 51 pts from 33

  • 11 OctDAtletico Goianiense 1726
  • 6 OctWSão Bernardo 1710
  • 1 OctWAthletic Club 1680
  • 26 SepLNautico Recife 1710
  • 19 SepWJuventude 1693

Fortaleza EC

4th in Serie B · 57 pts from 33

  • 12 OctDCRB 1709
  • 7 OctWAmerica Mineiro 1767
  • 3 OctDNautico Recife 1777
  • 27 SepDAthletic Club 1800
  • 20 SepWLondrina 1804

Season outlook

From the Serie B simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Sport Recife51 /3358.80%6%0%8th
Fortaleza EC57 /3364.86%65%0%4th
Sport Recife
Fortaleza EC

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Serie B

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Chrystian Barletta
Chrystian Barletta

Sport Recife · +4.0 (Good) · Elo 1831

Pierre
Pierre

Fortaleza EC · +2.6 (Good) · Elo 1839

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Mariano Andrés Soso

Coach DNA: possession-based

Paulo Autuori de Mello

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Sport Recife: balanced profile (how Mariano Andrés Soso plays) · Fortaleza EC: direct (how Paulo Autuori de Mello plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.