Serie B · Regular Season - 35
Sport Recife vs Criciuma
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 00:00 UTC · Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho, Recife
Sport Recife host Criciuma on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (Serie B); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Sport Recife 47%, draw 28%, Criciuma 25%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Sport Recife €733K, Criciuma €378K.
- All 11 of Criciuma's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Sport Recife goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 1–27%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Sport Recife 1717 · Criciuma 1704
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Sport Recife · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.5 (Good) · Elo 1811
Criciuma · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Good) · Elo 1768
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Sport Recife
8th in Serie B · 51 pts from 34
- 16 OctLFortaleza EC Brazil Serie B1732
- 11 OctDAtletico Goianiense Brazil Serie B1726
- 6 OctWSão Bernardo Brazil Serie B1710
- 1 OctWAthletic Club Brazil Serie B1680
- 26 SepLNautico Recife Brazil Serie B1710
Criciuma
5th in Serie B · 59 pts from 34
- 18 OctWSão Bernardo Brazil Serie B1686
- 12 OctWAmerica Mineiro Brazil Serie B1679
- 8 OctLCeara Brazil Serie B1690
- 2 OctWLondrina Brazil Serie B1668
- 27 SepWAvai Brazil Serie B1646
Season outlook
From the Serie B simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sport Recife | 51 /34 | 57.2 | 0% | <1% | 0% | 8th |
| Criciuma | 59 /34 | 64.9 | 4% | 50% | 0% | 5th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Sport Recife: balanced profile (how Mariano Andrés Soso plays) · Criciuma: balanced profile