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Premier League · Regular Season - 11

Spartak Moscow 4–0 Rubin

Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 15:45 UTC · Lukoil Arena, Moscow

Spartak Moscow crestSpartak MoscowTeam 1954
4–0
Full time
HT 2–0
Rubin crestRubinTeam 1726

Match story

Spartak Moscow · draw · Rubin

Before kick-off: 63% · 22% · 15%

Live chances: Spartak Moscow 100%, draw 0%, Rubin 0% at 90+4'2' · 0–0 · Spartak Moscow 63%, draw 22%, Rubin 15%3' · 0–0 · Spartak Moscow 62%, draw 23%, Rubin 15%4' · 0–0 · Spartak Moscow 62%, draw 23%, Rubin 15%5' · 0–0 · Spartak Moscow 62%, draw 23%, Rubin 15%6' · 0–0 · Spartak Moscow 62%, draw 23%, Rubin 15%8' · 0–0 · Spartak Moscow 62%, draw 23%, Rubin 15%10' · 0–0 · Spartak Moscow 61%, draw 24%, Rubin 15%11' · 0–0 · Spartak Moscow 61%, draw 24%, Rubin 15%12' · 0–0 · Spartak Moscow 61%, draw 24%, Rubin 15%13' · 0–0 · Spartak Moscow 60%, draw 24%, Rubin 15%14' · 0–0 · Spartak Moscow 60%, draw 24%, Rubin 16%15' · 0–0 · Spartak Moscow 60%, draw 24%, Rubin 16%16' · 0–0 · Spartak Moscow 60%, draw 25%, Rubin 16%17' · 0–0 · Spartak Moscow 59%, draw 25%, Rubin 16%18' · 0–0 · Spartak Moscow 59%, draw 25%, Rubin 16%19' · 0–0 · Spartak Moscow 59%, draw 25%, Rubin 16%20' · 1–0 · Spartak Moscow 82%, draw 13%, Rubin 5%21' · 1–0 · Spartak Moscow 82%, draw 13%, Rubin 5%22' · 1–0 · Spartak Moscow 82%, draw 13%, Rubin 5%23' · 1–0 · Spartak Moscow 82%, draw 13%, Rubin 5%24' · 1–0 · Spartak Moscow 82%, draw 13%, Rubin 5%25' · 1–0 · Spartak Moscow 82%, draw 13%, Rubin 5%27' · 1–0 · Spartak Moscow 82%, draw 14%, Rubin 5%28' · 1–0 · Spartak Moscow 82%, draw 14%, Rubin 5%29' · 1–0 · Spartak Moscow 82%, draw 14%, Rubin 5%30' · 1–0 · Spartak Moscow 82%, draw 14%, Rubin 5%31' · 1–0 · Spartak Moscow 82%, draw 14%, Rubin 5%32' · 1–0 · Spartak Moscow 82%, draw 14%, Rubin 5%33' · 1–0 · Spartak Moscow 82%, draw 14%, Rubin 5%34' · 1–0 · Spartak Moscow 81%, draw 14%, Rubin 5%35' · 1–0 · Spartak Moscow 81%, draw 14%, Rubin 5%37' · 1–0 · Spartak Moscow 81%, draw 14%, Rubin 4%38' · 1–0 · Spartak Moscow 81%, draw 14%, Rubin 4%39' · 1–0 · Spartak Moscow 81%, draw 14%, Rubin 4%40' · 1–0 · Spartak Moscow 81%, draw 14%, Rubin 4%41' · 1–0 · Spartak Moscow 81%, draw 14%, Rubin 4%42' · 1–0 · Spartak Moscow 81%, draw 14%, Rubin 4%43' · 1–0 · Spartak Moscow 81%, draw 14%, Rubin 4%44' · 2–0 · Spartak Moscow 96%, draw 3%, Rubin 1%45' · 2–0 · Spartak Moscow 96%, draw 3%, Rubin 1%45+1' · 2–0 · Spartak Moscow 96%, draw 3%, Rubin 1%45+2' · 2–0 · Spartak Moscow 96%, draw 3%, Rubin 1%HT · 2–0 · Spartak Moscow 96%, draw 3%, Rubin 1%47' · 2–0 · Spartak Moscow 96%, draw 3%, Rubin 1%48' · 2–0 · Spartak Moscow 96%, draw 3%, Rubin 1%49' · 2–0 · Spartak Moscow 96%, draw 3%, Rubin 1%50' · 2–0 · Spartak Moscow 96%, draw 3%, Rubin 0%51' · 2–0 · Spartak Moscow 97%, draw 3%, Rubin 0%52' · 2–0 · Spartak Moscow 97%, draw 3%, Rubin 0%53' · 2–0 · Spartak Moscow 97%, draw 3%, Rubin 0%54' · 2–0 · Spartak Moscow 97%, draw 3%, Rubin 0%55' · 2–0 · Spartak Moscow 97%, draw 3%, Rubin 0%56' · 2–0 · Spartak Moscow 97%, draw 3%, Rubin 0%57' · 2–0 · Spartak Moscow 97%, draw 3%, Rubin 0%58' · 2–0 · Spartak Moscow 97%, draw 3%, Rubin 0%59' · 2–0 · Spartak Moscow 97%, draw 3%, Rubin 0%60' · 2–0 · Spartak Moscow 97%, draw 2%, Rubin 0%61' · 2–0 · Spartak Moscow 97%, draw 2%, Rubin 0%62' · 2–0 · Spartak Moscow 97%, draw 2%, Rubin 0%63' · 2–0 · Spartak Moscow 97%, draw 2%, Rubin 0%64' · 2–0 · Spartak Moscow 98%, draw 2%, Rubin 0%65' · 2–0 · Spartak Moscow 98%, draw 2%, Rubin 0%67' · 3–0 · Spartak Moscow 100%, draw 0%, Rubin 0%67' · 2–0 · Spartak Moscow 98%, draw 2%, Rubin 0%68' · 3–0 · Spartak Moscow 100%, draw 0%, Rubin 0%69' · 3–0 · Spartak Moscow 100%, draw 0%, Rubin 0%70' · 3–0 · Spartak Moscow 100%, draw 0%, Rubin 0%71' · 3–0 · Spartak Moscow 100%, draw 0%, Rubin 0%72' · 3–0 · Spartak Moscow 100%, draw 0%, Rubin 0%74' · 3–0 · Spartak Moscow 100%, draw 0%, Rubin 0%75' · 3–0 · Spartak Moscow 100%, draw 0%, Rubin 0%76' · 3–0 · Spartak Moscow 100%, draw 0%, Rubin 0%77' · 3–0 · Spartak Moscow 100%, draw 0%, Rubin 0%78' · 3–0 · Spartak Moscow 100%, draw 0%, Rubin 0%79' · 3–0 · Spartak Moscow 100%, draw 0%, Rubin 0%80' · 3–0 · Spartak Moscow 100%, draw 0%, Rubin 0%81' · 3–0 · Spartak Moscow 100%, draw 0%, Rubin 0%82' · 3–0 · Spartak Moscow 100%, draw 0%, Rubin 0%83' · 3–0 · Spartak Moscow 100%, draw 0%, Rubin 0%84' · 3–0 · Spartak Moscow 100%, draw 0%, Rubin 0%85' · 3–0 · Spartak Moscow 100%, draw 0%, Rubin 0%86' · 3–0 · Spartak Moscow 100%, draw 0%, Rubin 0%87' · 3–0 · Spartak Moscow 100%, draw 0%, Rubin 0%88' · 3–0 · Spartak Moscow 100%, draw 0%, Rubin 0%89' · 3–0 · Spartak Moscow 100%, draw 0%, Rubin 0%90' · 3–0 · Spartak Moscow 100%, draw 0%, Rubin 0%90+1' · 3–0 · Spartak Moscow 100%, draw 0%, Rubin 0%90+2' · 3–0 · Spartak Moscow 100%, draw 0%, Rubin 0%90+3' · 3–0 · Spartak Moscow 100%, draw 0%, Rubin 0%90+4' · 3–0 · Spartak Moscow 100%, draw 0%, Rubin 0%

Last reading, 90+4': 100% · 0% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Spartak Moscow 63% to win: they did.

  1. 4'Rubin:Jakhongir Urozov 1473 0
  2. 5'Spartak Moscow:Manfred Ugalde 2006 +16
  3. 18'Spartak Moscow:Pablo Solari 2070 +14
  4. 36'Spartak Moscow:Victor Parada 1975 +7
  5. 43'Spartak Moscow:Manfred Ugalde 2006 +16 assist Ruslan Litvinov 2037 +21
  6. 45'Rubin:Nazmi Gripshi 1808 −4 for Ulvi Babaev 1464 0
  7. 63'Spartak Moscow:Igor Dmitriev 1741 +12 for Victor Parada 1975 +7
  8. 63'Spartak Moscow:Daniil Denisov 2013 +6 for Marquinhos 1988 +17
  9. 64'Spartak Moscow:Mirlind Daku 1823 +11 for Manfred Ugalde 2006 +16
  10. 65'Spartak Moscow:Mirlind Daku 1823 +11 assist Pablo Solari 2070 +14
  11. 69'Rubin:Egor Teslenko 1834 −9* for Jakhongir Urozov 1473 0
  12. 69'Rubin:Ignacio Saavedra 1779 −1 for Veldin Hodza 1922 −10
  13. 69'Rubin:Ruslan Bezrukov 1833 −1 for Jacques Siwe 1787 −2
  14. 74'Spartak Moscow:Nikita Massalyga 1651 +3* for Pablo Solari 2070 +14
  15. 79'Rubin:Daniil Motorin 1352 −8* for Eddie Salcedo 1794 −3
  16. 83'Spartak Moscow:Ivan Sorokin 1661 −6* for Esequiel Barco 2069 +15
  17. 86'Spartak Moscow:Ivan Sorokin 1661 −6*
  18. 90'Spartak Moscow:Mirlind Daku 1823 +11

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-1-4-1Formations5-4-1
GI. Pomazun1657+22
DVíctor Parada1975+7
MR. Litvinov2037+21
DS. Babić1938+28
MR. Zobnin1934+26
MN. Umyarov2033+7
FP. Solari2070+14
MD. Prutsev1934+31
ME. Barco2069+15
FMarquinhos1988+17
FM. Ugalde2006+16
CCarcedo2000+16
GE. Staver1849−8
DA. Arroyo1864−9
DN. Lobov1768−1
DI. Vujačić1820−9
DJ. Urozov14730
DI. Rozhkov1837−7
FJ. Siwe1787−2
MU. Iwu1848−8
MV. Hodža1922−10
FU. Babaev14640
FE. Salcedo1794−3
CFranc Artiga16450
Before kick-off: 63% · 22% · 15%(Spartak Moscow · draw · Rubin)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 2–0 (11%); the result 4–0 had 4%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Spartak Moscow €4.8M, Rubin €1.8M.
  • Spartak Moscow were without 2 expected starters: A. Maksimenko (2017) and Gedson Fernandes (2041).
  • Rubin were without 2 expected starters: I. Samoshnikov (1801) and A. Jukić (1722).
  • Style contrast in possession (Premier Liga): Spartak Moscow ranked #2 of 15, Rubin #13.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Spartak Moscow

5th in Premier Liga · 20 pts from 10

  • 10 OctDKrylia Sovetov 2013
  • 16 SepWFakel 1986
  • 13 SepWFC Rostov 1992
  • 6 SepLDynamo 2011
  • 30 AugDFC Orenburg 2003

Rubin

8th in Premier Liga · 12 pts from 10

  • 11 OctLDynamo 1800
  • 16 SepDRodina Moskva 1801
  • 12 SepDCSKA Moscow 1785
  • 7 SepDAkhmat 1794
  • 30 AugWDinamo Makhachkala 1757

Season outlook

From the Premier League simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Spartak Moscow20 /1055.88%77%0%3rd
Rubin12 /1039.90%2%2%6th
Spartak Moscow
Rubin

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Premier League

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

R. Litvinov
R. Litvinov

Spartak Moscow · +2.2 (Good) · Elo 2016

V. Hodža
V. Hodža

Rubin · +2.6 (Good) · Elo 1932

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Juan Carlos Carcedo Mardones

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Francesc Artiga Cebrián

Coach DNA: low-volume

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Spartak Moscow: possession-based (how Juan Carlos Carcedo Mardones plays) · Rubin: direct (how Francesc Artiga Cebrián plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.