Premier League · Regular Season - 14
Spartak Moscow vs Akron
Sun 8 Nov 2026 · 13:15 UTC · Lukoil Arena, Moscow
Spartak Moscow host Akron on Sun 8 Nov 2026 (Premier League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Spartak Moscow 71%, draw 18%, Akron 11%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Spartak Moscow €5.2M, Akron €954K.
- Draw chance 18%, below the Premier Liga average of 24% this round.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Spartak Moscow goals first.
- 2–011%
- 2–110%
- 3–09%
- 1–19%
- 1–08%
- 3–18%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Spartak Moscow 1986 · Akron 1660
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Spartak Moscow · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 2070
Akron · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.3 (Elite) · Elo 1699
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Spartak Moscow
3rd in Premier Liga · 23 pts from 11
- 18 OctWRubin Russia Premier League1963
- 10 OctDKrylia Sovetov Russia Premier League2013
- 16 SepWFakel Russia Premier League1986
- 13 SepWFC Rostov Russia Premier League1992
- 6 SepLDynamo Russia Premier League2011
Akron
14th in Premier Liga · 9 pts from 11
- 17 OctDDinamo Makhachkala Russia Premier League1682
- 9 OctLFC Rostov Russia Premier League1712
- 17 SepWAkhmat Russia Premier League1677
- 13 SepDFC Krasnodar Russia Premier League1661
- 6 SepDFC Orenburg Russia Premier League1605
Season outlook
From the Premier League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spartak Moscow | 23 /11 | 57.2 | 9% | 84% | 0% | 3rd |
| Akron | 9 /11 | 29.7 | 0% | 0% | 40% | 14th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: possession-based · creative
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Spartak Moscow: possession-based (how Carcedo plays) · Akron: balanced profile (how Srđan Blagojević plays)