First League · Regular Season - 17
Spartak Kostroma vs Nizhny Novgorod
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 16:00 UTC · Stadion Urozhay, Karavaevo
Spartak Kostroma host Nizhny Novgorod on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (First League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Spartak Kostroma 33%, draw 29%, Nizhny Novgorod 38%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Spartak Kostroma €260K, Nizhny Novgorod €585K.
- First League: N. Medvedev is the highest-rated goalkeeper (1742).
- Nizhny Novgorod are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Spartak Kostroma goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–19%
- 0–09%
- 1–28%
- 1–08%
- 2–18%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Spartak Kostroma 1489 · Nizhny Novgorod 1633
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Nizhny Novgorod · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.0 (Average) · Elo 1596
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Spartak Kostroma
4th in First League · 27 pts from 14
- 17 OctWLeningradets Russia First League1464
- 9 OctLArsenal Tula Russia First League1481
- 26 SepLUral Russia First League1476
- 18 SepWVolga Ulyanovsk Russia First League1462
- 14 SepWFK Neftekhimik Russia First League1485
Nizhny Novgorod
1st in First League · 37 pts from 14
- 18 OctWUral Russia First League1619
- 10 OctWEnisey Russia First League1600
- 17 SepWLeningradets Russia First League1599
- 13 SepWTorpedo Moskva Russia First League1581
- 30 AugDVolga Ulyanovsk Russia First League1600
Season outlook
From the First League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spartak Kostroma | 27 /14 | 54.4 | 1% | 31% | 0% | 5th |
| Nizhny Novgorod | 37 /14 | 71.2 | 74% | 99% | 0% | 1st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –