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Eredivisie · Regular Season - 9

Sparta Rotterdam 3–2 Willem II

Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Sparta Stadium Het Kasteel, Rotterdam

Sparta Rotterdam crestSparta RotterdamTeam 1684
3–2
Full time
HT 1–1
Willem II crestWillem IITeam 1669

Match story

Sparta Rotterdam · draw · Willem II

Before kick-off: 43% · 27% · 30%

Live chances: Sparta Rotterdam 96%, draw 4%, Willem II 0% at 90+4'2' · 0–0 · Sparta Rotterdam 43%, draw 27%, Willem II 30%3' · 0–0 · Sparta Rotterdam 43%, draw 27%, Willem II 30%4' · 0–0 · Sparta Rotterdam 43%, draw 28%, Willem II 30%5' · 0–0 · Sparta Rotterdam 43%, draw 28%, Willem II 30%6' · 0–0 · Sparta Rotterdam 43%, draw 28%, Willem II 30%7' · 0–0 · Sparta Rotterdam 42%, draw 28%, Willem II 30%8' · 0–0 · Sparta Rotterdam 42%, draw 28%, Willem II 30%9' · 0–0 · Sparta Rotterdam 42%, draw 28%, Willem II 30%10' · 0–0 · Sparta Rotterdam 42%, draw 28%, Willem II 30%11' · 0–0 · Sparta Rotterdam 42%, draw 28%, Willem II 30%12' · 0–0 · Sparta Rotterdam 42%, draw 28%, Willem II 30%13' · 0–0 · Sparta Rotterdam 42%, draw 29%, Willem II 30%14' · 0–0 · Sparta Rotterdam 42%, draw 29%, Willem II 30%15' · 0–0 · Sparta Rotterdam 42%, draw 29%, Willem II 30%16' · 0–0 · Sparta Rotterdam 41%, draw 29%, Willem II 30%17' · 0–1 · Sparta Rotterdam 25%, draw 26%, Willem II 50%18' · 0–1 · Sparta Rotterdam 24%, draw 26%, Willem II 50%19' · 0–1 · Sparta Rotterdam 24%, draw 26%, Willem II 50%20' · 0–1 · Sparta Rotterdam 24%, draw 26%, Willem II 50%21' · 0–1 · Sparta Rotterdam 24%, draw 26%, Willem II 50%22' · 0–1 · Sparta Rotterdam 23%, draw 26%, Willem II 51%23' · 0–1 · Sparta Rotterdam 23%, draw 26%, Willem II 51%24' · 0–1 · Sparta Rotterdam 23%, draw 26%, Willem II 51%25' · 0–1 · Sparta Rotterdam 23%, draw 26%, Willem II 51%26' · 0–1 · Sparta Rotterdam 23%, draw 26%, Willem II 51%27' · 0–1 · Sparta Rotterdam 22%, draw 26%, Willem II 51%28' · 0–1 · Sparta Rotterdam 22%, draw 26%, Willem II 52%29' · 0–1 · Sparta Rotterdam 22%, draw 26%, Willem II 52%30' · 0–1 · Sparta Rotterdam 22%, draw 26%, Willem II 52%31' · 0–1 · Sparta Rotterdam 21%, draw 26%, Willem II 52%32' · 0–1 · Sparta Rotterdam 21%, draw 26%, Willem II 52%33' · 0–1 · Sparta Rotterdam 21%, draw 27%, Willem II 53%34' · 0–1 · Sparta Rotterdam 21%, draw 27%, Willem II 53%35' · 0–1 · Sparta Rotterdam 20%, draw 27%, Willem II 53%36' · 0–1 · Sparta Rotterdam 20%, draw 27%, Willem II 53%37' · 0–1 · Sparta Rotterdam 20%, draw 27%, Willem II 54%38' · 0–1 · Sparta Rotterdam 19%, draw 27%, Willem II 54%39' · 1–1 · Sparta Rotterdam 38%, draw 33%, Willem II 28%40' · 1–1 · Sparta Rotterdam 38%, draw 34%, Willem II 28%41' · 1–1 · Sparta Rotterdam 38%, draw 34%, Willem II 28%42' · 1–1 · Sparta Rotterdam 38%, draw 34%, Willem II 28%43' · 1–1 · Sparta Rotterdam 37%, draw 35%, Willem II 28%44' · 1–1 · Sparta Rotterdam 37%, draw 35%, Willem II 28%45' · 1–1 · Sparta Rotterdam 37%, draw 35%, Willem II 28%45+1' · 1–1 · Sparta Rotterdam 37%, draw 36%, Willem II 28%HT · 1–1 · Sparta Rotterdam 36%, draw 36%, Willem II 28%46' · 1–1 · Sparta Rotterdam 36%, draw 36%, Willem II 27%47' · 1–1 · Sparta Rotterdam 36%, draw 37%, Willem II 27%48' · 1–1 · Sparta Rotterdam 36%, draw 37%, Willem II 27%49' · 1–1 · Sparta Rotterdam 35%, draw 38%, Willem II 27%50' · 1–1 · Sparta Rotterdam 35%, draw 38%, Willem II 27%51' · 2–1 · Sparta Rotterdam 71%, draw 21%, Willem II 8%52' · 2–1 · Sparta Rotterdam 72%, draw 21%, Willem II 7%53' · 2–1 · Sparta Rotterdam 72%, draw 21%, Willem II 7%54' · 2–1 · Sparta Rotterdam 72%, draw 21%, Willem II 7%55' · 2–1 · Sparta Rotterdam 72%, draw 21%, Willem II 7%57' · 2–1 · Sparta Rotterdam 73%, draw 21%, Willem II 6%58' · 3–1 · Sparta Rotterdam 94%, draw 5%, Willem II 1%59' · 3–1 · Sparta Rotterdam 94%, draw 5%, Willem II 1%61' · 3–1 · Sparta Rotterdam 95%, draw 4%, Willem II 1%62' · 3–1 · Sparta Rotterdam 95%, draw 4%, Willem II 1%63' · 3–1 · Sparta Rotterdam 95%, draw 4%, Willem II 1%64' · 3–1 · Sparta Rotterdam 95%, draw 4%, Willem II 1%65' · 3–1 · Sparta Rotterdam 96%, draw 4%, Willem II 1%66' · 3–1 · Sparta Rotterdam 96%, draw 4%, Willem II 1%67' · 3–1 · Sparta Rotterdam 96%, draw 4%, Willem II 1%68' · 3–2 · Sparta Rotterdam 76%, draw 19%, Willem II 4%69' · 3–2 · Sparta Rotterdam 77%, draw 19%, Willem II 4%70' · 3–2 · Sparta Rotterdam 77%, draw 19%, Willem II 4%71' · 3–2 · Sparta Rotterdam 78%, draw 19%, Willem II 4%72' · 3–2 · Sparta Rotterdam 78%, draw 18%, Willem II 4%73' · 3–2 · Sparta Rotterdam 78%, draw 18%, Willem II 3%74' · 3–2 · Sparta Rotterdam 79%, draw 18%, Willem II 3%75' · 3–2 · Sparta Rotterdam 79%, draw 18%, Willem II 3%76' · 3–2 · Sparta Rotterdam 80%, draw 17%, Willem II 3%77' · 3–2 · Sparta Rotterdam 80%, draw 17%, Willem II 3%78' · 3–2 · Sparta Rotterdam 81%, draw 16%, Willem II 2%79' · 3–2 · Sparta Rotterdam 82%, draw 16%, Willem II 2%80' · 3–2 · Sparta Rotterdam 82%, draw 16%, Willem II 2%81' · 3–2 · Sparta Rotterdam 83%, draw 15%, Willem II 2%82' · 3–2 · Sparta Rotterdam 84%, draw 15%, Willem II 2%83' · 3–2 · Sparta Rotterdam 84%, draw 14%, Willem II 2%84' · 3–2 · Sparta Rotterdam 85%, draw 13%, Willem II 1%85' · 3–2 · Sparta Rotterdam 86%, draw 13%, Willem II 1%86' · 3–2 · Sparta Rotterdam 87%, draw 12%, Willem II 1%87' · 3–2 · Sparta Rotterdam 88%, draw 11%, Willem II 1%88' · 3–2 · Sparta Rotterdam 89%, draw 11%, Willem II 1%89' · 3–2 · Sparta Rotterdam 90%, draw 10%, Willem II 1%90' · 3–2 · Sparta Rotterdam 91%, draw 9%, Willem II 0%90+1' · 3–2 · Sparta Rotterdam 92%, draw 8%, Willem II 0%90+2' · 3–2 · Sparta Rotterdam 93%, draw 6%, Willem II 0%90+3' · 3–2 · Sparta Rotterdam 95%, draw 5%, Willem II 0%90+4' · 3–2 · Sparta Rotterdam 96%, draw 4%, Willem II 0%

Last reading, 90+4': 96% · 4% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Sparta Rotterdam 43% to win: they did.

  1. 17'Willem II:Tonny Vilhena 1681 −15
  2. 39'Sparta Rotterdam:Jens Toornstra 1495 +46
  3. 41'Willem II:Finn Stam 1705 −7
  4. 50'Sparta Rotterdam:Lushendry Martes 1779 +27
  5. 57'Sparta Rotterdam:Milan Zonneveld 1555 +63 assist Jens Toornstra 1495 +46
  6. 59'Sparta Rotterdam:Rogier Meijer
  7. 66'Willem II:Thomas Verheydt 1563 −6 for Anass Zarrouk 1655 −2
  8. 66'Willem II:Mats Lemmens 1534 −8* for Tonny Vilhena 1681 −15
  9. 68'Willem II:Uriël van Aalst 1675 −13 assist Vito van Crooy 1690 −9
  10. 70'Sparta Rotterdam:Lushendry Martes 1779 +27
  11. 70'Willem II:Vito van Crooy 1690 −9
  12. 74'Sparta Rotterdam:Alwande Benedict Roaldsøy 1392 −2* for Jens Toornstra 1495 +46
  13. 75'Willem II:Thomas Verheydt 1563 −6
  14. 78'Sparta Rotterdam:Alwande Benedict Roaldsøy 1392 −2*
  15. 81'Willem II:Jari Schuurman 1720 −10* for Uriël van Aalst 1675 −13
  16. 81'Willem II:Chido Obi 1671 0 for Jaden Slory 1712 −7
  17. 83'Sparta Rotterdam:Teo Quintero León 1802 0 for Cedric Hatenboer 1808 +8
  18. 83'Sparta Rotterdam:Mitchell Van Bergen 1817 −8* for Robin van Cruijsen 1659 +43
  19. 85'Sparta Rotterdam:Milan Zonneveld 1555 +63
  20. 88'Sparta Rotterdam:Bas Kuipers 1744 +8
  21. 88'Willem II:Eser Gürbüz 1572 0 for Maxim Dekker 1759 −11
  22. 90+3'Willem II:Chido Obi 1671 0

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

5-4-1Formations4-2-3-1
GM. Delanghe1703−7
DH. ter Avest1722−10
DF. Stam1705−7
DM. Dekker1759−11
DN. Tjoe-A-On1722−9
MAnass Zarrouk1655−2
MT. Vilhena1681−15
MJ. Slory1712−7
MUriel van Aalst1675−13
MV. van Crooij1690−9
FD. Haen1754−11
CJ. Stegeman1712−15
Before kick-off: 43% · 27% · 30%(Sparta Rotterdam · draw · Willem II)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 3–2 had 3%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Sparta Rotterdam €843K, Willem II €850K.
  • Sparta Rotterdam were without 1 expected starter: M. van Bergen (1825).

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Sparta Rotterdam

14th in Eredivisie · 6 pts from 8

  • 10 OctDGO Ahead Eagles 1681
  • 19 SepLHeerenveen 1735
  • 13 SepLPSV Eindhoven 1758
  • 4 SepDPEC Zwolle 1777
  • 29 AugLExcelsior 1744

Willem II

18th in Eredivisie · 2 pts from 8

  • 11 OctLUtrecht 1744
  • 19 SepLFortuna Sittard 1741
  • 15 SepLAjax 1753
  • 11 SepDAZ Alkmaar 1739
  • 5 SepLExcelsior 1738

Season outlook

From the Eredivisie simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Sparta Rotterdam6 /833.90%0%34%15th
Willem II2 /829.40%0%65%18th
Sparta Rotterdam
Willem II

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Eredivisie

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

M. Zonneveld

Sparta Rotterdam · +2.3 (Elite) · Elo 1492

D. Haen
D. Haen

Willem II · +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1765

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Rogier Meijer

Coach DNA: balanced profile

John Stegeman

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Sparta Rotterdam: balanced profile (how Rogier Meijer plays) · Willem II: balanced profile (how John Stegeman plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.