Eredivisie · Regular Season - 13
Sparta Rotterdam vs AZ Alkmaar
Sun 22 Nov 2026 · 13:30 UTC · Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel, Rotterdam
Sparta Rotterdam host AZ Alkmaar on Sun 22 Nov 2026 (Eredivisie); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Sparta Rotterdam 21%, draw 26%, AZ Alkmaar 54%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Sparta Rotterdam €924K, AZ Alkmaar €4.6M.
- Style contrast in discipline (Eredivisie): Sparta Rotterdam rank #2 of 18, AZ Alkmaar #15.
- Only 1 of AZ Alkmaar's expected starters is past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Sparta Rotterdam goals first.
- 1–111%
- 1–29%
- 0–27%
- 2–27%
- 0–17%
- 1–36%
- Other scores53%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
voetbalpoules.nl1–2expected 4.1 pts
Team Elo: Sparta Rotterdam 1746 · AZ Alkmaar 2042
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Sparta Rotterdam · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.3 (Good) · Elo 1629
AZ Alkmaar · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.3 (Good) · Elo 2128
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Sparta Rotterdam
12th in Eredivisie · 12 pts from 12
- 7 NovLADO Den Haag Eredivisie1769
- 1 NovWGroningen Eredivisie1703
- 28 OctDFortuna Sittard Netherlands KNVB Beker1736
- 25 OctLAjax Eredivisie1696
- 17 OctWWillem II Eredivisie1669
AZ Alkmaar
5th in Eredivisie · 23 pts from 12
- 8 NovWGroningen Eredivisie2045
- 5 NovLJuventus UEFA Europa League2097
- 31 OctLAjax Eredivisie2096
- 25 OctLTwente Eredivisie2093
- 22 OctWArarat-Armenia UEFA Europa League1999
Season outlook
From the Eredivisie simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sparta Rotterdam | 12 /12 | 35.6 | 0% | 0% | 24% | 14th |
| AZ Alkmaar | 23 /12 | 61.8 | 2% | 53% | 0% | 5th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: dribble-heavy · possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Sparta Rotterdam: balanced profile (how Rogier Meijer plays) · AZ Alkmaar: balanced profile (how Leeroy Echteld plays)