Czech Liga · Regular Season - 12
Sparta Praha vs Slovácko
Sun 25 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC · epet ARENA, Prague
Sparta Praha host Slovácko on Sun 25 Oct 2026 (Czech Liga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Sparta Praha 75%, draw 16%, Slovácko 9%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Sparta Praha €1.9M, Slovácko €325K.
- Draw chance 16%, below the Czech Liga average of 26% this round.
- Style contrast in attacking (Czech Liga): Sparta Praha rank #2 of 16, Slovácko #13.
- Sparta Praha are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Sparta Praha goals first.
- 2–011%
- 3–09%
- 2–19%
- 3–18%
- 1–18%
- 1–07%
- Other scores48%
Team Elo: Sparta Praha 1921 · Slovácko 1518
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Sparta Praha · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.3 (Elite) · Elo 1917
Slovácko · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Good) · Elo 1596
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Sparta Praha
6th in Czech Liga · 19 pts from 11
- 18 OctDBaník Ostrava Czech Liga1903
- 15 OctDLillestrom UEFA Europa League1803
- 11 OctWPardubice Czech Liga1879
- 20 SepWSigma Olomouc Czech Liga1865
- 16 SepWArarat-Armenia UEFA Europa League1871
Slovácko
15th in Czech Liga · 7 pts from 11
- 18 OctLZbrojovka Brno Czech Liga1557
- 11 OctWSlovan Liberec Czech Liga1525
- 19 SepDBaník Ostrava Czech Liga1512
- 12 SepLBohemians 1905 Czech Liga1464
- 5 SepDPardubice Czech Liga1466
Season outlook
From the Czech Liga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sparta Praha | 19 /11 | 56.6 | 14% | 91% | 0% | 2nd |
| Slovácko | 7 /11 | 27.4 | 0% | 0% | 73% | 15th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Sparta Praha: possession-based (how Brian Priske Pedersen plays) · Slovácko: balanced profile (how Jan Jelínek plays)