Erovnuli Liga · Regular Season - 30
Spaeri vs Gagra
Fri 23 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Spaeri Stadium, Tbilisi
Spaeri host Gagra on Fri 23 Oct 2026 (Erovnuli Liga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Spaeri 39%, draw 29%, Gagra 32%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Spaeri €141K, Gagra €136K.
- Home advantage makes Spaeri the favourite here: it adds 6 points to their win chance.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Spaeri goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 0–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores43%
Team Elo: Spaeri 1285 · Gagra 1319
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Spaeri
9th in Erovnuli Liga · 26 pts from 29
- 18 OctLDinamo Tbilisi Georgia Erovnuli Liga1287
- 10 OctDTorpedo Kutaisi Georgia Erovnuli Liga1299
- 9 SepDRustavi Georgia Erovnuli Liga1275
- 5 SepDMeshakhte Georgia Erovnuli Liga1334
- 29 MayLRustavi Georgia Erovnuli Liga1333
Gagra
8th in Erovnuli Liga · 29 pts from 29
- 17 OctLDinamo Batumi Georgia Erovnuli Liga1316
- 11 OctLSamgurali Georgia Erovnuli Liga1318
- 19 SepDMeshakhte Georgia Erovnuli Liga1284
- 14 SepLDinamo Tbilisi Georgia Erovnuli Liga1323
- 10 SepDTorpedo Kutaisi Georgia Erovnuli Liga1289
Season outlook
From the Erovnuli Liga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spaeri | 26 /29 | 33.8 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 9th |
| Gagra | 29 /29 | 37.1 | 0% | 0% | 96% | 8th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 10th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –