Championship · Regular Season - 13
Southampton vs QPR
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC · St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton
Southampton host QPR on Sat 31 Oct 2026 (Championship); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Southampton 57%, draw 24%, QPR 18%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Southampton €5.3M, QPR €2.5M.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Southampton goals first.
- 1–112%
- 2–010%
- 2–110%
- 1–010%
- 0–07%
- 3–06%
- Other scores45%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–1expected 0.9 pts
voetbalpoules.nl1–0expected 4.3 pts
Team Elo: Southampton 2123 · QPR 1936
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Southampton · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Elite) · Elo 2036
QPR · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Good) · Elo 2136
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Southampton
7th in Championship · 17 pts from 11
- 17 OctDBolton England Championship2111
- 14 OctWNorwich England Championship2077
- 11 OctWPortsmouth England Championship2116
- 19 SepLWrexham England Championship2168
- 12 SepWBristol City England Championship2154
QPR
9th in Championship · 17 pts from 11
- 17 OctLBirmingham England Championship1923
- 14 OctWDerby England Championship1846
- 9 OctDWest Ham England Championship1886
- 19 SepDPreston England Championship1943
- 12 SepDWest Brom England Championship1921
Season outlook
From the Championship simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton | 17 /11 | 76.5 | 9% | 56% | 0% | 3rd |
| QPR | 17 /11 | 61.7 | <1% | 3% | 3% | 12th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Southampton: possession-based (how Tonda Eckert plays) · QPR: balanced profile (how Julien Stéphan plays)