Super League · Regular Season - 23
Sogdiana 2–3 Lokomotiv
Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 11:00 UTC · Sogdiana Sport Complex, Jizzakh
SogdianaTeam 1448LokomotivTeam 1395- B. Askarov 29'
- L. Doriev 68'
- T. Abdukholikov 34'
- S. Mirzaev 48'
- S. Shodiboev 81'
We gave Sogdiana 46% to win: Lokomotiv won.
- B. Askarov –29'Sogdiana:B. Askarov –
- 34'T. Abdukholikov –Lokomotiv:T. Abdukholikov –
- J. Kakhramonov – for B. Askarov –46'Sogdiana:J. Kakhramonov – for B. Askarov –
- S. Mavlonkulov – for S. Kamolov –46'Sogdiana:S. Mavlonkulov – for S. Kamolov –
- N. Soyibov – for J. Boltaboev –46'Sogdiana:N. Soyibov – for J. Boltaboev –
- A. Abdurashidov – for S. Sultonmurodov –46'Sogdiana:A. Abdurashidov – for S. Sultonmurodov –
- 48'S. Mirzaev – assist T. Abdukholikov –Lokomotiv:S. Mirzaev – assist T. Abdukholikov –
- 65'S. Shodiboev – for B. Tupliev –Lokomotiv:S. Shodiboev – for B. Tupliev –
- 65'M. Reimov – for D. Turopov –Lokomotiv:M. Reimov – for D. Turopov –
- 65'S. Nurulloev – for J. Yakhshiboev –Lokomotiv:S. Nurulloev – for J. Yakhshiboev –
- L. Doriev – assist S. Mavlonkulov –68'Sogdiana:L. Doriev – assist S. Mavlonkulov –
- 76'J. Nisic –Lokomotiv:J. Nisic –
- 81'S. Shodiboev – assist S. Mirzaev –Lokomotiv:S. Shodiboev – assist S. Mirzaev –
- D. Zajmovic – for P. Micin –82'Sogdiana:D. Zajmovic – for P. Micin –
- 84'N. Ivanov – for J. Nisic –Lokomotiv:N. Ivanov – for J. Nisic –
Before kick-off (provisional): 46% · 28% · 26%(Sogdiana · draw · Lokomotiv)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 2–3 had 2%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Sogdiana €200K, Lokomotiv €121K.
- S. Isokov, Z. Dzhuraboev, I. Kobilov, N. Soyibov, O. Ahadov, O. Karimov, Otabek Jo‘raqo‘ziev, F. Ivanović and J. Kaxramonov (Sogdiana) had not played for over 90 days.
- A. Kozlov, B. Tupliev, Mukhammadali Reimov and A. Ismailov (Lokomotiv) had not played for over 90 days.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Sogdiana
11th in Super League · 28 pts from 22
- 28 AprWSurkhon Uzbekistan Super League1419
- 23 AprDNavbahor Uzbekistan Super League1427
- 19 AprLBunyodkor Uzbekistan Super League1435
- 13 AprWQizilqum Uzbekistan Super League1419
- 8 AprLDinamo Samarqand Uzbekistan Super League1442
Lokomotiv
7th in Super League · 35 pts from 22
- 7 AugWDinamo Samarqand Uzbekistan Super League1415
- 27 AprLOlmaliq Uzbekistan Super League1378
- 23 AprWNasaf Uzbekistan Super League1376
- 17 AprLNavbahor Uzbekistan Super League1357
- 12 AprWDinamo Samarqand Uzbekistan Super League1343
Season outlook
From the Super League simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sogdiana | 28 /22 | 38.8 | 0% | <1% | 3% | 10th |
| Lokomotiv | 35 /22 | 45.3 | 0% | 16% | 0% | 5th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Sogdiana · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -2.3 (Poor) · Elo 1509
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –