Super League · Regular Season - 26
Sogdiana vs Buxoro
Fri 30 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC · Sogdiana Sport Complex, Jizzakh
Sogdiana host Buxoro on Fri 30 Oct 2026 (Super League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Sogdiana 50%, draw 27%, Buxoro 23%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Sogdiana €200K, Buxoro €142K.
- S. Isokov, Z. Dzhuraboev, I. Kobilov, N. Soyibov, O. Ahadov, O. Karimov, Otabek Jo‘raqo‘ziev, F. Ivanović and J. Kaxramonov (Sogdiana) have not played for over 90 days.
- U. Khamroyev, V. Rodić, B. Mlađović, S. Djurabekov, K. Todorov, K. Mukhtarov, J. Ruziev, R. Hayrullayev, A. Joraboev, Temur Mamasidiqov and K. Mukhtorov (Buxoro) have not played for over 90 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Sogdiana goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–110%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 1–26%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Sogdiana 1446 · Buxoro 1345
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Sogdiana · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.4 (Below) · Elo 1495
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Sogdiana
11th in Super League · 29 pts from 24
- 28 AprWSurkhon Uzbekistan Super League1419
- 23 AprDNavbahor Uzbekistan Super League1427
- 19 AprLBunyodkor Uzbekistan Super League1435
- 13 AprWQizilqum Uzbekistan Super League1419
- 8 AprLDinamo Samarqand Uzbekistan Super League1442
Buxoro
4th in Super League · 40 pts from 24
- 16 JulLNeftchi Uzbekistan Super League1328
- 27 AprWMash'al Uzbekistan Super League1345
- 22 AprLPakhtakor Uzbekistan Super League1374
- 17 AprLOlmaliq Uzbekistan Super League1400
- 13 AprDNasaf Uzbekistan Super League1396
Season outlook
From the Super League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sogdiana | 29 /24 | 36.9 | 0% | 0% | 3% | 11th |
| Buxoro | 40 /24 | 47.9 | 0% | 27% | 0% | 5th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –