Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 13
Sochaux vs Dunkerque
Fri 20 Nov 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Stade Auguste Bonal
Sochaux host Dunkerque on Fri 20 Nov 2026 (Ligue 2); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Sochaux 32%, draw 29%, Dunkerque 40%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Sochaux €245K, Dunkerque €461K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Sochaux goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–19%
- 0–09%
- 1–29%
- 1–08%
- 2–18%
- Other scores43%
Team Elo: Sochaux 1508 · Dunkerque 1635
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Sochaux · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Average) · Elo 1536
Dunkerque · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.5 (Good) · Elo 1702
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Sochaux
13th in Ligue 2 · 11 pts from 11
- 2 NovLReims France Ligue 21419
- 23 OctLAnnecy France Ligue 21553
- 17 OctLMetz France Ligue 21512
- 9 OctDBoulogne France Ligue 21482
- 18 SepDLaval France Ligue 21512
Dunkerque
12th in Ligue 2 · 12 pts from 11
- 30 OctLRodez France Ligue 21674
- 23 OctDMetz France Ligue 21644
- 17 OctWNantes France Ligue 21582
- 9 OctLAnnecy France Ligue 21587
- 18 SepLPAU France Ligue 21593
Season outlook
From the Ligue 2 simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sochaux | 11 /11 | 35.3 | 0% | <1% | 44% | 16th |
| Dunkerque | 12 /11 | 43.8 | 0% | 3% | 6% | 11th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Sochaux: low-volume (how Vincent Hognon plays) · Dunkerque: possession-based