Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 8
Sochaux 1–1 Boulogne
Fri 9 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC · Stade Bonal, Montbeliard
SochauxTeam 1472BoulogneTeam 1456We gave Sochaux 41% to win: it ended in a draw.
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 41% · 30% · 28%(Sochaux · draw · Boulogne)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%), and that was the result.
- Average value of the starting XI: Sochaux €235K, Boulogne €286K.
- Sochaux were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Sochaux
8th in Ligue 2 · 10 pts from 7
- 18 SepDLaval France Ligue 21517
- 12 SepWNantes France Ligue 21468
- 4 SepDPAU France Ligue 21482
- 28 AugDClermont Foot France Ligue 21432
- 21 AugWGuingamp France Ligue 21369
Boulogne
17th in Ligue 2 · 5 pts from 7
- 19 SepLNantes France Ligue 21425
- 11 SepDClermont Foot France Ligue 21400
- 4 SepDDijon France Ligue 21455
- 28 AugDMontpellier France Ligue 21480
- 21 AugDRED Star FC 93 France Ligue 21473
Season outlook
From the Ligue 2 simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sochaux | 10 /7 | 41.0 | <1% | 2% | 18% | 12th |
| Boulogne | 5 /7 | 32.3 | 0% | 0% | 67% | 18th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Sochaux · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.4 (Good) · Elo 1544
Boulogne · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.1 (Good) · Elo 1457
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: dribble-heavy
Coach DNA: balanced profile
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.