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Premier League · Regular Season - 6

Smouha SC 1–0 Ghazl El Mehalla

Mon 12 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC · Alexandria Stadium, Alexandria

Smouha SC crestSmouha SCTeam 1193
1–0
Full time
HT 1–0
Ghazl El Mehalla crestGhazl El MehallaTeam 1182

Match story

Smouha SC · draw · Ghazl El Mehalla

Before kick-off: 39% · 29% · 32%

Live chances: Smouha SC 98%, draw 2%, Ghazl El Mehalla 0% at 90+5'1' · 0–0 · Smouha SC 39%, draw 29%, Ghazl El Mehalla 32%2' · 0–0 · Smouha SC 39%, draw 29%, Ghazl El Mehalla 32%3' · 0–0 · Smouha SC 39%, draw 29%, Ghazl El Mehalla 32%4' · 0–0 · Smouha SC 39%, draw 29%, Ghazl El Mehalla 32%5' · 0–0 · Smouha SC 38%, draw 29%, Ghazl El Mehalla 32%6' · 0–0 · Smouha SC 38%, draw 30%, Ghazl El Mehalla 32%7' · 0–0 · Smouha SC 38%, draw 30%, Ghazl El Mehalla 32%8' · 0–0 · Smouha SC 38%, draw 30%, Ghazl El Mehalla 32%9' · 0–0 · Smouha SC 38%, draw 30%, Ghazl El Mehalla 32%10' · 0–0 · Smouha SC 38%, draw 30%, Ghazl El Mehalla 32%11' · 0–0 · Smouha SC 38%, draw 30%, Ghazl El Mehalla 32%12' · 0–0 · Smouha SC 38%, draw 30%, Ghazl El Mehalla 32%13' · 0–0 · Smouha SC 38%, draw 31%, Ghazl El Mehalla 32%14' · 0–0 · Smouha SC 38%, draw 31%, Ghazl El Mehalla 32%15' · 0–0 · Smouha SC 37%, draw 31%, Ghazl El Mehalla 32%16' · 0–0 · Smouha SC 37%, draw 31%, Ghazl El Mehalla 31%17' · 0–0 · Smouha SC 37%, draw 31%, Ghazl El Mehalla 31%18' · 0–0 · Smouha SC 37%, draw 32%, Ghazl El Mehalla 31%19' · 0–0 · Smouha SC 37%, draw 32%, Ghazl El Mehalla 31%20' · 0–0 · Smouha SC 37%, draw 32%, Ghazl El Mehalla 31%21' · 0–0 · Smouha SC 37%, draw 32%, Ghazl El Mehalla 31%22' · 0–0 · Smouha SC 37%, draw 32%, Ghazl El Mehalla 31%23' · 0–0 · Smouha SC 36%, draw 33%, Ghazl El Mehalla 31%24' · 0–0 · Smouha SC 36%, draw 33%, Ghazl El Mehalla 31%25' · 0–0 · Smouha SC 36%, draw 33%, Ghazl El Mehalla 31%26' · 0–0 · Smouha SC 36%, draw 33%, Ghazl El Mehalla 31%27' · 0–0 · Smouha SC 36%, draw 33%, Ghazl El Mehalla 31%28' · 0–0 · Smouha SC 36%, draw 34%, Ghazl El Mehalla 31%29' · 0–0 · Smouha SC 36%, draw 34%, Ghazl El Mehalla 30%30' · 0–0 · Smouha SC 36%, draw 34%, Ghazl El Mehalla 30%31' · 0–0 · Smouha SC 35%, draw 34%, Ghazl El Mehalla 30%32' · 0–0 · Smouha SC 35%, draw 35%, Ghazl El Mehalla 30%33' · 0–0 · Smouha SC 35%, draw 35%, Ghazl El Mehalla 30%34' · 0–0 · Smouha SC 35%, draw 35%, Ghazl El Mehalla 30%35' · 1–0 · Smouha SC 69%, draw 21%, Ghazl El Mehalla 10%36' · 1–0 · Smouha SC 69%, draw 21%, Ghazl El Mehalla 9%37' · 1–0 · Smouha SC 69%, draw 21%, Ghazl El Mehalla 9%38' · 1–0 · Smouha SC 70%, draw 21%, Ghazl El Mehalla 9%39' · 1–0 · Smouha SC 70%, draw 21%, Ghazl El Mehalla 9%40' · 1–0 · Smouha SC 70%, draw 21%, Ghazl El Mehalla 9%41' · 1–0 · Smouha SC 70%, draw 21%, Ghazl El Mehalla 9%42' · 1–0 · Smouha SC 70%, draw 21%, Ghazl El Mehalla 9%43' · 1–0 · Smouha SC 70%, draw 21%, Ghazl El Mehalla 8%44' · 1–0 · Smouha SC 70%, draw 21%, Ghazl El Mehalla 8%45' · 1–0 · Smouha SC 71%, draw 21%, Ghazl El Mehalla 8%45+1' · 1–0 · Smouha SC 71%, draw 21%, Ghazl El Mehalla 8%45+2' · 1–0 · Smouha SC 71%, draw 21%, Ghazl El Mehalla 8%45+3' · 1–0 · Smouha SC 71%, draw 21%, Ghazl El Mehalla 8%45+4' · 1–0 · Smouha SC 71%, draw 21%, Ghazl El Mehalla 8%HT · 1–0 · Smouha SC 71%, draw 21%, Ghazl El Mehalla 8%46' · 1–0 · Smouha SC 71%, draw 21%, Ghazl El Mehalla 8%47' · 1–0 · Smouha SC 71%, draw 21%, Ghazl El Mehalla 7%48' · 1–0 · Smouha SC 72%, draw 21%, Ghazl El Mehalla 7%49' · 1–0 · Smouha SC 72%, draw 21%, Ghazl El Mehalla 7%50' · 1–0 · Smouha SC 72%, draw 21%, Ghazl El Mehalla 7%51' · 1–0 · Smouha SC 72%, draw 21%, Ghazl El Mehalla 7%52' · 1–0 · Smouha SC 73%, draw 21%, Ghazl El Mehalla 7%53' · 1–0 · Smouha SC 73%, draw 21%, Ghazl El Mehalla 6%54' · 1–0 · Smouha SC 73%, draw 21%, Ghazl El Mehalla 6%55' · 1–0 · Smouha SC 73%, draw 21%, Ghazl El Mehalla 6%56' · 1–0 · Smouha SC 74%, draw 20%, Ghazl El Mehalla 6%57' · 1–0 · Smouha SC 74%, draw 20%, Ghazl El Mehalla 6%58' · 1–0 · Smouha SC 74%, draw 20%, Ghazl El Mehalla 5%60' · 1–0 · Smouha SC 75%, draw 20%, Ghazl El Mehalla 5%61' · 1–0 · Smouha SC 75%, draw 20%, Ghazl El Mehalla 5%62' · 1–0 · Smouha SC 76%, draw 20%, Ghazl El Mehalla 5%63' · 1–0 · Smouha SC 76%, draw 19%, Ghazl El Mehalla 5%65' · 1–0 · Smouha SC 77%, draw 19%, Ghazl El Mehalla 4%66' · 1–0 · Smouha SC 77%, draw 19%, Ghazl El Mehalla 4%67' · 1–0 · Smouha SC 77%, draw 19%, Ghazl El Mehalla 4%68' · 1–0 · Smouha SC 78%, draw 18%, Ghazl El Mehalla 4%69' · 1–0 · Smouha SC 78%, draw 18%, Ghazl El Mehalla 3%70' · 1–0 · Smouha SC 79%, draw 18%, Ghazl El Mehalla 3%71' · 1–0 · Smouha SC 79%, draw 18%, Ghazl El Mehalla 3%72' · 1–0 · Smouha SC 80%, draw 17%, Ghazl El Mehalla 3%73' · 1–0 · Smouha SC 80%, draw 17%, Ghazl El Mehalla 3%75' · 1–0 · Smouha SC 81%, draw 16%, Ghazl El Mehalla 2%76' · 1–0 · Smouha SC 82%, draw 16%, Ghazl El Mehalla 2%77' · 1–0 · Smouha SC 82%, draw 16%, Ghazl El Mehalla 2%78' · 1–0 · Smouha SC 83%, draw 15%, Ghazl El Mehalla 2%80' · 1–0 · Smouha SC 84%, draw 14%, Ghazl El Mehalla 2%81' · 1–0 · Smouha SC 85%, draw 14%, Ghazl El Mehalla 1%82' · 1–0 · Smouha SC 85%, draw 13%, Ghazl El Mehalla 1%83' · 1–0 · Smouha SC 86%, draw 13%, Ghazl El Mehalla 1%85' · 1–0 · Smouha SC 88%, draw 11%, Ghazl El Mehalla 1%86' · 1–0 · Smouha SC 88%, draw 11%, Ghazl El Mehalla 1%87' · 1–0 · Smouha SC 89%, draw 10%, Ghazl El Mehalla 1%88' · 1–0 · Smouha SC 90%, draw 9%, Ghazl El Mehalla 1%90' · 1–0 · Smouha SC 92%, draw 8%, Ghazl El Mehalla 0%90+1' · 1–0 · Smouha SC 93%, draw 7%, Ghazl El Mehalla 0%90+2' · 1–0 · Smouha SC 94%, draw 6%, Ghazl El Mehalla 0%90+3' · 1–0 · Smouha SC 95%, draw 4%, Ghazl El Mehalla 0%90+4' · 1–0 · Smouha SC 97%, draw 3%, Ghazl El Mehalla 0%90+5' · 1–0 · Smouha SC 98%, draw 2%, Ghazl El Mehalla 0%

Last reading, 90+5': 98% · 2% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Smouha SC 39% to win: they did.

  1. 34'Smouha SC:P. Badji 1278 +20* assist K. El Ghandour 1263 +29*
  2. 45'Smouha SC:P. Badji 1278 +20*
  3. 46'Ghazl El Mehalla:M. Ekbad 1048 −8* for A. Emad 1089 −8*
  4. 46'Ghazl El Mehalla:A. Yasser 1056 −8* for M. Abdelsalam 1192 −9*
  5. 46'Smouha SC:M. Ragab –
  6. 61'Smouha SC:A. Samadou 1243 −2* for M. Farouk 1260 +21*
  7. 61'Smouha SC:F. Farid 1279 +3* for P. Badji 1278 +20*
  8. 61'Smouha SC:G. Chukwudi – for Makarona 933 +52*
  9. 63'Ghazl El Mehalla:A. Gomaa 1144 −8* for A. Yehia –
  10. 72'Ghazl El Mehalla:R. Arfaoui 1216 −11* for M. Ashraf –
  11. 76'Smouha SC:M. Adel 1428 −8* for A. Gamal 1376 +13*
  12. 84'Ghazl El Mehalla:R. Arfaoui 1216 −11*
  13. 85'Smouha SC:C. Niyigena 922 −4* for K. El Ghandour 1263 +29*
  14. 85'Ghazl El Mehalla:A. Etman 1028 −8* for A. Shika 1229 −26*
  15. 90+4'Smouha SC:K. Mohamed 1184 +51*

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-1-4-1Formations4-2-3-1
GAmer Mohamed1142−16*
DFares Nechat Djabri1035−8*
DAhmed El Aash1220−26*
DAhmed Shousha1221−18*
DYehia Zakaria1260−17*
MMory Touré1233−28*
MAbdel Rahman Shika1229−26*
MMohamed Ashraf1183
MMoaz Abdel Salam1192−9*
MAbdel Rahman Emad1089−8*
FAbdo Yehia1211
CKhaled Galal1196
Before kick-off: 39% · 29% · 32%(Smouha SC · draw · Ghazl El Mehalla)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 1–0 had 9%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Smouha SC €180K, Ghazl El Mehalla €172K.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Smouha SC

16th in Premier League · 4 pts from 5

  • 14 SepWEl Geish 1184
  • 8 SepLCeramica Cleopatra 1179
  • 3 SepLAl Ahly 1229
  • 26 AugDAsyut Petrol 1219
  • 22 AugLAl Masry 1253

Ghazl El Mehalla

20th in Premier League · 1 pts from 5

  • 16 SepLZamalek SC 1200
  • 7 SepLNational Bank of Egypt 1203
  • 27 AugLFuture FC 1213
  • 22 AugLPyramids FC 1252
  • 29 MayWHaras El Hodood 1152

Season outlook

From the Premier League simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Smouha SC4 /520.80%<1%14%15th
Ghazl El Mehalla1 /517.20%0%40%19th
Smouha SC
Ghazl El Mehalla

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Premier League

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Samir Fekri
Samir Fekri

Smouha SC · +1.3 (Good) · Elo 1202

Ahmed Shousha
Ahmed Shousha

Ghazl El Mehalla · +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1239

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Ahmed Abdul Aziz

Coach DNA: direct · aggressive

Khaled Galal

Coach DNA: –

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Smouha SC: balanced profile (how Ahmed Abdul Aziz plays) · Ghazl El Mehalla: balanced profile (how Khaled Galal plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.