Czech Liga · Regular Season - 12
Slovan Liberec vs Baník Ostrava
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC · Stadion U Nisy, Liberec
Slovan Liberec host Baník Ostrava on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (Czech Liga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Slovan Liberec 51%, draw 27%, Baník Ostrava 23%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Slovan Liberec €806K, Baník Ostrava €452K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Slovan Liberec goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–110%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 1–26%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Slovan Liberec 1724 · Baník Ostrava 1611
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Slovan Liberec · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.3 (Elite) · Elo 1821

Baník Ostrava · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Elite) · Elo 1479
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Slovan Liberec
3rd in Czech Liga · 20 pts from 11
- 17 OctLSigma Olomouc Czech Liga1728
- 11 OctLSlovácko Czech Liga1768
- 19 SepDArtis Czech Liga1723
- 12 SepWMlada Boleslav Czech Liga1688
- 6 SepWFK Jablonec Czech Liga1743
Baník Ostrava
13th in Czech Liga · 11 pts from 11
- 18 OctDSparta Praha Czech Liga1564
- 10 OctLBohemians 1905 Czech Liga1546
- 19 SepDSlovácko Czech Liga1565
- 13 SepLPardubice Czech Liga1598
- 9 SepLFK Jablonec Czech Liga1632
Season outlook
From the Czech Liga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slovan Liberec | 20 /11 | 48.6 | 1% | 41% | <1% | 4th |
| Baník Ostrava | 11 /11 | 35.0 | 0% | 1% | 19% | 13th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: dribble-heavy · creative
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Slovan Liberec: balanced profile (how Branislav Fodrek plays) · Baník Ostrava: creative (how Roman Skuhravý plays)