Czech Liga · Regular Season - 11
Slovácko 1–2 Zbrojovka Brno
Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 11:00 UTC · Mestsky Fotbalovy Stadion, Uherske Hradiste
SlováckoTeam 1541
Zbrojovka BrnoTeam 1580Match story
Slovácko · draw · Zbrojovka BrnoBefore kick-off: 37% · 30% · 32%
Last reading, 90+4': 0% · 0% · 100%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Jocelin Behiratche 90+4'
- Daniel Vasulin 40' (pen)
- Tadeáš Vachoušek 75'
We gave Slovácko 37% to win: Zbrojovka Brno won.
- Martin Svidersky 1301 0 for Gigli Ndefe 1550 −47'
Slovácko:Martin Svidersky 1301 0 for Gigli Ndefe 1550 −4 - 40'Daniel Vasulin 1784 +21 (pen.)
Zbrojovka Brno:Daniel Vasulin 1784 +21 (pen.) - Jocelin Behiratche 1545 059'
Slovácko:Jocelin Behiratche 1545 0 - Jan Fiala 1288 −8* for Patrik Blahut 1587 −465'
Slovácko:Jan Fiala 1288 −8* for Patrik Blahut 1587 −4 - Tomas Kral 1511 0 for Pavel Juroska 1380 065'
Slovácko:Tomas Kral 1511 0 for Pavel Juroska 1380 0 - 71'Tadeáš Vachoušek 1522 +16 for Antonín Vaníček 1417 +28
Zbrojovka Brno:Tadeáš Vachoušek 1522 +16 for Antonín Vaníček 1417 +28 - 71'Jakub Janetzky 1571 −4* for Daniel Vasulin 1784 +21
Zbrojovka Brno:Jakub Janetzky 1571 −4* for Daniel Vasulin 1784 +21 - 75'Tadeáš Vachoušek 1522 +16 assist Jaromír Zmrhal 1653 +49
Zbrojovka Brno:Tadeáš Vachoušek 1522 +16 assist Jaromír Zmrhal 1653 +49 - Milan Rundić 1557 −14* for Andrej Stojchevski 1561 −376'
Slovácko:Milan Rundić 1557 −14* for Andrej Stojchevski 1561 −3 - Alan Marinelli 1472 −8* for Lukas Vorlicky 1684 −976'
Slovácko:Alan Marinelli 1472 −8* for Lukas Vorlicky 1684 −9 - 76'Štěpán Langer 1559 +4 for Patrik Cavos 1578 +17
Zbrojovka Brno:Štěpán Langer 1559 +4 for Patrik Cavos 1578 +17 - 86'Bienvenue Kanakimana 1414 −6* for Lucky Ezeh 1568 +24
Zbrojovka Brno:Bienvenue Kanakimana 1414 −6* for Lucky Ezeh 1568 +24 - 86'Tomas Brecka 1393 −10* for Jaromír Zmrhal 1653 +49
Zbrojovka Brno:Tomas Brecka 1393 −10* for Jaromír Zmrhal 1653 +49 - Jocelin Behiratche 1545 0 assist Marek Havlík 1582 −1290+4'
Slovácko:Jocelin Behiratche 1545 0 assist Marek Havlík 1582 −12
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 37% · 30% · 32%(Slovácko · draw · Zbrojovka Brno)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 1–2 had 7%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Slovácko €320K, Zbrojovka Brno €410K.
- Home advantage made Slovácko the favourite: it added 6 points to their win chance.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Slovácko
15th in Czech Liga · 7 pts from 10
- 11 OctWSlovan Liberec Czech Liga1525
- 19 SepDBaník Ostrava Czech Liga1512
- 12 SepLBohemians 1905 Czech Liga1464
- 5 SepDPardubice Czech Liga1466
- 30 AugDPlzen Czech Liga1452
Zbrojovka Brno
8th in Czech Liga · 16 pts from 10
- 10 OctLFK Jablonec Czech Liga1636
- 19 SepLMlada Boleslav Czech Liga1620
- 12 SepWArtis Czech Liga1596
- 5 SepLSlavia Praha Czech Liga1586
- 2 SepWHradec Králové Czech Liga1590
Season outlook
From the Czech Liga simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slovácko | 7 /10 | 29.4 | 0% | 0% | 62% | 15th |
| Zbrojovka Brno | 16 /10 | 40.6 | 0% | 6% | 4% | 10th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Slovácko · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Good) · Elo 1605

Zbrojovka Brno · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.3 (Good) · Elo 1650
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: direct
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.