Premier Division · Regular Season - 34
Sligo Rovers 1–1 Dundalk
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 18:45 UTC · The Showgrounds, Sligo
Sligo RoversTeam 1344
DundalkTeam 1382Match story
Sligo Rovers · draw · DundalkBefore kick-off: 38% · 29% · 33%
Last reading, 90+3': 6% · 89% · 5%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Kaiyne Woolery 46'
- ronan teahan 90'
We gave Sligo Rovers 38% to win: it ended in a draw.
- 20'Tyreke Wilson 1596 −7*
Dundalk:Tyreke Wilson 1596 −7* - 25'Egor Vassenin 1393 +1 for Mayowa Animasahun 1506 +1
Dundalk:Egor Vassenin 1393 +1 for Mayowa Animasahun 1506 +1 - Seb Quirk 1363 0 for A. Gabbidon 1103 045'
Sligo Rovers:Seb Quirk 1363 0 for A. Gabbidon 1103 0 - Kaiyne Woolery 1394 −3 assist sean stewart 1390 046'
Sligo Rovers:Kaiyne Woolery 1394 −3 assist sean stewart 1390 0 - Luke Young 1492 −657'
Sligo Rovers:Luke Young 1492 −6 - sean stewart 1390 059'
Sligo Rovers:sean stewart 1390 0 - 62'shane tracey 1396 −7* for Aodh Dervin 1474 0
Dundalk:shane tracey 1396 −7* for Aodh Dervin 1474 0 - 63'Declan McDaid 1362 −2 for Trevor Clarke 1464 −1
Dundalk:Declan McDaid 1362 −2 for Trevor Clarke 1464 −1 - James McManus 1406 0 for Daire Patton 1343 067'
Sligo Rovers:James McManus 1406 0 for Daire Patton 1343 0 - Luke Pearce 1098 0 for Kaiyne Woolery 1394 −370'
Sligo Rovers:Luke Pearce 1098 0 for Kaiyne Woolery 1394 −3 - 73'leonardo gaxha 1023 +1 for Cian dillon 1286 +1
Dundalk:leonardo gaxha 1023 +1 for Cian dillon 1286 +1 - 74'Harry Groome 1268 0 for Keith Buckley 1392 −6
Dundalk:Harry Groome 1268 0 for Keith Buckley 1392 −6 - 90'ronan teahan 1239 +5 assist Declan McDaid 1362 −2
Dundalk:ronan teahan 1239 +5 assist Declan McDaid 1362 −2
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 38% · 29% · 33%(Sligo Rovers · draw · Dundalk)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%), and that was the result.
- Average value of the starting XI: Sligo Rovers €189K, Dundalk €170K.
- Home advantage made Sligo Rovers the favourite: it added 6 points to their win chance.
- Style contrast in dribbling (Premier Division): Sligo Rovers ranked #4 of 11, Dundalk #8.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Sligo Rovers
10th in Premier Division · 23 pts from 33
- 9 OctLShelbourne Irish Premier Division1387
- 19 SepLSt Patrick's Athl. Irish Premier Division1368
- 14 SepLGalway United Irish Premier Division1395
- 11 SepLDrogheda United Irish Premier Division1415
- 28 AugLBohemians Irish Premier Division1446
Dundalk
7th in Premier Division · 41 pts from 33
- 2 OctLBohemians Irish Premier Division1408
- 18 SepLShelbourne Irish Premier Division1432
- 14 SepLSt Patrick's Athl. Irish Premier Division1395
- 11 SepDWaterford Irish Premier Division1372
- 28 AugWDrogheda United Irish Premier Division1381
Season outlook
From the Premier Division simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sligo Rovers | 23 /33 | 26.3 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 10th |
| Dundalk | 41 /33 | 44.0 | 0% | 2% | 6% | 7th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 10th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Sligo Rovers · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Average) · Elo 1430

Dundalk · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.5 (Good) · Elo 1467
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Sligo Rovers: balanced profile (how Darren John Purse plays) · Dundalk: balanced profile (how Ciarán Kilduff plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.