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Premier Division · Regular Season - 34

Sligo Rovers 1–1 Dundalk

Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 18:45 UTC · The Showgrounds, Sligo

Sligo Rovers crestSligo RoversTeam 1344
1–1
Full time
HT 0–0
Dundalk crestDundalkTeam 1382

Match story

Sligo Rovers · draw · Dundalk

Before kick-off: 38% · 29% · 33%

Live chances: Sligo Rovers 6%, draw 89%, Dundalk 5% at 90+3'2' · 0–0 · Sligo Rovers 38%, draw 29%, Dundalk 33%3' · 0–0 · Sligo Rovers 38%, draw 29%, Dundalk 33%4' · 0–0 · Sligo Rovers 38%, draw 29%, Dundalk 33%5' · 0–0 · Sligo Rovers 38%, draw 29%, Dundalk 33%6' · 0–0 · Sligo Rovers 38%, draw 29%, Dundalk 33%7' · 0–0 · Sligo Rovers 38%, draw 30%, Dundalk 33%8' · 0–0 · Sligo Rovers 38%, draw 30%, Dundalk 33%9' · 0–0 · Sligo Rovers 38%, draw 30%, Dundalk 32%10' · 0–0 · Sligo Rovers 38%, draw 30%, Dundalk 32%11' · 0–0 · Sligo Rovers 38%, draw 30%, Dundalk 32%12' · 0–0 · Sligo Rovers 37%, draw 30%, Dundalk 32%13' · 0–0 · Sligo Rovers 37%, draw 30%, Dundalk 32%14' · 0–0 · Sligo Rovers 37%, draw 30%, Dundalk 32%15' · 0–0 · Sligo Rovers 37%, draw 31%, Dundalk 32%16' · 0–0 · Sligo Rovers 37%, draw 31%, Dundalk 32%17' · 0–0 · Sligo Rovers 37%, draw 31%, Dundalk 32%18' · 0–0 · Sligo Rovers 37%, draw 31%, Dundalk 32%19' · 0–0 · Sligo Rovers 37%, draw 31%, Dundalk 32%20' · 0–0 · Sligo Rovers 37%, draw 31%, Dundalk 32%21' · 0–0 · Sligo Rovers 37%, draw 32%, Dundalk 32%22' · 0–0 · Sligo Rovers 37%, draw 32%, Dundalk 32%23' · 0–0 · Sligo Rovers 36%, draw 32%, Dundalk 32%24' · 0–0 · Sligo Rovers 36%, draw 32%, Dundalk 32%25' · 0–0 · Sligo Rovers 36%, draw 32%, Dundalk 32%26' · 0–0 · Sligo Rovers 36%, draw 32%, Dundalk 32%27' · 0–0 · Sligo Rovers 36%, draw 33%, Dundalk 31%28' · 0–0 · Sligo Rovers 36%, draw 33%, Dundalk 31%29' · 0–0 · Sligo Rovers 36%, draw 33%, Dundalk 31%30' · 0–0 · Sligo Rovers 36%, draw 33%, Dundalk 31%31' · 0–0 · Sligo Rovers 36%, draw 33%, Dundalk 31%32' · 0–0 · Sligo Rovers 35%, draw 34%, Dundalk 31%33' · 0–0 · Sligo Rovers 35%, draw 34%, Dundalk 31%34' · 0–0 · Sligo Rovers 35%, draw 34%, Dundalk 31%35' · 0–0 · Sligo Rovers 35%, draw 34%, Dundalk 31%36' · 0–0 · Sligo Rovers 35%, draw 35%, Dundalk 31%37' · 0–0 · Sligo Rovers 35%, draw 35%, Dundalk 31%38' · 0–0 · Sligo Rovers 35%, draw 35%, Dundalk 30%39' · 0–0 · Sligo Rovers 34%, draw 35%, Dundalk 30%40' · 0–0 · Sligo Rovers 34%, draw 36%, Dundalk 30%41' · 0–0 · Sligo Rovers 34%, draw 36%, Dundalk 30%42' · 0–0 · Sligo Rovers 34%, draw 36%, Dundalk 30%43' · 0–0 · Sligo Rovers 34%, draw 36%, Dundalk 30%44' · 0–0 · Sligo Rovers 34%, draw 37%, Dundalk 30%45' · 0–0 · Sligo Rovers 33%, draw 37%, Dundalk 30%45+1' · 0–0 · Sligo Rovers 33%, draw 37%, Dundalk 29%45+2' · 0–0 · Sligo Rovers 33%, draw 38%, Dundalk 29%45+3' · 0–0 · Sligo Rovers 33%, draw 38%, Dundalk 29%HT · 0–0 · Sligo Rovers 33%, draw 38%, Dundalk 29%47' · 0–0 · Sligo Rovers 32%, draw 39%, Dundalk 29%48' · 1–0 · Sligo Rovers 69%, draw 22%, Dundalk 9%49' · 1–0 · Sligo Rovers 69%, draw 22%, Dundalk 8%50' · 1–0 · Sligo Rovers 69%, draw 22%, Dundalk 8%51' · 1–0 · Sligo Rovers 70%, draw 22%, Dundalk 8%52' · 1–0 · Sligo Rovers 70%, draw 22%, Dundalk 8%53' · 1–0 · Sligo Rovers 70%, draw 22%, Dundalk 8%54' · 1–0 · Sligo Rovers 70%, draw 22%, Dundalk 7%55' · 1–0 · Sligo Rovers 71%, draw 22%, Dundalk 7%56' · 1–0 · Sligo Rovers 71%, draw 22%, Dundalk 7%57' · 1–0 · Sligo Rovers 71%, draw 22%, Dundalk 7%58' · 1–0 · Sligo Rovers 72%, draw 22%, Dundalk 7%59' · 1–0 · Sligo Rovers 72%, draw 22%, Dundalk 6%60' · 1–0 · Sligo Rovers 72%, draw 22%, Dundalk 6%61' · 1–0 · Sligo Rovers 73%, draw 21%, Dundalk 6%62' · 1–0 · Sligo Rovers 73%, draw 21%, Dundalk 6%63' · 1–0 · Sligo Rovers 73%, draw 21%, Dundalk 6%64' · 1–0 · Sligo Rovers 74%, draw 21%, Dundalk 5%65' · 1–0 · Sligo Rovers 74%, draw 21%, Dundalk 5%66' · 1–0 · Sligo Rovers 75%, draw 21%, Dundalk 5%67' · 1–0 · Sligo Rovers 75%, draw 20%, Dundalk 5%68' · 1–0 · Sligo Rovers 75%, draw 20%, Dundalk 5%69' · 1–0 · Sligo Rovers 76%, draw 20%, Dundalk 4%71' · 1–0 · Sligo Rovers 77%, draw 19%, Dundalk 4%72' · 1–0 · Sligo Rovers 77%, draw 19%, Dundalk 4%73' · 1–0 · Sligo Rovers 78%, draw 19%, Dundalk 3%75' · 1–0 · Sligo Rovers 79%, draw 18%, Dundalk 3%76' · 1–0 · Sligo Rovers 79%, draw 18%, Dundalk 3%77' · 1–0 · Sligo Rovers 80%, draw 17%, Dundalk 3%78' · 1–0 · Sligo Rovers 81%, draw 17%, Dundalk 2%79' · 1–0 · Sligo Rovers 81%, draw 16%, Dundalk 2%80' · 1–0 · Sligo Rovers 82%, draw 16%, Dundalk 2%81' · 1–0 · Sligo Rovers 83%, draw 15%, Dundalk 2%82' · 1–0 · Sligo Rovers 83%, draw 15%, Dundalk 2%83' · 1–0 · Sligo Rovers 84%, draw 14%, Dundalk 2%84' · 1–0 · Sligo Rovers 85%, draw 14%, Dundalk 1%85' · 1–0 · Sligo Rovers 86%, draw 13%, Dundalk 1%86' · 1–0 · Sligo Rovers 87%, draw 12%, Dundalk 1%87' · 1–0 · Sligo Rovers 88%, draw 11%, Dundalk 1%88' · 1–0 · Sligo Rovers 89%, draw 11%, Dundalk 1%89' · 1–0 · Sligo Rovers 90%, draw 10%, Dundalk 1%90' · 1–1 · Sligo Rovers 10%, draw 82%, Dundalk 9%90+1' · 1–1 · Sligo Rovers 8%, draw 84%, Dundalk 8%90+2' · 1–1 · Sligo Rovers 7%, draw 87%, Dundalk 6%90+3' · 1–1 · Sligo Rovers 6%, draw 89%, Dundalk 5%

Last reading, 90+3': 6% · 89% · 5%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Sligo Rovers 38% to win: it ended in a draw.

  1. 20'Dundalk:Tyreke Wilson 1596 −7*
  2. 25'Dundalk:Egor Vassenin 1393 +1 for Mayowa Animasahun 1506 +1
  3. 45'Sligo Rovers:Seb Quirk 1363 0 for A. Gabbidon 1103 0
  4. 46'Sligo Rovers:Kaiyne Woolery 1394 −3 assist sean stewart 1390 0
  5. 57'Sligo Rovers:Luke Young 1492 −6
  6. 59'Sligo Rovers:sean stewart 1390 0
  7. 62'Dundalk:shane tracey 1396 −7* for Aodh Dervin 1474 0
  8. 63'Dundalk:Declan McDaid 1362 −2 for Trevor Clarke 1464 −1
  9. 67'Sligo Rovers:James McManus 1406 0 for Daire Patton 1343 0
  10. 70'Sligo Rovers:Luke Pearce 1098 0 for Kaiyne Woolery 1394 −3
  11. 73'Dundalk:leonardo gaxha 1023 +1 for Cian dillon 1286 +1
  12. 74'Dundalk:Harry Groome 1268 0 for Keith Buckley 1392 −6
  13. 90'Dundalk:ronan teahan 1239 +5 assist Declan McDaid 1362 −2

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-2-3-1Formations4-2-3-1
GE. Minogue1465+1
DB. Burns15110
DT. Wilson1596−7*
MK. Buckley1392−6
MA. Dervin14740
MT. Clarke1464−1
MR. Teahan1239+5
MD. Horgan1462−5
FC. Dillon1286+1
CC. Kilduff1249+3
Before kick-off: 38% · 29% · 33%(Sligo Rovers · draw · Dundalk)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%), and that was the result.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Sligo Rovers €189K, Dundalk €170K.
  • Home advantage made Sligo Rovers the favourite: it added 6 points to their win chance.
  • Style contrast in dribbling (Premier Division): Sligo Rovers ranked #4 of 11, Dundalk #8.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Sligo Rovers

10th in Premier Division · 23 pts from 33

  • 9 OctLShelbourne 1387
  • 19 SepLSt Patrick's Athl. 1368
  • 14 SepLGalway United 1395
  • 11 SepLDrogheda United 1415
  • 28 AugLBohemians 1446

Dundalk

7th in Premier Division · 41 pts from 33

  • 2 OctLBohemians 1408
  • 18 SepLShelbourne 1432
  • 14 SepLSt Patrick's Athl. 1395
  • 11 SepDWaterford 1372
  • 28 AugWDrogheda United 1381

Season outlook

From the Premier Division simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Sligo Rovers23 /3326.30%0%100%10th
Dundalk41 /3344.00%2%6%7th
Sligo Rovers
Dundalk

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 10th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Premier Division

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

G. McElroy
G. McElroy

Sligo Rovers · +1.8 (Average) · Elo 1430

D. Horgan
D. Horgan

Dundalk · +3.5 (Good) · Elo 1467

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Darren John Purse

Coach DNA: –

Ciarán Kilduff

Coach DNA: –

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Sligo Rovers: balanced profile (how Darren John Purse plays) · Dundalk: balanced profile (how Ciarán Kilduff plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.