Premier Division · Regular Season - 36
Sligo Rovers vs Derry City
Fri 30 Oct 2026 · 19:45 UTC · Showgrounds, Sligo
Sligo Rovers host Derry City on Fri 30 Oct 2026 (Premier Division); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Sligo Rovers 26%, draw 28%, Derry City 46%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Sligo Rovers €204K, Derry City €316K.
- Premier Division: D. Burns is the highest-rated midfielder (1764).
- Style contrast in discipline (Premier Division): Sligo Rovers rank #11 of 11, Derry City #4.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Sligo Rovers goals first.
- 1–113%
- 0–110%
- 1–29%
- 0–28%
- 0–08%
- 2–17%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Sligo Rovers 1401 · Derry City 1604
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Sligo Rovers · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Average) · Elo 1430
Derry City · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1591
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Sligo Rovers
10th in Premier Division · 24 pts from 34
- 17 OctDDundalk Irish Premier Division1378
- 9 OctLShelbourne Irish Premier Division1387
- 19 SepLSt Patrick's Athl. Irish Premier Division1368
- 14 SepLGalway United Irish Premier Division1395
- 11 SepLDrogheda United Irish Premier Division1415
Derry City
6th in Premier Division · 41 pts from 33
- 16 OctLDrogheda United Irish Premier Division1576
- 18 SepWGalway United Irish Premier Division1608
- 14 SepDWaterford Irish Premier Division1605
- 11 SepWShelbourne Irish Premier Division1590
- 30 AugDShamrock Rovers Irish Premier Division1568
Season outlook
From the Premier Division simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sligo Rovers | 24 /34 | 25.8 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 10th |
| Derry City | 41 /33 | 46.2 | 0% | 23% | 1% | 5th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 10th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Sligo Rovers: balanced profile (how Darren John Purse plays) · Derry City: balanced profile (how Mark Connolly plays)