Premier League · Regular Season - 11
Sliema Wanderers vs Hamrun Spartans
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Sliema Wanderers host Hamrun Spartans on Sat 31 Oct 2026 (Premier League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Sliema Wanderers 36%, draw 29%, Hamrun Spartans 35%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Sliema Wanderers €144K, Hamrun Spartans €276K.
- Home advantage makes Sliema Wanderers the favourite here: it adds 6 points to their win chance.
- Premier League: H. Bonello is the highest-rated goalkeeper (1568).
- R. Al Tumi, J. Borg, A. Overend, U. Djuranovic, R. Prša, Gustavo Alcino, André Seruca, Mohammed Awad, Thiaguinho, S. Pisani and Fernandinho (Sliema Wanderers) have not played for over 90 days.
- M. García, D. Bulevardi and M. El Fanis (Hamrun Spartans) have not played for over 90 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Sliema Wanderers goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–09%
- 1–09%
- 0–19%
- 2–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores43%
Team Elo: Sliema Wanderers 1377 · Hamrun Spartans 1449
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches; Sliema Wanderers from last season's line-ups (latest 14 March 2026); Hamrun Spartans from last season's line-ups (latest 15 March 2026).
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Hamrun Spartans · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.4 (Elite) · Elo 1544
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Sliema Wanderers
6th in Premier League · 11 pts from 8
- 14 MarWGzira United Malta Premier League1297
- 7 MarLFloriana Malta Premier League1294
- 28 FebDTarxien Rainbows Malta Premier League1281
- 21 FebWValletta FC Malta Premier League1361
- 17 FebDBirkirkara Malta Premier League1313
Hamrun Spartans
5th in Premier League · 12 pts from 8
- 29 AugDFloriana Malta Premier League1477
- 16 JulLNSI Runavik UEFA Conference League1444
- 9 JulDNSI Runavik UEFA Conference League1439
- 15 MarLMosta Malta Premier League1522
- 8 MarWBirkirkara Malta Premier League1440
Season outlook
From the Premier League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sliema Wanderers | 11 /8 | 15.5 | 0% | 19% | 5% | 7th |
| Hamrun Spartans | 12 /8 | 16.7 | 1% | 42% | 1% | 4th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –