First League · Regular Season - 15
Slavia Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 12:45 UTC · Stadion Aleksandar Shalamanov, Sofia
Slavia Sofia host Arda Kardzhali on Sat 21 Nov 2026 (First League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Slavia Sofia 35%, draw 29%, Arda Kardzhali 36%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Slavia Sofia €249K, Arda Kardzhali €348K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Slavia Sofia goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–111%
- 1–011%
- 0–011%
- 1–28%
- 2–17%
- Other scores38%
Team Elo: Slavia Sofia 1416 · Arda Kardzhali 1500
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Arda Kardzhali · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.0 (Average) · Elo 1461
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Slavia Sofia
8th in First League · 14 pts from 14
- 7 NovDCherno More Varna Bulgarian First League1398
- 31 OctDCSKA Sofia Bulgarian First League1408
- 26 OctDLokomotiv Plovdiv Bulgarian First League1379
- 10 OctLBotev Plovdiv Bulgarian First League1389
- 18 SepLCSKA 1948 Bulgarian First League1426
Arda Kardzhali
6th in First League · 21 pts from 14
- 8 NovLSpartak Varna Bulgarian First League1520
- 2 NovWSeptemvri Sofia Bulgarian First League1505
- 27 OctDLevski Sofia Bulgarian First League1511
- 12 OctLLudogorets Bulgarian First League1518
- 19 SepDCherno More Varna Bulgarian First League1521
Season outlook
From the First League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slavia Sofia | 14 /14 | 28.5 | 0% | 0% | 11% | 7th |
| Arda Kardzhali | 21 /14 | 37.1 | 0% | 2% | <1% | 6th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 14th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Slavia Sofia: balanced profile (how Ratko Dostanić plays) · Arda Kardzhali: balanced profile (how A. Tunchev plays)