Czech Liga · Regular Season - 12
Slavia Praha vs Mlada Boleslav
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC · Fortuna Arena, Prague
Slavia Praha host Mlada Boleslav on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (Czech Liga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Slavia Praha 66%, draw 21%, Mlada Boleslav 14%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Slavia Praha €2.6M, Mlada Boleslav €461K.
- Czech Liga: J. Markovič is the highest-rated goalkeeper (1951).
- Style contrast in pressing & duels (Czech Liga): Slavia Praha rank #3 of 16, Mlada Boleslav #16.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Slavia Praha goals first.
- 2–011%
- 2–110%
- 1–110%
- 1–09%
- 3–08%
- 3–17%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Slavia Praha 1919 · Mlada Boleslav 1625
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Slavia Praha · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.3 (Good) · Elo 2008
Mlada Boleslav · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Good) · Elo 1783
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Slavia Praha
1st in Czech Liga · 27 pts from 11
- 17 OctDHradec Králové Czech Liga1931
- 13 OctLSabah FA UEFA Champions League1960
- 9 OctWZlin Czech Liga1931
- 20 SepWPlzen Czech Liga1939
- 13 SepWTeplice Czech Liga1852
Mlada Boleslav
4th in Czech Liga · 20 pts from 11
- 17 OctWTeplice Czech Liga1657
- 14 OctLBohemians 1905 Czech Liga1652
- 10 OctLPlzen Czech Liga1696
- 19 SepWZbrojovka Brno Czech Liga1628
- 12 SepLSlovan Liberec Czech Liga1675
Season outlook
From the Czech Liga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slavia Praha | 27 /11 | 64.2 | 80% | 99% | 0% | 1st |
| Mlada Boleslav | 20 /11 | 44.6 | <1% | 16% | <1% | 7th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: shot-heavy · creative
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Slavia Praha: shot-heavy · creative (how Jindřich Trpišovský plays) · Mlada Boleslav: balanced profile (how Aleš Majer plays)