Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 12
Slask Wroclaw vs Wieczysta Kraków
Sun 25 Oct 2026 · 11:15 UTC · Tarczynski Arena
Slask Wroclaw host Wieczysta Kraków on Sun 25 Oct 2026 (Ekstraklasa); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Slask Wroclaw 37%, draw 29%, Wieczysta Kraków 34%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Slask Wroclaw €452K, Wieczysta Kraków €582K.
- Home advantage makes Slask Wroclaw the favourite here: it adds 8 points to their win chance.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Slask Wroclaw goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–09%
- 1–09%
- 0–18%
- 2–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Slask Wroclaw 1606 · Wieczysta Kraków 1690
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Slask Wroclaw · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Average) · Elo 1650
Wieczysta Kraków · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.4 (Good) · Elo 1689
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Slask Wroclaw
17th in Ekstraklasa · 6 pts from 11
- 17 OctLMotor Lublin Ekstraklasa1590
- 10 OctLLech Poznan Ekstraklasa1611
- 18 SepLWisla Krakow Ekstraklasa1609
- 12 SepLKorona Kielce Ekstraklasa1633
- 6 SepLJagiellonia Ekstraklasa1622
Wieczysta Kraków
15th in Ekstraklasa · 8 pts from 11
- 16 OctLRaków Częstochowa Ekstraklasa1686
- 12 OctLGKS Katowice Ekstraklasa1675
- 9 OctWWisla Plock Ekstraklasa1666
- 18 SepDWidzew Łódź Ekstraklasa1657
- 13 SepLPogon Szczecin Ekstraklasa1662
Season outlook
From the Ekstraklasa simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slask Wroclaw | 6 /11 | 31.4 | 0% | 0% | 76% | 18th |
| Wieczysta Kraków | 8 /11 | 37.5 | 0% | <1% | 36% | 16th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: possession-based