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Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 10

Slask Wroclaw 1–4 Lech Poznan

Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 15:30 UTC · Stadion Śląska Wrocław, Wroclaw

Slask Wroclaw crestSlask WroclawTeam 1583
1–4
Full time
HT 0–1
Lech Poznan crestLech PoznanTeam 1887

Match story

Slask Wroclaw · draw · Lech Poznan

Before kick-off: 22% · 25% · 53%

Live chances: Slask Wroclaw 0%, draw 0%, Lech Poznan 100% at 90+7'2' · 0–0 · Slask Wroclaw 22%, draw 25%, Lech Poznan 53%3' · 0–0 · Slask Wroclaw 22%, draw 25%, Lech Poznan 53%4' · 0–0 · Slask Wroclaw 22%, draw 25%, Lech Poznan 53%5' · 0–0 · Slask Wroclaw 22%, draw 25%, Lech Poznan 52%6' · 0–0 · Slask Wroclaw 22%, draw 26%, Lech Poznan 52%7' · 0–0 · Slask Wroclaw 22%, draw 26%, Lech Poznan 52%8' · 0–0 · Slask Wroclaw 22%, draw 26%, Lech Poznan 52%9' · 0–0 · Slask Wroclaw 22%, draw 26%, Lech Poznan 52%10' · 0–0 · Slask Wroclaw 22%, draw 26%, Lech Poznan 52%11' · 0–0 · Slask Wroclaw 22%, draw 26%, Lech Poznan 51%12' · 0–0 · Slask Wroclaw 22%, draw 27%, Lech Poznan 51%13' · 0–0 · Slask Wroclaw 22%, draw 27%, Lech Poznan 51%14' · 0–0 · Slask Wroclaw 22%, draw 27%, Lech Poznan 51%15' · 0–0 · Slask Wroclaw 22%, draw 27%, Lech Poznan 51%16' · 0–0 · Slask Wroclaw 22%, draw 27%, Lech Poznan 50%17' · 0–0 · Slask Wroclaw 22%, draw 27%, Lech Poznan 50%18' · 0–0 · Slask Wroclaw 22%, draw 28%, Lech Poznan 50%19' · 0–0 · Slask Wroclaw 22%, draw 28%, Lech Poznan 50%20' · 0–0 · Slask Wroclaw 22%, draw 28%, Lech Poznan 50%21' · 0–0 · Slask Wroclaw 22%, draw 28%, Lech Poznan 49%22' · 0–0 · Slask Wroclaw 22%, draw 28%, Lech Poznan 49%23' · 0–0 · Slask Wroclaw 22%, draw 29%, Lech Poznan 49%24' · 0–0 · Slask Wroclaw 22%, draw 29%, Lech Poznan 49%25' · 0–0 · Slask Wroclaw 22%, draw 29%, Lech Poznan 48%26' · 0–0 · Slask Wroclaw 22%, draw 29%, Lech Poznan 48%27' · 0–0 · Slask Wroclaw 22%, draw 30%, Lech Poznan 48%28' · 0–0 · Slask Wroclaw 22%, draw 30%, Lech Poznan 48%29' · 0–0 · Slask Wroclaw 22%, draw 30%, Lech Poznan 48%30' · 0–0 · Slask Wroclaw 22%, draw 30%, Lech Poznan 47%31' · 0–1 · Slask Wroclaw 9%, draw 18%, Lech Poznan 73%32' · 0–1 · Slask Wroclaw 9%, draw 18%, Lech Poznan 73%33' · 0–1 · Slask Wroclaw 8%, draw 18%, Lech Poznan 73%34' · 0–1 · Slask Wroclaw 8%, draw 19%, Lech Poznan 73%35' · 0–1 · Slask Wroclaw 8%, draw 19%, Lech Poznan 73%36' · 0–1 · Slask Wroclaw 8%, draw 19%, Lech Poznan 73%37' · 0–1 · Slask Wroclaw 8%, draw 19%, Lech Poznan 73%38' · 0–1 · Slask Wroclaw 8%, draw 19%, Lech Poznan 73%39' · 0–1 · Slask Wroclaw 8%, draw 19%, Lech Poznan 73%40' · 0–1 · Slask Wroclaw 8%, draw 19%, Lech Poznan 73%41' · 0–1 · Slask Wroclaw 8%, draw 19%, Lech Poznan 74%42' · 0–1 · Slask Wroclaw 8%, draw 19%, Lech Poznan 74%43' · 0–1 · Slask Wroclaw 8%, draw 19%, Lech Poznan 74%44' · 0–1 · Slask Wroclaw 7%, draw 19%, Lech Poznan 74%45' · 0–1 · Slask Wroclaw 7%, draw 19%, Lech Poznan 74%45+1' · 0–1 · Slask Wroclaw 7%, draw 19%, Lech Poznan 74%45+2' · 0–1 · Slask Wroclaw 7%, draw 19%, Lech Poznan 74%HT · 0–1 · Slask Wroclaw 7%, draw 19%, Lech Poznan 74%46' · 0–1 · Slask Wroclaw 7%, draw 19%, Lech Poznan 74%47' · 0–1 · Slask Wroclaw 7%, draw 19%, Lech Poznan 74%48' · 0–1 · Slask Wroclaw 7%, draw 19%, Lech Poznan 74%49' · 0–1 · Slask Wroclaw 7%, draw 19%, Lech Poznan 75%50' · 0–1 · Slask Wroclaw 6%, draw 19%, Lech Poznan 75%51' · 0–2 · Slask Wroclaw 1%, draw 4%, Lech Poznan 95%52' · 0–2 · Slask Wroclaw 1%, draw 4%, Lech Poznan 95%53' · 0–2 · Slask Wroclaw 1%, draw 4%, Lech Poznan 95%54' · 0–2 · Slask Wroclaw 1%, draw 4%, Lech Poznan 95%55' · 0–2 · Slask Wroclaw 1%, draw 4%, Lech Poznan 95%56' · 0–2 · Slask Wroclaw 1%, draw 4%, Lech Poznan 96%57' · 0–2 · Slask Wroclaw 1%, draw 4%, Lech Poznan 96%58' · 0–2 · Slask Wroclaw 1%, draw 4%, Lech Poznan 96%59' · 0–2 · Slask Wroclaw 1%, draw 4%, Lech Poznan 96%60' · 0–2 · Slask Wroclaw 0%, draw 3%, Lech Poznan 96%61' · 0–2 · Slask Wroclaw 0%, draw 3%, Lech Poznan 96%62' · 0–2 · Slask Wroclaw 0%, draw 3%, Lech Poznan 96%63' · 0–2 · Slask Wroclaw 0%, draw 3%, Lech Poznan 96%64' · 0–2 · Slask Wroclaw 0%, draw 3%, Lech Poznan 97%65' · 0–2 · Slask Wroclaw 0%, draw 3%, Lech Poznan 97%66' · 0–2 · Slask Wroclaw 0%, draw 3%, Lech Poznan 97%67' · 0–2 · Slask Wroclaw 0%, draw 3%, Lech Poznan 97%68' · 0–2 · Slask Wroclaw 0%, draw 3%, Lech Poznan 97%69' · 0–2 · Slask Wroclaw 0%, draw 2%, Lech Poznan 97%70' · 0–2 · Slask Wroclaw 0%, draw 2%, Lech Poznan 97%71' · 0–3 · Slask Wroclaw 0%, draw 0%, Lech Poznan 100%72' · 0–3 · Slask Wroclaw 0%, draw 0%, Lech Poznan 100%73' · 0–3 · Slask Wroclaw 0%, draw 0%, Lech Poznan 100%74' · 0–4 · Slask Wroclaw 0%, draw 0%, Lech Poznan 100%75' · 0–4 · Slask Wroclaw 0%, draw 0%, Lech Poznan 100%76' · 0–4 · Slask Wroclaw 0%, draw 0%, Lech Poznan 100%77' · 0–4 · Slask Wroclaw 0%, draw 0%, Lech Poznan 100%78' · 0–4 · Slask Wroclaw 0%, draw 0%, Lech Poznan 100%79' · 0–4 · Slask Wroclaw 0%, draw 0%, Lech Poznan 100%80' · 0–4 · Slask Wroclaw 0%, draw 0%, Lech Poznan 100%81' · 0–4 · Slask Wroclaw 0%, draw 0%, Lech Poznan 100%82' · 0–4 · Slask Wroclaw 0%, draw 0%, Lech Poznan 100%85' · 0–4 · Slask Wroclaw 0%, draw 0%, Lech Poznan 100%86' · 0–4 · Slask Wroclaw 0%, draw 0%, Lech Poznan 100%87' · 0–4 · Slask Wroclaw 0%, draw 0%, Lech Poznan 100%88' · 0–4 · Slask Wroclaw 0%, draw 0%, Lech Poznan 100%89' · 0–4 · Slask Wroclaw 0%, draw 0%, Lech Poznan 100%90' · 0–4 · Slask Wroclaw 0%, draw 0%, Lech Poznan 100%90+1' · 0–4 · Slask Wroclaw 0%, draw 0%, Lech Poznan 100%90+2' · 0–4 · Slask Wroclaw 0%, draw 0%, Lech Poznan 100%90+3' · 0–4 · Slask Wroclaw 0%, draw 0%, Lech Poznan 100%90+4' · 1–4 · Slask Wroclaw 0%, draw 0%, Lech Poznan 100%90+5' · 1–4 · Slask Wroclaw 0%, draw 0%, Lech Poznan 100%90+6' · 1–4 · Slask Wroclaw 0%, draw 0%, Lech Poznan 100%90+7' · 1–4 · Slask Wroclaw 0%, draw 0%, Lech Poznan 100%

Last reading, 90+7': 0% · 0% · 100%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score. Shaded: minutes without a reading.

We gave Lech Poznan 53% to win: they did.

  1. 17'Lech Poznan:Filip Jagiełło 1873 +19*
  2. 31'Lech Poznan:Filip Jagiełło 1873 +19* assist Mateusz Skrzypczak 1948 +26*
  3. 45'Lech Poznan:Wojciech Monka 2005 +2*
  4. 45+1'Lech Poznan:Michal Gurgul 1984 +3*
  5. 50'Lech Poznan:Pablo Rodriguez Delgado 2010 +18* assist Joel Pereira 1979 +20*
  6. 56'Slask Wroclaw:Karol Linetty 1814 −20*
  7. 60'Lech Poznan:Patrick Walemark 2021 0* for Robert Gumny 1794 +4*
  8. 60'Lech Poznan:antoni kozubal 2018 0* for Filip Jagiełło 1873 +19*
  9. 61'Slask Wroclaw:Adam Ciućka 1361 −8* for Karol Linetty 1814 −20*
  10. 61'Slask Wroclaw:Malaly Dembele 1622 −9* for luka marjanac 1367 −8*
  11. 70'Lech Poznan:Patrick Walemark 2021 0* assist Mikael Ishak 1884 +20*
  12. 72'Lech Poznan:Y. Agnero 1645 −2* for Mikael Ishak 1884 +20*
  13. 72'Lech Poznan:Daniel Håkans 1779 +5 for Leo Bengtsson 1847 +5*
  14. 73'Lech Poznan:Patrick Walemark 2021 0* assist Daniel Håkans 1779 +5
  15. 75'Slask Wroclaw:Eniss Shabani 1574 −8* for Piotr Samiec-Talar 1650 −8*
  16. 75'Slask Wroclaw:Leltsin Jeronimo Semedo Camoes 1656 −8* for Przemyslaw Banaszak 1366 −9*
  17. 76'Lech Poznan:Gustav Berggren 1835 −7* for Radosław Murawski 1772 +5*
  18. 88'Slask Wroclaw:Marc Llinares 1585 −8*
  19. 90+3'Slask Wroclaw:Grzegorz Tomasiewicz 1690 −15* assist Alex Timossi Andersson 1575 −8*
  20. 90+5'Lech Poznan:Patrick Walemark 2021 0*

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

3-4-1-2Formations4-4-2
GK. Niemczycki1605−8*
DE. Matsenko1663−8*
DL. Ba1648−9*
DM. Malec1637−11*
MA. Timossi Andersson1575−8*
MG. Tomasiewicz1690−15*
MK. Linetty1814−20*
MMarc Llinares1585−8*
MP. Samiec-Talar1650−8*
FP. Banaszak1366−9*
FL. Marjanac1367−8*
CA. Šimundža1672−9*
GM. Lis2013+17*
DJoel Pereira1979+20*
DM. Skrzypczak1948+26*
DW. Mońka2005+2*
DM. Gurgul1984+3*
MR. Gumny1794+4*
MR. Murawski1772+5*
MPablo Rodríguez2010+18*
ML. Bengtsson1847+5*
FM. Ishak1884+20*
FF. Jagiełło1873+19*
CN. Frederiksen1985+11*
Before kick-off: 22% · 25% · 53%(Slask Wroclaw · draw · Lech Poznan)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the result 1–4 had 3%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Slask Wroclaw €492K, Lech Poznan €1.8M.
  • Largest team-Elo gap of Ekstraklasa matchday 10: 317 points.
  • Ekstraklasa: P. Wålemark was the highest-rated midfielder (2022).

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Slask Wroclaw

16th in Ekstraklasa · 6 pts from 9

  • 18 SepLWisla Krakow 1609
  • 12 SepLKorona Kielce 1633
  • 6 SepLJagiellonia 1622
  • 28 AugDLegia Warszawa 1593
  • 22 AugDWidzew Łódź 1578

Lech Poznan

3rd in Ekstraklasa · 19 pts from 8

  • 20 SepWRadomiak Radom 1912
  • 17 SepLCrystal Palace 1925
  • 12 SepLGornik Zabrze 1927
  • 6 SepWRaków Częstochowa 1900
  • 3 SepWJagiellonia 1925

Season outlook

From the Ekstraklasa simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Slask Wroclaw6 /933.30%0%65%18th
Lech Poznan19 /865.549%95%0%1st
Slask Wroclaw
Lech Poznan

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Ekstraklasa

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

P. Samiec-Talar
P. Samiec-Talar

Slask Wroclaw · +0.9 (Good) · Elo 1658

W. Mońka
W. Mońka

Lech Poznan · +3.9 (Good) · Elo 2003

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Ante Šimundža

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Niels Frederiksen

Coach DNA: possession-based

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Slask Wroclaw: dribble-heavy (how Ante Šimundža plays) · Lech Poznan: possession-based (how Niels Frederiksen plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.