2. Liga · Regular Season - 8
SKU Amstetten 1–1 FC BW Linz
Fri 9 Oct 2026 · 16:30 UTC · Ertl Glas Stadion, Amstetten
SKU AmstettenTeam 1401FC BW LinzTeam 1540We gave FC BW Linz 40% to win: it ended in a draw.
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 31% · 29% · 40%(SKU Amstetten · draw · FC BW Linz)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%), and that was the result.
- Average value of the starting XI: SKU Amstetten €199K, FC BW Linz €309K.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
SKU Amstetten
4th in 2. Liga · 12 pts from 7
- 18 SepWSV Kapfenberg Austria 2 Liga1394
- 11 SepWAustria Vienna (Am) Austria 2 Liga1403
- 28 AugLFirst Vienna Austria 2 Liga1411
- 9 AugWAdmira Wacker Austria 2 Liga1377
- 31 JulDVoitsberg Austria 2 Liga1386
FC BW Linz
1st in 2. Liga · 18 pts from 7
- 18 SepWAdmira Wacker Austria 2 Liga1516
- 28 AugLSV Kapfenberg Austria 2 Liga1535
- 23 AugWVoitsberg Austria 2 Liga1514
- 14 AugWSKN ST. Polten Austria 2 Liga1506
- 7 AugWWacker Innsbruck Austria 2 Liga1493
Season outlook
From the 2. Liga simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SKU Amstetten | 12 /7 | 43.8 | 2% | 26% | 3% | 6th |
| FC BW Linz | 18 /7 | 57.5 | 61% | 94% | 0% | 1st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
FC BW Linz · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Good) · Elo 1664
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.