2. Liga · Regular Season - 11
SKN ST. Polten vs WSPG Wels
Fri 30 Oct 2026 · 17:30 UTC · NV Arena
SKN ST. Polten host WSPG Wels on Fri 30 Oct 2026 (2. Liga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: SKN ST. Polten 63%, draw 22%, WSPG Wels 15%.
- Average value of the expected XI: SKN ST. Polten €443K, WSPG Wels €212K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of 2. Liga matchday 11: 257 points.
- 2. Liga: C. Messerer is the highest-rated midfielder (1727).
- K. Schröcker, N. Keckeisen, M. Thurnwald, T. Şahin, S. Malinowski, S. Feyrer, M. Švec and P. Gobara (WSPG Wels) have not played for over 90 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. SKN ST. Polten goals first.
- 2–011%
- 1–110%
- 2–110%
- 1–09%
- 3–07%
- 3–17%
- Other scores46%
Team Elo: SKN ST. Polten 1573 · WSPG Wels 1316
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches; WSPG Wels from last season's line-ups (latest 14 May 2026).
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
WSPG Wels · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.5 (Below) · Elo 1496
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
SKN ST. Polten
11th in 2. Liga · 10 pts from 9
- 16 OctDRapid Wien II Austria 2 Liga1559
- 9 OctLFirst Vienna Austria 2 Liga1640
- 13 SepWFC Liefering Austria 2 Liga1615
- 28 AugWAustria Salzburg Austria 2 Liga1568
- 21 AugLWacker Innsbruck Austria 2 Liga1570
WSPG Wels
14th in 2. Liga · 8 pts from 9
- 14 MayLSKN ST. Polten Austria 2 Liga1352
- 2 MayLFirst Vienna Austria 2 Liga1394
- 6 AprDAustria Salzburg Austria 2 Liga1389
- 3 AprLAustria Klagenfurt Austria 2 Liga1423
- 20 MarWFC Liefering Austria 2 Liga1383
Season outlook
From the 2. Liga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SKN ST. Polten | 10 /9 | 46.9 | 4% | 42% | 1% | 4th |
| WSPG Wels | 8 /9 | 32.2 | 0% | 1% | 49% | 15th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: low-block