Super Liga · Regular Season - 11
Skalica 0–2 AS Trencin
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 13:30 UTC
SkalicaTeam 1356AS TrencinTeam 1446- L. Mikulaj 9' (pen)
- Eynel Soares 13'
We gave AS Trencin 42% to win: they did.
- 9'L. Mikulaj – (pen.)AS Trencin:L. Mikulaj – (pen.)
- 13'Eynel Soares –AS Trencin:Eynel Soares –
- 46'D. Kam – for Eynel Soares –AS Trencin:D. Kam – for Eynel Soares –
- R. Potocny –50'Skalica:R. Potocny –
- L. Simko – for S. Sula –63'Skalica:L. Simko – for S. Sula –
- E. Eshele – for R. Potocny –63'Skalica:E. Eshele – for R. Potocny –
- A. Ravas – for M. Masik –64'Skalica:A. Ravas – for M. Masik –
- A. Morong –64'Skalica:A. Morong –
- 75'C. Ansah – for J. Paur –AS Trencin:C. Ansah – for J. Paur –
- 75'F. Slovak – for P. Gonzalez –AS Trencin:F. Slovak – for P. Gonzalez –
- 81'F. Kasana – for L. Mikulaj –AS Trencin:F. Kasana – for L. Mikulaj –
- 86'N. Jovanovic – for H. Pavek –AS Trencin:N. Jovanovic – for H. Pavek –
- O. Podhorin – for D. Baris –86'Skalica:O. Podhorin – for D. Baris –
- 88'R. Sanusi –AS Trencin:R. Sanusi –
Before kick-off (provisional): 30% · 29% · 42%(Skalica · draw · AS Trencin)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 0–2 had 8%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Skalica €141K, AS Trencin €313K.
- Style contrast in possession (Super Liga): Skalica ranked #10 of 12, AS Trencin #3.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Skalica
9th in Super Liga · 9 pts from 10
- 10 OctDSlovan Bratislava Slovak Super Liga1378
- 30 AugLDunajska Streda Slovak Super Liga1359
- 22 AugLZemplín Michalovce Slovak Super Liga1344
- 15 AugLFK Košice Slovak Super Liga1332
- 1 AugWRužomberok Slovak Super Liga1338
AS Trencin
12th in Super Liga · 5 pts from 9
- 10 OctLDukla Banská Bystrica Slovak Super Liga1430
- 19 SepLŽilina Slovak Super Liga1441
- 29 AugWRužomberok Slovak Super Liga1456
- 15 AugLPodbrezová Slovak Super Liga1473
- 1 AugDFK Košice Slovak Super Liga1467
Season outlook
From the Super Liga simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skalica | 9 /10 | 22.0 | 0% | <1% | 46% | 9th |
| AS Trencin | 5 /9 | 21.9 | 0% | <1% | 47% | 9th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
AS Trencin · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.9 (Below) · Elo 1684
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: dribble-heavy
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Skalica: direct (how Stanislav Macek plays) · AS Trencin: dribble-heavy · possession-based (how Ricardo Moniz plays)