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First League · Regular Season - 14

Ska-khabarovsk 1–2 Volga Ulyanovsk

Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 05:00 UTC · Lenin Stadium, Khabarovsk

Ska-khabarovsk crestSka-khabarovskTeam 1411
1–2
Full time
HT 1–1
Volga Ulyanovsk crestVolga UlyanovskTeam 1429

Match story

Ska-khabarovsk · draw · Volga Ulyanovsk

Before kick-off: 43% · 28% · 29%

Live chances: Ska-khabarovsk 0%, draw 3%, Volga Ulyanovsk 97% at 90+5'1' · 0–0 · Ska-khabarovsk 43%, draw 28%, Volga Ulyanovsk 29%3' · 0–0 · Ska-khabarovsk 43%, draw 29%, Volga Ulyanovsk 29%4' · 0–0 · Ska-khabarovsk 43%, draw 29%, Volga Ulyanovsk 29%5' · 0–0 · Ska-khabarovsk 42%, draw 29%, Volga Ulyanovsk 29%6' · 0–0 · Ska-khabarovsk 42%, draw 29%, Volga Ulyanovsk 29%7' · 0–0 · Ska-khabarovsk 42%, draw 29%, Volga Ulyanovsk 29%8' · 0–0 · Ska-khabarovsk 42%, draw 29%, Volga Ulyanovsk 29%9' · 0–0 · Ska-khabarovsk 42%, draw 29%, Volga Ulyanovsk 29%10' · 0–0 · Ska-khabarovsk 42%, draw 29%, Volga Ulyanovsk 29%11' · 0–0 · Ska-khabarovsk 42%, draw 30%, Volga Ulyanovsk 29%12' · 0–0 · Ska-khabarovsk 42%, draw 30%, Volga Ulyanovsk 29%13' · 0–0 · Ska-khabarovsk 42%, draw 30%, Volga Ulyanovsk 29%14' · 0–0 · Ska-khabarovsk 41%, draw 30%, Volga Ulyanovsk 29%15' · 0–0 · Ska-khabarovsk 41%, draw 30%, Volga Ulyanovsk 29%16' · 0–0 · Ska-khabarovsk 41%, draw 30%, Volga Ulyanovsk 28%17' · 0–0 · Ska-khabarovsk 41%, draw 30%, Volga Ulyanovsk 28%18' · 0–1 · Ska-khabarovsk 24%, draw 27%, Volga Ulyanovsk 50%19' · 0–1 · Ska-khabarovsk 23%, draw 27%, Volga Ulyanovsk 50%20' · 0–1 · Ska-khabarovsk 23%, draw 27%, Volga Ulyanovsk 50%21' · 0–1 · Ska-khabarovsk 23%, draw 27%, Volga Ulyanovsk 50%22' · 0–1 · Ska-khabarovsk 23%, draw 27%, Volga Ulyanovsk 50%23' · 0–1 · Ska-khabarovsk 23%, draw 27%, Volga Ulyanovsk 51%24' · 0–1 · Ska-khabarovsk 22%, draw 27%, Volga Ulyanovsk 51%25' · 1–1 · Ska-khabarovsk 40%, draw 32%, Volga Ulyanovsk 28%26' · 1–1 · Ska-khabarovsk 40%, draw 32%, Volga Ulyanovsk 28%27' · 1–1 · Ska-khabarovsk 40%, draw 32%, Volga Ulyanovsk 28%28' · 1–1 · Ska-khabarovsk 40%, draw 32%, Volga Ulyanovsk 28%29' · 1–1 · Ska-khabarovsk 39%, draw 32%, Volga Ulyanovsk 28%30' · 1–1 · Ska-khabarovsk 39%, draw 33%, Volga Ulyanovsk 28%31' · 1–1 · Ska-khabarovsk 39%, draw 33%, Volga Ulyanovsk 28%32' · 1–1 · Ska-khabarovsk 39%, draw 33%, Volga Ulyanovsk 28%33' · 1–1 · Ska-khabarovsk 39%, draw 33%, Volga Ulyanovsk 28%34' · 1–1 · Ska-khabarovsk 39%, draw 34%, Volga Ulyanovsk 28%35' · 1–1 · Ska-khabarovsk 38%, draw 34%, Volga Ulyanovsk 28%36' · 1–1 · Ska-khabarovsk 38%, draw 34%, Volga Ulyanovsk 28%37' · 1–1 · Ska-khabarovsk 38%, draw 34%, Volga Ulyanovsk 28%38' · 1–1 · Ska-khabarovsk 38%, draw 35%, Volga Ulyanovsk 27%39' · 1–1 · Ska-khabarovsk 38%, draw 35%, Volga Ulyanovsk 27%40' · 1–1 · Ska-khabarovsk 38%, draw 35%, Volga Ulyanovsk 27%41' · 1–1 · Ska-khabarovsk 37%, draw 35%, Volga Ulyanovsk 27%42' · 1–1 · Ska-khabarovsk 37%, draw 36%, Volga Ulyanovsk 27%43' · 1–1 · Ska-khabarovsk 37%, draw 36%, Volga Ulyanovsk 27%44' · 1–1 · Ska-khabarovsk 37%, draw 36%, Volga Ulyanovsk 27%45' · 1–1 · Ska-khabarovsk 37%, draw 37%, Volga Ulyanovsk 27%45+1' · 1–1 · Ska-khabarovsk 36%, draw 37%, Volga Ulyanovsk 27%HT · 1–1 · Ska-khabarovsk 36%, draw 38%, Volga Ulyanovsk 26%47' · 1–1 · Ska-khabarovsk 35%, draw 38%, Volga Ulyanovsk 26%48' · 1–1 · Ska-khabarovsk 35%, draw 39%, Volga Ulyanovsk 26%49' · 1–1 · Ska-khabarovsk 35%, draw 39%, Volga Ulyanovsk 26%50' · 1–1 · Ska-khabarovsk 35%, draw 39%, Volga Ulyanovsk 26%51' · 1–1 · Ska-khabarovsk 34%, draw 40%, Volga Ulyanovsk 26%52' · 1–1 · Ska-khabarovsk 34%, draw 40%, Volga Ulyanovsk 26%53' · 1–1 · Ska-khabarovsk 34%, draw 41%, Volga Ulyanovsk 25%54' · 1–1 · Ska-khabarovsk 33%, draw 42%, Volga Ulyanovsk 25%55' · 1–1 · Ska-khabarovsk 33%, draw 42%, Volga Ulyanovsk 25%57' · 1–1 · Ska-khabarovsk 32%, draw 43%, Volga Ulyanovsk 25%58' · 1–1 · Ska-khabarovsk 32%, draw 44%, Volga Ulyanovsk 24%59' · 1–1 · Ska-khabarovsk 31%, draw 45%, Volga Ulyanovsk 24%60' · 1–1 · Ska-khabarovsk 31%, draw 45%, Volga Ulyanovsk 24%61' · 1–1 · Ska-khabarovsk 30%, draw 46%, Volga Ulyanovsk 24%62' · 1–1 · Ska-khabarovsk 30%, draw 47%, Volga Ulyanovsk 23%63' · 1–1 · Ska-khabarovsk 30%, draw 47%, Volga Ulyanovsk 23%64' · 1–1 · Ska-khabarovsk 29%, draw 48%, Volga Ulyanovsk 23%65' · 1–1 · Ska-khabarovsk 29%, draw 49%, Volga Ulyanovsk 22%66' · 1–1 · Ska-khabarovsk 28%, draw 50%, Volga Ulyanovsk 22%67' · 1–1 · Ska-khabarovsk 28%, draw 50%, Volga Ulyanovsk 22%68' · 1–1 · Ska-khabarovsk 27%, draw 51%, Volga Ulyanovsk 22%69' · 1–1 · Ska-khabarovsk 27%, draw 52%, Volga Ulyanovsk 21%70' · 1–1 · Ska-khabarovsk 26%, draw 53%, Volga Ulyanovsk 21%71' · 1–1 · Ska-khabarovsk 26%, draw 54%, Volga Ulyanovsk 20%72' · 1–1 · Ska-khabarovsk 25%, draw 55%, Volga Ulyanovsk 20%73' · 1–1 · Ska-khabarovsk 25%, draw 56%, Volga Ulyanovsk 20%74' · 1–1 · Ska-khabarovsk 24%, draw 57%, Volga Ulyanovsk 19%75' · 1–1 · Ska-khabarovsk 23%, draw 58%, Volga Ulyanovsk 19%76' · 1–1 · Ska-khabarovsk 23%, draw 59%, Volga Ulyanovsk 18%77' · 1–1 · Ska-khabarovsk 22%, draw 60%, Volga Ulyanovsk 18%78' · 1–1 · Ska-khabarovsk 21%, draw 61%, Volga Ulyanovsk 17%79' · 1–1 · Ska-khabarovsk 21%, draw 63%, Volga Ulyanovsk 17%80' · 1–1 · Ska-khabarovsk 20%, draw 64%, Volga Ulyanovsk 16%81' · 1–1 · Ska-khabarovsk 19%, draw 65%, Volga Ulyanovsk 16%82' · 1–1 · Ska-khabarovsk 18%, draw 67%, Volga Ulyanovsk 15%83' · 1–2 · Ska-khabarovsk 3%, draw 18%, Volga Ulyanovsk 80%84' · 1–2 · Ska-khabarovsk 2%, draw 17%, Volga Ulyanovsk 81%85' · 1–2 · Ska-khabarovsk 2%, draw 16%, Volga Ulyanovsk 82%86' · 1–2 · Ska-khabarovsk 2%, draw 15%, Volga Ulyanovsk 83%87' · 1–2 · Ska-khabarovsk 1%, draw 15%, Volga Ulyanovsk 84%88' · 1–2 · Ska-khabarovsk 1%, draw 13%, Volga Ulyanovsk 85%89' · 1–2 · Ska-khabarovsk 1%, draw 12%, Volga Ulyanovsk 87%90' · 1–2 · Ska-khabarovsk 1%, draw 11%, Volga Ulyanovsk 88%90+1' · 1–2 · Ska-khabarovsk 1%, draw 10%, Volga Ulyanovsk 90%90+2' · 1–2 · Ska-khabarovsk 0%, draw 8%, Volga Ulyanovsk 91%90+3' · 1–2 · Ska-khabarovsk 0%, draw 7%, Volga Ulyanovsk 93%90+4' · 1–2 · Ska-khabarovsk 0%, draw 5%, Volga Ulyanovsk 95%90+5' · 1–2 · Ska-khabarovsk 0%, draw 3%, Volga Ulyanovsk 97%

Last reading, 90+5': 0% · 3% · 97%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Ska-khabarovsk 43% to win: Volga Ulyanovsk won.

  1. 17'Volga Ulyanovsk:Astemir Khashkulov 1408 +15*
  2. 24'Ska-khabarovsk:Nikita Motpan 1483 0 (pen.)
  3. 42'Volga Ulyanovsk:Andrey Kostin 1485 +16
  4. 64'Ska-khabarovsk:Egor Mosin 1500 for Arshak Koryan 1552 −9
  5. 64'Ska-khabarovsk:Mikheil Gorelishvili 1228 for Maxim Maksimov 1424 −3
  6. 66'Volga Ulyanovsk:Kamil Ibragimov 1466 +16
  7. 66'Volga Ulyanovsk:Dmitriy Rakhmanov 1430 for Ignat Kasyanov 1298 +27*
  8. 66'Volga Ulyanovsk:Igor Gershun 1386 for Andrey Nikitin 1450 +11*
  9. 70'Volga Ulyanovsk:Aydar Khabibullin 1387 for Artem Bykov 1415 +23
  10. 71'Volga Ulyanovsk:Ruslan Shagiakhmetov 1511 for Kirill Folmer 1478 +16
  11. 78'Ska-khabarovsk:Jacobo Alcalde – for Stepan Glotov 1348 −8*
  12. 78'Ska-khabarovsk:Igor Shkolik 1422 for Nikita Motpan 1483 0
  13. 81'Volga Ulyanovsk: (penalty missed)
  14. 81'Volga Ulyanovsk:Aleksandr Saplinov 1465 +16
  15. 84'Volga Ulyanovsk:Oleg Krasilnichenko 1446 for Danil Stepanov 1519 +12
  16. 86'Ska-khabarovsk:Yaroslav Grebenkin 1306 −8*
  17. 86'Volga Ulyanovsk:Maks Dziov 1498 +14

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

MS. Bagiev14680
DA. Zhirov1344−8
FK. Savichev1613−16
GM. Shtepa14280
DD. Borisov12160
FS. Glotov1348−8*
DY. Grebenkin1306−8*
FA. Koryan1552−9
FM. Maksimov1424−3
MD. Markitesov13930
MN. Moțpan14830
CSergey Zhukov12680
GR. Shakerov1426+13*
DA. Bykov1415+23
DM. Dziov1498+14
MK. Folmer1478+16
DK. Ibragimov1466+16
MI. Kasyanov1298+27*
FA. Khashkulov1408+15*
DA. Kostin1485+16
FA. Nikitin1450+11*
MAleksandr Saplinov1465+16
DD. Stepanov1519+12
CA. Grishchenko1459+18
Before kick-off: 43% · 28% · 29%(Ska-khabarovsk · draw · Volga Ulyanovsk)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 1–2 had 7%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Ska-khabarovsk €244K, Volga Ulyanovsk €281K.
  • Home advantage made Ska-khabarovsk the favourite: it added 9 points to their win chance.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Ska-khabarovsk

17th in First League · 7 pts from 13

  • 10 OctDKAMAZ 1447
  • 27 SepDShinnik Yaroslavl 1451
  • 18 SepDFC Sochi 1395
  • 13 SepDArsenal Tula 1384
  • 5 SepLLeningradets 1394

Volga Ulyanovsk

11th in First League · 15 pts from 14

  • 10 OctDRotor Volgograd 1448
  • 4 OctWVeles 1441
  • 26 SepLLeningradets 1435
  • 18 SepLSpartak Kostroma 1432
  • 13 SepDFC UFA 1426

Season outlook

From the First League simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Ska-khabarovsk7 /1333.30%0%54%18th
Volga Ulyanovsk15 /1440.60%<1%12%12th
Ska-khabarovsk
Volga Ulyanovsk

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: First League

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Sergey Zhukov

Coach DNA: –

Aleksandr Grishchenko

Coach DNA: –

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.