Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 10
SK Beveren vs Union St. Gilloise
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 19:45 UTC · Freethiel Stadion, Beveren
SK Beveren host Union St. Gilloise on Sat 31 Oct 2026 (Jupiler Pro League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: SK Beveren 19%, draw 25%, Union St. Gilloise 56%.
- Average value of the expected XI: SK Beveren €925K, Union St. Gilloise €4.1M.
- Style contrast in dribbling (Pro League): SK Beveren rank #18 of 18, Union St. Gilloise #3.
- Union St. Gilloise's expected eleven is in form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 over 180 days.
- Union St. Gilloise are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. SK Beveren goals first.
- 1–112%
- 0–210%
- 1–210%
- 0–110%
- 0–07%
- 0–36%
- Other scores45%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
voetbalpoules.nl0–1expected 4.2 pts
Team Elo: SK Beveren 1762 · Union St. Gilloise 2072
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
SK Beveren · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1709
Union St. Gilloise · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.0 (Elite) · Elo 1909
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
SK Beveren
11th in Pro League · 9 pts from 8
- 9 OctLLommel United Belgium Pro League1733
- 20 SepLKortrijk Belgium Pro League1762
- 12 SepWSt. Truiden Belgium Pro League1718
- 6 SepWOH Leuven Belgium Pro League1753
- 28 AugLGenk Belgium Pro League1741
Union St. Gilloise
4th in Pro League · 20 pts from 8
- 15 OctDReal Sociedad UEFA Europa League1992
- 11 OctDOH Leuven Belgium Pro League2001
- 20 SepWAntwerp Belgium Pro League2088
- 17 SepWPlzen UEFA Europa League1978
- 12 SepWLommel United Belgium Pro League2086
Season outlook
From the Jupiler Pro League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SK Beveren | 9 /8 | 40.7 | 0% | 1% | 8% | 11th |
| Union St. Gilloise | 20 /8 | 70.6 | 17% | 97% | 0% | 2nd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
SK Beveren: balanced profile (how Tim Bakens plays) · Union St. Gilloise: high-pressing (how David Hubert plays)