Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 8
SK Beveren 1–3 Lommel United
Fri 9 Oct 2026 · 18:45 UTC · Freethielstadion, Beveren
SK BeverenTeam 1702Lommel UnitedTeam 1579We gave SK Beveren 50% to win: Lommel United won.
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 50% · 27% · 23%(SK Beveren · draw · Lommel United)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 1–3 had 2%.
- Average value of the starting XI: SK Beveren €941K, Lommel United €795K.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
SK Beveren
9th in Pro League · 9 pts from 7
- 20 SepLKortrijk Belgium Pro League1762
- 12 SepWSt. Truiden Belgium Pro League1718
- 6 SepWOH Leuven Belgium Pro League1753
- 28 AugLGenk Belgium Pro League1741
- 22 AugLZulte Waregem Belgium Pro League1751
Lommel United
12th in Pro League · 8 pts from 7
- 19 SepDKV Mechelen Belgium Pro League1684
- 12 SepLUnion St. Gilloise Belgium Pro League1714
- 4 SepLClub Brugge KV Belgium Pro League1720
- 29 AugWCercle Brugge Belgium Pro League1701
- 23 AugWKVC Westerlo Belgium Pro League1685
Season outlook
From the Jupiler Pro League simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SK Beveren | 9 /7 | 42.8 | 0% | 1% | 5% | 11th |
| Lommel United | 8 /7 | 35.8 | 0% | <1% | 27% | 15th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
SK Beveren · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Good) · Elo 1842
Lommel United · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1717
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
SK Beveren: balanced profile (how Tim Bakens plays) · Lommel United: possession-based (how Lee David Johnson plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.