Veikkausliiga · Relegation Group - 26
SJK 1–0 Lahti
Fri 9 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC · OmaSP Stadion, Seinajoki
SJKTeam 1377LahtiTeam 1399We gave SJK 41% to win: they did.
Before kick-off (provisional): 41% · 29% · 30%(SJK · draw · Lahti)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 1–0 had 9%.
- Average value of the expected XI: SJK €152K, Lahti €197K.
- Home advantage made SJK the favourite: it added 7 points to their win chance.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
SJK
10th in Veikkausliiga · 19 pts from 22
- 18 SepWMariehamn Finland Veikkausliiga1322
- 12 SepDFF Jaro Finland Veikkausliiga1345
- 8 SepDTurku PS Finland Veikkausliiga1332
- 31 AugDAC Oulu Finland Veikkausliiga1353
- 21 AugLLahti Finland Veikkausliiga1380
Lahti
7th in Veikkausliiga · 32 pts from 22
- 18 SepDFF Jaro Finland Veikkausliiga1410
- 12 SepLIlves Finland Veikkausliiga1344
- 8 SepWMariehamn Finland Veikkausliiga1390
- 21 AugWSJK Finland Veikkausliiga1439
- 16 AugLKuPS Finland Veikkausliiga1426
Season outlook
From the Veikkausliiga simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJK | 24 /25 | 26.5 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 10th |
| Lahti | 36 /25 | 39.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 7th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
SJK · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.5 (Good) · Elo 1411
Lahti · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Good) · Elo 1624
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –