Premier Soccer League · Regular Season - 8
Siwelele 1–0 Polokwane City
Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 13:30 UTC · Free State Stadium, Bloemfontein
SiweleleTeam 1200
Polokwane CityTeam 1178- Michel N'Guessan 90'
We gave Siwelele 43% to win: they did.
- 45'G. Philander – for Keorapetse Sebone –
Polokwane City:G. Philander – for Keorapetse Sebone – - 45+2'Tlou Nkwe –
Polokwane City:Tlou Nkwe – - 54'Lucky Mahlatse Malatsi for Juan Adrian Mutudza –
Polokwane City:Lucky Mahlatse Malatsi for Juan Adrian Mutudza – - 55'Monty Batlhabane – for Tshepang Matube
Polokwane City:Monty Batlhabane – for Tshepang Matube - Thato Reabetswe Letshedi –63'
Siwelele:Thato Reabetswe Letshedi – - R. Selaelo – for Thato Reabetswe Letshedi –68'
Siwelele:R. Selaelo – for Thato Reabetswe Letshedi – - Matthew Marou for Christian Saile Basomboli –68'
Siwelele:Matthew Marou for Christian Saile Basomboli – - Shadrack·Kobedi – for relebogile mokhuoane –68'
Siwelele:Shadrack·Kobedi – for relebogile mokhuoane – - 75'Bonginkosi dlamini –
Polokwane City:Bonginkosi dlamini – - Michel N'Guessan for Sphesihle Jeza –87'
Siwelele:Michel N'Guessan for Sphesihle Jeza – - Michel N'Guessan assist Tebogo Potsane –90'
Siwelele:Michel N'Guessan assist Tebogo Potsane – - N. Ngcobo – for R. Selaelo –90+2'
Siwelele:N. Ngcobo – for R. Selaelo – - N. Ngcobo –90+3'
Siwelele:N. Ngcobo –
Before kick-off (provisional): 43% · 28% · 29%(Siwelele · draw · Polokwane City)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 1–0 had 9%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Siwelele €144K, Polokwane City €159K.
- Style contrast in pressing & duels (Premier Soccer League): Siwelele ranked #14 of 17, Polokwane City #4.
- Polokwane City were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Siwelele
14th in Premier Soccer League · 3 pts from 7
- 13 SepDGolden Arrows South Africa PSL1218
- 9 SepLMamelodi Sundowns South Africa PSL1178
- 6 SepLKaizer Chiefs South Africa PSL1198
- 25 AugDChippa United South Africa PSL1172
- 12 AugLMilford FC South Africa PSL1191
Polokwane City
10th in Premier Soccer League · 7 pts from 7
- 12 SepDKaizer Chiefs South Africa PSL1182
- 4 SepDMarumo Gallants South Africa PSL1135
- 26 AugDMilford FC South Africa PSL1132
- 11 AugDStellenbosch South Africa PSL1171
- 2 AugWRichards Bay South Africa PSL1153
Season outlook
From the Premier Soccer League simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Siwelele | 3 /7 | 29.0 | 0% | 0% | 40% | 14th |
| Polokwane City | 7 /7 | 31.2 | 0% | 0% | 26% | 12th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Siwelele · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Good) · Elo 1268
Polokwane City · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.4 (Good) · Elo 1305
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Siwelele: balanced profile (how Lehlohonolo Seema plays) · Polokwane City: direct (how Willy Machete Moloto plays)