Premier Soccer League · Regular Season - 10
Siwelele vs Orlando Pirates
Wed 4 Nov 2026 · 17:30 UTC
Siwelele host Orlando Pirates on Wed 4 Nov 2026 (Premier Soccer League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Siwelele 17%, draw 24%, Orlando Pirates 59%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Siwelele €171K, Orlando Pirates €679K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Premier Soccer League matchday 10: 360 points.
- Orlando Pirates' expected eleven is in form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.5 over 180 days.
- Orlando Pirates have won their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Siwelele goals first.
- 1–111%
- 0–210%
- 1–210%
- 0–110%
- 0–37%
- 0–06%
- Other scores46%
Team Elo: Siwelele 1240 · Orlando Pirates 1600
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Siwelele · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Good) · Elo 1276
Orlando Pirates · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.5 (Elite) · Elo 1803
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Siwelele
14th in Premier Soccer League · 6 pts from 8
- 18 OctWPolokwane City South Africa PSL1231
- 13 SepDGolden Arrows South Africa PSL1218
- 9 SepLMamelodi Sundowns South Africa PSL1178
- 6 SepLKaizer Chiefs South Africa PSL1198
- 25 AugDChippa United South Africa PSL1172
Orlando Pirates
2nd in Premier Soccer League · 22 pts from 8
- 13 OctWTS Galaxy South Africa PSL1542
- 20 SepWMarumo Gallants South Africa PSL1540
- 17 SepWDurban City South Africa PSL1537
- 1 SepWKruger United South Africa PSL1505
- 25 AugWSekhukhune United South Africa PSL1504
Season outlook
From the Premier Soccer League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Siwelele | 6 /8 | 32.4 | 0% | <1% | 20% | 11th |
| Orlando Pirates | 22 /8 | 65.9 | 27% | 100% | 0% | 2nd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: creative · shot-heavy
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Siwelele: balanced profile (how Lehlohonolo Seema plays) · Orlando Pirates: shot-heavy · creative (how Abdeslam Ouaddou plays)