1. Lig · Regular Season - 13
Sivasspor vs Boluspor
Sun 1 Nov 2026 · 10:30 UTC
Sivasspor host Boluspor on Sun 1 Nov 2026 (1. Lig); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Sivasspor 67%, draw 20%, Boluspor 13%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Sivasspor €371K, Boluspor €159K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of 1. Lig matchday 13: 292 points.
- Draw chance 20%, below the 1. Lig average of 27% this round.
- Style contrast in chance creation (1. Lig): Sivasspor rank #18 of 20, Boluspor #3.
- Sivasspor are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Sivasspor goals first.
- 2–011%
- 2–110%
- 1–19%
- 1–09%
- 3–08%
- 3–17%
- Other scores46%
Team Elo: Sivasspor 1640 · Boluspor 1348
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Sivasspor · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.5 (Average) · Elo 1815
Boluspor · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.5 (Average) · Elo 1685
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Sivasspor
11th in 1. Lig · 13 pts from 11
- 17 OctDSarıyer Turkey 1 Lig1578
- 13 OctDBandırmaspor Turkey 1 Lig1584
- 9 OctWPendikspor Turkey 1 Lig1588
- 19 SepDKeçiörengücü Turkey 1 Lig1591
- 13 SepDMuğlaspor Turkey 1 Lig1661
Boluspor
20th in 1. Lig · 1 pts from 10
- 18 OctLIğdır FK Turkey 1 Lig1291
- 10 OctLAntalyaspor Turkey 1 Lig1382
- 19 SepLSarıyer Turkey 1 Lig1293
- 12 SepDPendikspor Turkey 1 Lig1294
- 5 SepLBandırmaspor Turkey 1 Lig1324
Season outlook
From the 1. Lig simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sivasspor | 13 /11 | 50.1 | 0% | 3% | 3% | 12th |
| Boluspor | 1 /10 | 20.6 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 20th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Sivasspor: balanced profile (how İsmet Taşdemir plays) · Boluspor: balanced profile (how Daniel Farrar plays)