Allsvenskan · Regular Season - 25
Sirius vs AIK Stockholm
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC · Studenternas IP, Uppsala
Sirius host AIK Stockholm on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (Allsvenskan); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Sirius 49%, draw 27%, AIK Stockholm 24%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Sirius €900K, AIK Stockholm €621K.
- Style contrast in pressing & duels (Allsvenskan): Sirius rank #16 of 16, AIK Stockholm #1.
- Sirius' expected eleven is in form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 over 180 days.
- Sirius are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Sirius goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–110%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 1–26%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Sirius 1738 · AIK Stockholm 1649
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Sirius · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +6.3 (Elite) · Elo 1805
AIK Stockholm · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1725
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Sirius
1st in Allsvenskan · 55 pts from 24
- 18 OctDIF Elfsborg Allsvenskan1801
- 10 OctWGais Allsvenskan1739
- 19 SepWOrgryte IS Allsvenskan1779
- 14 SepWDegerfors IF Allsvenskan1769
- 5 SepWVasteras SK FK Allsvenskan1746
AIK Stockholm
9th in Allsvenskan · 34 pts from 24
- 17 OctDIFK Goteborg Allsvenskan1666
- 10 OctLIF Brommapojkarna Allsvenskan1686
- 20 SepLHalmstad Allsvenskan1683
- 16 SepDMjallby AIF Allsvenskan1697
- 12 SepLVasteras SK FK Allsvenskan1686
Season outlook
From the Allsvenskan simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sirius | 55 /24 | 64.4 | 88% | 100% | 0% | 1st |
| AIK Stockholm | 34 /24 | 42.5 | 0% | <1% | 0% | 9th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: possession-based · shot-heavy
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Sirius: balanced profile (how Andreas Engelmark plays) · AIK Stockholm: balanced profile (how José Luis Riveiro plays)