Superliga · Regular Season - 10
Silkeborg 3–3 AC Horsens
Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC · JYSK Park, Silkeborg
SilkeborgTeam 1583
AC HorsensTeam 1584- Oliver Ross 48' (pen)
- Oliver Ross 63', 71'
- Alagie Saine 8', 90+5'
- Jakob Bonde Jensen 23'
We gave Silkeborg 40% to win: it ended in a draw.
- 8'Alagie Saine –
AC Horsens:Alagie Saine – - 23'Jakob Bonde Jensen – assist Ivan Milićević –
AC Horsens:Jakob Bonde Jensen – assist Ivan Milićević – - William Kirk – for Maël Durand de Gevigney –45'
Silkeborg:William Kirk – for Maël Durand de Gevigney – - Kristian Bloch Bøgild for Rami Hajal –45'
Silkeborg:Kristian Bloch Bøgild for Rami Hajal – - 47'Abdul Moro –
AC Horsens:Abdul Moro – - Oliver Ross – (pen.)48'
Silkeborg:Oliver Ross – (pen.) - 59'Jakob Bonde Jensen –
AC Horsens:Jakob Bonde Jensen – - Oliver Ross – assist Mads Larsen –63'
Silkeborg:Oliver Ross – assist Mads Larsen – - Oliver Ross – assist Kristian Bloch Bøgild71'
Silkeborg:Oliver Ross – assist Kristian Bloch Bøgild - Andreas Poulsen – for Mads Freundlich –75'
Silkeborg:Andreas Poulsen – for Mads Freundlich – - 75'Adam Herdonsson – for Abdul Moro –
AC Horsens:Adam Herdonsson – for Abdul Moro – - 76'Julius Körkkö – for Yamirou Ouorou –
AC Horsens:Julius Körkkö – for Yamirou Ouorou – - 76'Seniko Doua – for Mikkel Kupijbida –
AC Horsens:Seniko Doua – for Mikkel Kupijbida – - 82'Jimi Tauriainen – for Kingsley Bimpong
AC Horsens:Jimi Tauriainen – for Kingsley Bimpong - Pedro Luis Machado Ganchas – for Lucas Thorst Riisgaard –82'
Silkeborg:Pedro Luis Machado Ganchas – for Lucas Thorst Riisgaard – - 85'Fallou Sene – for Karlo Lusavec –
AC Horsens:Fallou Sene – for Karlo Lusavec – - Kristian Kirkegaard – for Oliver Ross –85'
Silkeborg:Kristian Kirkegaard – for Oliver Ross – - 90+1'Jimi Tauriainen –
AC Horsens:Jimi Tauriainen – - Kristian Bloch Bøgild90+4'
Silkeborg:Kristian Bloch Bøgild - 90+5'Alagie Saine –
AC Horsens:Alagie Saine –
Before kick-off (provisional): 40% · 29% · 31%(Silkeborg · draw · AC Horsens)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 3–3 had 1%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Silkeborg €561K, AC Horsens €491K.
- Home advantage made Silkeborg the favourite: it added 5 points to their win chance.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Silkeborg
7th in Superliga · 10 pts from 9
- 18 SepWLyngby Denmark Superliga1535
- 13 SepDViborg Denmark Superliga1529
- 5 SepDAarhus Denmark Superliga1516
- 30 AugDFC Midtjylland Denmark Superliga1476
- 24 AugLBrondby Denmark Superliga1508
AC Horsens
6th in Superliga · 11 pts from 9
- 20 SepDAarhus Denmark Superliga1627
- 11 SepLFC Copenhagen Denmark Superliga1591
- 6 SepWSonderjyske Denmark Superliga1535
- 28 AugLViborg Denmark Superliga1564
- 23 AugWLyngby Denmark Superliga1553
Season outlook
From the Superliga simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Silkeborg | 10 /9 | 24.0 | 0% | 3% | 38% | 10th |
| AC Horsens | 11 /9 | 24.4 | 0% | 3% | 35% | 9th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Silkeborg · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.6 (Good) · Elo 1720

AC Horsens · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.0 (Average) · Elo 1683
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –