First League · Regular Season - 13
Sileks vs Vardar Skopje
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Sileks host Vardar Skopje on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (First League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Sileks 31%, draw 29%, Vardar Skopje 41%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Sileks €235K, Vardar Skopje €316K.
- L. Dzhekov, D. Angjeleski, Nihad Sero, I. Donov, K. Eftimov, N. Bogdanovski, B. Panovski and N. Manojlov (Sileks) have not played for over 90 days.
- D. Taleski, M. Matić, B. Nikolov, S. Cvetković, Goran Zakarić, G. Jankulov, N. Bosančić, F. Cvetkovski and M. Manevski (Vardar Skopje) have not played for over 90 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Sileks goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–19%
- 1–29%
- 0–09%
- 1–08%
- 2–17%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Sileks 1455 · Vardar Skopje 1597
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches; Vardar Skopje from last season's line-ups (latest 9 May 2026).
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Sileks · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.9 (Below) · Elo 1346
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Sileks
6th in First League · 13 pts from 10
- 7 AugDShkëndija Haraçinë North Macedonia First League1462
- 16 JulLDinamo Minsk UEFA Conference League1437
- 9 JulWDinamo Minsk UEFA Conference League1438
- 9 MayLVardar Skopje North Macedonia First League1357
- 27 AprLStruga North Macedonia First League1400
Vardar Skopje
3rd in First League · 20 pts from 10
- 28 JulWRiga UEFA Conference League1568
- 22 JulLRiga UEFA Conference League1595
- 14 JulWKuPS UEFA Champions League1584
- 7 JulLKuPS UEFA Champions League1579
- 9 MayWSileks North Macedonia First League1619
Season outlook
From the First League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sileks | 13 /10 | 24.7 | <1% | 29% | 5% | 5th |
| Vardar Skopje | 20 /10 | 34.7 | 28% | 98% | 0% | 2nd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 10th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: direct