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Czech Liga · Regular Season - 11

Sigma Olomouc 1–0 Slovan Liberec

Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC · Andruv Stadion, Olomouc

Sigma Olomouc crestSigma OlomoucTeam 1738
1–0
Full time
HT 1–0
Slovan Liberec crestSlovan LiberecTeam 1711

Match story

Sigma Olomouc · draw · Slovan Liberec

Before kick-off: 43% · 29% · 28%

Live chances: Sigma Olomouc 100%, draw 0%, Slovan Liberec 0% at 90+7'2' · 0–0 · Sigma Olomouc 43%, draw 29%, Slovan Liberec 28%3' · 0–0 · Sigma Olomouc 43%, draw 29%, Slovan Liberec 28%4' · 0–0 · Sigma Olomouc 43%, draw 29%, Slovan Liberec 28%5' · 0–0 · Sigma Olomouc 43%, draw 29%, Slovan Liberec 28%6' · 0–0 · Sigma Olomouc 43%, draw 29%, Slovan Liberec 28%7' · 0–0 · Sigma Olomouc 43%, draw 30%, Slovan Liberec 28%8' · 0–0 · Sigma Olomouc 42%, draw 30%, Slovan Liberec 28%9' · 0–0 · Sigma Olomouc 42%, draw 30%, Slovan Liberec 28%10' · 0–0 · Sigma Olomouc 42%, draw 30%, Slovan Liberec 28%11' · 0–0 · Sigma Olomouc 42%, draw 30%, Slovan Liberec 28%12' · 1–0 · Sigma Olomouc 69%, draw 20%, Slovan Liberec 11%14' · 1–0 · Sigma Olomouc 69%, draw 20%, Slovan Liberec 11%15' · 1–0 · Sigma Olomouc 69%, draw 20%, Slovan Liberec 11%16' · 1–0 · Sigma Olomouc 69%, draw 21%, Slovan Liberec 11%17' · 1–0 · Sigma Olomouc 69%, draw 21%, Slovan Liberec 10%18' · 1–0 · Sigma Olomouc 69%, draw 21%, Slovan Liberec 10%19' · 1–0 · Sigma Olomouc 69%, draw 21%, Slovan Liberec 10%20' · 1–0 · Sigma Olomouc 69%, draw 21%, Slovan Liberec 10%21' · 1–0 · Sigma Olomouc 69%, draw 21%, Slovan Liberec 10%22' · 1–0 · Sigma Olomouc 69%, draw 21%, Slovan Liberec 10%23' · 1–0 · Sigma Olomouc 69%, draw 21%, Slovan Liberec 10%24' · 1–0 · Sigma Olomouc 69%, draw 21%, Slovan Liberec 10%25' · 1–0 · Sigma Olomouc 69%, draw 21%, Slovan Liberec 10%26' · 1–0 · Sigma Olomouc 69%, draw 21%, Slovan Liberec 10%27' · 1–0 · Sigma Olomouc 70%, draw 21%, Slovan Liberec 10%28' · 1–0 · Sigma Olomouc 70%, draw 21%, Slovan Liberec 10%29' · 1–0 · Sigma Olomouc 70%, draw 21%, Slovan Liberec 10%30' · 1–0 · Sigma Olomouc 70%, draw 21%, Slovan Liberec 9%31' · 1–0 · Sigma Olomouc 70%, draw 21%, Slovan Liberec 9%32' · 1–0 · Sigma Olomouc 70%, draw 21%, Slovan Liberec 9%33' · 1–0 · Sigma Olomouc 70%, draw 21%, Slovan Liberec 9%34' · 1–0 · Sigma Olomouc 70%, draw 21%, Slovan Liberec 9%35' · 1–0 · Sigma Olomouc 70%, draw 21%, Slovan Liberec 9%36' · 1–0 · Sigma Olomouc 70%, draw 21%, Slovan Liberec 9%37' · 1–0 · Sigma Olomouc 70%, draw 21%, Slovan Liberec 9%38' · 1–0 · Sigma Olomouc 70%, draw 21%, Slovan Liberec 9%39' · 1–0 · Sigma Olomouc 71%, draw 21%, Slovan Liberec 8%40' · 1–0 · Sigma Olomouc 71%, draw 21%, Slovan Liberec 8%41' · 1–0 · Sigma Olomouc 71%, draw 21%, Slovan Liberec 8%42' · 1–0 · Sigma Olomouc 71%, draw 21%, Slovan Liberec 8%43' · 1–0 · Sigma Olomouc 71%, draw 21%, Slovan Liberec 8%44' · 1–0 · Sigma Olomouc 71%, draw 21%, Slovan Liberec 8%45' · 1–0 · Sigma Olomouc 71%, draw 21%, Slovan Liberec 8%45+1' · 1–0 · Sigma Olomouc 71%, draw 21%, Slovan Liberec 8%HT · 1–0 · Sigma Olomouc 72%, draw 21%, Slovan Liberec 7%47' · 1–0 · Sigma Olomouc 72%, draw 21%, Slovan Liberec 7%48' · 1–0 · Sigma Olomouc 72%, draw 21%, Slovan Liberec 7%49' · 1–0 · Sigma Olomouc 72%, draw 21%, Slovan Liberec 7%50' · 1–0 · Sigma Olomouc 72%, draw 21%, Slovan Liberec 7%51' · 1–0 · Sigma Olomouc 73%, draw 21%, Slovan Liberec 7%52' · 1–0 · Sigma Olomouc 73%, draw 21%, Slovan Liberec 6%53' · 1–1 · Sigma Olomouc 34%, draw 42%, Slovan Liberec 25%54' · 1–1 · Sigma Olomouc 33%, draw 42%, Slovan Liberec 25%55' · 1–0 · Sigma Olomouc 74%, draw 20%, Slovan Liberec 6%56' · 1–0 · Sigma Olomouc 74%, draw 20%, Slovan Liberec 6%57' · 1–0 · Sigma Olomouc 74%, draw 20%, Slovan Liberec 6%58' · 1–0 · Sigma Olomouc 74%, draw 20%, Slovan Liberec 5%59' · 1–0 · Sigma Olomouc 75%, draw 20%, Slovan Liberec 5%60' · 1–0 · Sigma Olomouc 75%, draw 20%, Slovan Liberec 5%61' · 1–0 · Sigma Olomouc 75%, draw 20%, Slovan Liberec 5%62' · 1–0 · Sigma Olomouc 76%, draw 20%, Slovan Liberec 5%63' · 1–0 · Sigma Olomouc 76%, draw 20%, Slovan Liberec 5%64' · 1–0 · Sigma Olomouc 76%, draw 19%, Slovan Liberec 4%65' · 1–0 · Sigma Olomouc 77%, draw 19%, Slovan Liberec 4%66' · 1–0 · Sigma Olomouc 77%, draw 19%, Slovan Liberec 4%67' · 1–0 · Sigma Olomouc 77%, draw 19%, Slovan Liberec 4%68' · 1–0 · Sigma Olomouc 78%, draw 19%, Slovan Liberec 4%69' · 1–0 · Sigma Olomouc 78%, draw 18%, Slovan Liberec 4%70' · 1–0 · Sigma Olomouc 78%, draw 18%, Slovan Liberec 3%71' · 1–0 · Sigma Olomouc 79%, draw 18%, Slovan Liberec 3%72' · 1–0 · Sigma Olomouc 79%, draw 18%, Slovan Liberec 3%73' · 1–0 · Sigma Olomouc 80%, draw 17%, Slovan Liberec 3%74' · 1–0 · Sigma Olomouc 80%, draw 17%, Slovan Liberec 3%75' · 1–0 · Sigma Olomouc 81%, draw 17%, Slovan Liberec 3%76' · 1–0 · Sigma Olomouc 81%, draw 16%, Slovan Liberec 2%77' · 1–0 · Sigma Olomouc 82%, draw 16%, Slovan Liberec 2%78' · 1–0 · Sigma Olomouc 82%, draw 16%, Slovan Liberec 2%79' · 1–0 · Sigma Olomouc 83%, draw 15%, Slovan Liberec 2%80' · 1–0 · Sigma Olomouc 84%, draw 15%, Slovan Liberec 2%81' · 1–0 · Sigma Olomouc 84%, draw 14%, Slovan Liberec 2%82' · 1–0 · Sigma Olomouc 85%, draw 14%, Slovan Liberec 1%83' · 1–0 · Sigma Olomouc 86%, draw 13%, Slovan Liberec 1%84' · 1–0 · Sigma Olomouc 86%, draw 13%, Slovan Liberec 1%85' · 1–0 · Sigma Olomouc 87%, draw 12%, Slovan Liberec 1%86' · 1–0 · Sigma Olomouc 88%, draw 11%, Slovan Liberec 1%87' · 1–1 · Sigma Olomouc 14%, draw 76%, Slovan Liberec 11%88' · 1–1 · Sigma Olomouc 12%, draw 78%, Slovan Liberec 10%89' · 1–1 · Sigma Olomouc 11%, draw 80%, Slovan Liberec 9%90' · 1–0 · Sigma Olomouc 92%, draw 8%, Slovan Liberec 0%90+1' · 1–0 · Sigma Olomouc 93%, draw 7%, Slovan Liberec 0%90+2' · 1–0 · Sigma Olomouc 94%, draw 6%, Slovan Liberec 0%90+3' · 1–0 · Sigma Olomouc 95%, draw 5%, Slovan Liberec 0%90+4' · 1–0 · Sigma Olomouc 96%, draw 4%, Slovan Liberec 0%90+5' · 1–0 · Sigma Olomouc 98%, draw 2%, Slovan Liberec 0%90+6' · 1–0 · Sigma Olomouc 99%, draw 1%, Slovan Liberec 0%90+7' · 1–0 · Sigma Olomouc 100%, draw 0%, Slovan Liberec 0%

Last reading, 90+7': 100% · 0% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Sigma Olomouc 43% to win: they did.

  1. 11'Sigma Olomouc:Matej Hadas 1772 +30 assist David Tkáč 1570 +47
  2. 38'Slovan Liberec:Vojtech Stransky 1760 −2
  3. 64'Slovan Liberec:Lukas Masek 1714 0 for Matěj Mikulenka 1573 0
  4. 65'Slovan Liberec:Alexandr Buzek 1691 0 for Vojtech Stransky 1760 −2
  5. 66'Sigma Olomouc:Jan Kliment 1421 +4 for David Tkáč 1570 +47
  6. 73'Sigma Olomouc:Anton Ekeroth 1639 −4* for Matej Hadas 1772 +30
  7. 75'Slovan Liberec:Alexandr Buzek 1691 0
  8. 80'Slovan Liberec:Vénuste Baboula 1491 −1 for Aleko Basiladze 1577 0
  9. 80'Slovan Liberec:Milan Lexa 1409 −8* for Patrik Dulay 1575 −8*
  10. 85'Sigma Olomouc:Hilmir Rafn Mikaelsson 1360 −6* for Vaclav Sejk 1833 +10
  11. 89'Slovan Liberec:Enej Marsetic 1286 −8* for Lukáš Masopust 1729 −7
  12. 90+6'Sigma Olomouc:Jan Kliment 1421 +4

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

3-4-3Formations4-2-3-1
GJan Koutný1759+39
DA. Sylla1823+30
DM. Malý1724+24
DLéo Borges1914+19
MM. Hadaš1772+30
MM. Soldo1804+12
MM. Beran1784+12
MA. Ghali1794+12
FD. Janošek1751+13
FV. Sejk1833+10
FD. Tkáč1570+47
CP. Hapal1771+25
GT. Koubek1849−11
DA. Basiladze15770
DL. Hůlka1815−10
DJ. Bořil1781−12
DA. Kayondo1821−20
MV. Stránský1760−2
ML. Masopust1729−7
MP. Dulay1575−8*
MV. Kušej1864−25
MP. Hodouš1577−8*
FM. Mikulenka15730
CB. Fodrek1832−23*
Before kick-off: 43% · 29% · 28%(Sigma Olomouc · draw · Slovan Liberec)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 1–0 had 10%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Sigma Olomouc €1.1M, Slovan Liberec €733K.
  • Style contrast in attacking (Czech Liga): Sigma Olomouc ranked #14 of 16, Slovan Liberec #4.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Sigma Olomouc

5th in Czech Liga · 17 pts from 10

  • 11 OctDTeplice 1763
  • 20 SepLSparta Praha 1767
  • 13 SepWPlzen 1747
  • 5 SepWBohemians 1905 1712
  • 29 AugLBaník Ostrava 1691

Slovan Liberec

2nd in Czech Liga · 20 pts from 10

  • 11 OctLSlovácko 1768
  • 19 SepDArtis 1723
  • 12 SepWMlada Boleslav 1688
  • 6 SepWFK Jablonec 1743
  • 30 AugWHradec Králové 1719

Season outlook

From the Czech Liga simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Sigma Olomouc17 /1048.61%46%<1%3rd
Slovan Liberec20 /1050.22%58%0%3rd
Sigma Olomouc
Slovan Liberec

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Czech Liga

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

D. Janošek
D. Janošek

Sigma Olomouc · +4.4 (Elite) · Elo 1738

A. Kayondo
A. Kayondo

Slovan Liberec · +5.8 (Elite) · Elo 1841

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Pavel Hapal

Coach DNA: creative · possession-based

Branislav Fodrek

Coach DNA: dribble-heavy · creative

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Sigma Olomouc: balanced profile (how Pavel Hapal plays) · Slovan Liberec: balanced profile (how Branislav Fodrek plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.