Super League · Regular Season - 29
Sichuan Jiuniu vs Shanghai Shenhua
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 07:30 UTC · Shenzhen Stadium, Shenzhen
Sichuan Jiuniu host Shanghai Shenhua on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (Super League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Sichuan Jiuniu 30%, draw 29%, Shanghai Shenhua 41%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Sichuan Jiuniu €355K, Shanghai Shenhua €719K.
- Super League: Xue Qinghao is the highest-rated goalkeeper (1897).
- Style contrast in attacking (Super League): Sichuan Jiuniu rank #15 of 18, Shanghai Shenhua #1.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Sichuan Jiuniu goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–19%
- 1–29%
- 0–09%
- 1–08%
- 0–27%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Sichuan Jiuniu 1685 · Shanghai Shenhua 1840
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Sichuan Jiuniu · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.9 (Good) · Elo 1776
Shanghai Shenhua · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.4 (Good) · Elo 1833
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Sichuan Jiuniu
12th in Super League · 29 pts from 28
- 17 OctLDalian Zhixing Chinese Super League1640
- 9 OctDHenan Jianye Chinese Super League1712
- 5 SepDShandong Luneng Chinese Super League1703
- 28 AugLShanghai SIPG Chinese Super League1684
- 22 AugDHangzhou Greentown Chinese Super League1685
Shanghai Shenhua
8th in Super League · 37 pts from 28
- 18 OctWWuhan Three Towns Chinese Super League1823
- 15 OctDSvay Rieng AFC Cup1810
- 10 OctWYunnan Yukun Chinese Super League1815
- 6 SepWChongqing Tongliang Long Chinese Super League1772
- 28 AugLShandong Luneng Chinese Super League1788
Season outlook
From the Super League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sichuan Jiuniu | 29 /28 | 31.8 | 0% | 0% | 22% | 13th |
| Shanghai Shenhua | 37 /28 | 40.5 | 0% | 7% | 0% | 7th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based
Coach DNA: shot-heavy · creative
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Sichuan Jiuniu: balanced profile (how Robbie Neilson plays) · Shanghai Shenhua: shot-heavy · creative (how Vladan Milojević plays)