League Two · Regular Season - 15
Shrewsbury vs Oldham
Sat 14 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UTC · The Croud Meadow, Shrewsbury
Shrewsbury host Oldham on Sat 14 Nov 2026 (League Two); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Shrewsbury 44%, draw 28%, Oldham 28%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Shrewsbury €186K, Oldham €169K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Shrewsbury goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 0–08%
- 2–08%
- 0–17%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Shrewsbury 1651 · Oldham 1611
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Shrewsbury · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1746
Oldham · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1670
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Shrewsbury
10th in League Two · 18 pts from 13
- 27 OctWEverton U21 England EFL Trophy1434
- 24 OctDRotherham England League Two1705
- 20 OctWCrawley Town England League Two1696
- 17 OctWBristol Rovers England League Two1619
- 10 OctLExeter City England League Two1608
Oldham
20th in League Two · 12 pts from 12
- 24 OctDBarnet England League Two1616
- 20 OctLWalsall England League Two1636
- 17 OctWCheltenham England League Two1611
- 13 OctWLeeds United U21 England EFL Trophy1551
- 10 OctDAccrington ST England League Two1559
Season outlook
From the League Two simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shrewsbury | 18 /13 | 63.3 | <1% | 11% | 4% | 9th |
| Oldham | 12 /12 | 55.4 | 0% | 1% | 23% | 22nd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Shrewsbury: direct (how G. Cowan plays) · Oldham: balanced profile (how M. Mellon plays)